2008 Nationals Projections

C Paul Lo Duca
.268 AVG, 6 HR, 46 RBI
1B Dmitri Young
.285 AVG, 12 HR, 59 RBI
2B Ronnie Belliard
.272 AVG, 13 HR, 55 RBI
3B Ryan Zimmerman
.286 AVG, 31 HR, 104 RBI
SS Felipe Lopez
.255 AVG, 10 HR, 58 RBI
LF Wily Mo Pena
.273 AVG, 16 HR, 48 RBI
CF Lastings Milledge
.279 AVG, 17 HR, 68 RBI
RF Austin Kearns
.256 AVG, 14 HR, 63 RBI

1B Nick Johnson
.283 AVG, 19 HR, 67 RBI

SP Shawn Hill
9-5 W-L, 3.97 ERA, 74 K
SP John Patterson
8-9 W-L, 4.65 ERA, 92 K
SP Jason Bergmann
11-9 W-L, 4.59 ERA, 106 K
SP John Lannan
10-10 W-L, 4.76 ERA, 76 K
SP Matt Chico
8-11 W-L, 4.86 ERA, 114 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

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Top 5 Prospects: AL and NL West

Jonathan Mayo covers the minor leagues and the draft as a senior writer for MLB.com. Mayo also has a book coming out that has some interesting timing. It is a look at what it is like to face Roger Clemens and is appropriately titled Facing Clemens. The book was written prior to the release of the Mitchell Report and is now available for purchase. He’s agreed to do a series of posts on the top prospects in each division heading into the 2008 season. Last week, he covered the AL and NL East. Now he’ll take a look at the top 5 prospects in the AL and NL West.

AL West

The A's have their offseason trades to thank for being on this list twice.

1. Nick Adenhart, RHP, Angels. He's going to make everyone want Tommy John surgery. He'll be knocking on the door this year and he's only 21.
2. Brandon Wood, SS/3B, Angels. To some, his star has faded. But he's only 23, has big-time power potential and can now play short or third capably. There's still a lot to like.
3. Carlos Gonzalez, OF, A's. A lot of people want to hand him a job in the A's outfield now. Even if it's not immediate, he's going to force his way there before the season is over. Eventually, he's going to mature into a prototypical right fielder.
4. Gio Gonzalez, LHP, A's. One of my personal favorites because of his infectious personality, he also can flat-out pitch. He's got nasty stuff that allowed him to lead the Minors in strikeouts. I'd give him a rotation spot now.
5. Eric Hurley, RHP, Rangers. He's moved steadily along while the vaunted DVD (Danks, Vazquez, Diamond) has long-since split up. He won't crack the rotation right away, but I could see him making an impact at some point in 2008.

NL West

A revitalized Padres system produces two top guys.

1. Clayton Kershaw, LHP, Dodgers. He's the best pitching prospect in baseball, in my opinion. His size, his stuff, his command, his poise, his left-handedness. I know projecting pitching is risky business, but this guy is the real deal.
2. Franklin Morales, LHP, Rockies. The National League will learn first-hand this year just how nasty he is. A good choice for NL Rookie of the Year. The young Rockies keep getting better.
3. Matt Antonelli, 2B, Padres. Tad Iguchi? Really. As a prospect geek, that disappointed me. Padres fans will have to wait a year because Antonelli will be ready for a shot by then, if not sooner. He can hit with some pop and runs quite well. A move to the OF isn't out of the question.
4. Chase Headley, 3B/OF, Padres. Speaking of moves to the OF, that's what Headley's done. With Kevin Kouzmanoff cemented in at the hot corner, Headley will carry his bat to left. At least the Padres realized they need to get his bat into the lineup.
5. Andy LaRoche, 3B, Dodgers. Yes, he fizzled in his opportunities in the past, but trust me, this guy can play. He's in great shape and it should be a fun competition for the third base job in Dodger camp. Here's hoping LaRoche wins it.

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Where Will Lohse Go?

Free agent pitcher Kyle Lohse is still on the market looking for a job, and the Mets and Phillies are no longer interested. Lohse has been looking for a one to two year deal worth 5-7 million dollars annually, but has yet to find it. Lohse was once looking at a Carlos Silva like deal but poor negotiation by his agent, Scott Boras, has lead many to believe that he might open the year without a job. Lohse's numbers are not worthy of a Carlos Silva like contract, but more like a Jason Marquis deal. Going 9-12 with a 4.62 ERA in the NL and calling the AL too hard won't do you any good, especially because you rule out 15 teams that might be interested in signing you. If the Reds are that desperate for pitching come the end of spring training, they could try and add Lohse to a one year deal, worth 3-5 million dollars. Other teams that might try and add him include the Pirates, but only if Tom Gorzelanny is out for an extended amount of time, Astros, Marlins, Orioles, Dodgers, and Padres.

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Marlins To Sign Patterson?

Free agent outfielder Corey Patterson is still on the market, and no deal appears close. His hometown Braves are not interested and the Orioles are pretty set with Adam Jones, Luke Scott, and Nick Markakis in the outfield. Jayson Stark of ESPN.com believes that the Marlins could jump in. The Marlins have talked about bringing him in if his price comes down, but that does not seem likely just yet. His agent, Scott Boras, is still looking for a big contract. One reason why the Marlins might bring him in is because they do not see the need to rush Cameron Maybin and bringing in Patterson would give them a solid outfielder for the top of their lineup. If Patterson wants to be ready for Opening Day, he better take a deal pretty soon or he might be unemployed come March 31st.

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Dodgers Coaches To Ignore Helmet Rule

New Dodgers third base coach Larry Bowa is protesting the rule requiring base coaches to wear helmets. This is a result of the death of former first base coach Mike Coolbaugh from the Rockies system, who was struck in the head by a fall ball this past season. "I'll really make a joke out of it," Bowa said. Bowa went on to say that he will take the fine for 162 games, because he will not do it. Personally, I think Bowa and Dodgers management for not enforcing this are disrespecting the Coolbaugh family, the Rockies, and Major League Baseball. What is the big deal? Is he trying to make a fashion statement? I understand that they may be uncomfortable, but I think they should at least respect the rule for the sake of the Coolbaugh's. I have a lot of respect for Larry Bowa, but I think he is wrong to openly reject the rule before the season even starts.

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Cubs Still Trying To Deal

According to the Chicago Tribune, the Cubs would still like to make a trade before Opening Day. They are reportedly sending scouts all over Arizona to look at players, and you know they have scouts in Fort Lauderdale covering Brian Roberts. The Cubs saw a lot from some of their younger players in their opening day win over the Giants, but I think they are set on making a move. Before I get to Brian Roberts, the Cubs are having internal discussions about Coco Crisp. Crisp has been pushed out of a job by young outfielder Jacoby Ellsbury and has told the Red Sox he would like a trade. The Red Sox have approached the Braves, Rangers, Padres, and Cubs, among others, about Crisp, but nothing is really brewing just yet. Probably because he hit .268 with 6 HR in 145 games last season, but also because he has got 10.5 million dollars left on his contract through 2009. One reason why I do not think the Cubs will make a move is because Felix Pie or Sam Fuld will be ready to take over everyday by 2009, if not this season. Felix Pie flexed some muscle today in the spring opener, and is the leading candidate in center. Another reason is because Crisp has little to no experience in the NL and a switch to the NL and to Wrigley Field might affect his numbers.

Now to Brian Roberts. Roberts had a great Spring opener as well but talks won't stop. The Orioles have sent scouts to the Cubs complex in Mesa to get a closer look at players that might be in the deal, and if the Orioles like what they see, we could see a deal get wrapped up pretty quickly. The Baltimore Sun believes Ronny Cedeno and Sean Gallagher will be apart of the deal, along with at least two other players. As for the other two, possibly Matt Murton. Lou Piniella was talking him up to reporters a couple days ago, but I do not think that has too much significance. As for other players, minor leaguer Tony Thomas could go to Baltimore. He is a solid second baseman with a lot of speed to burn. Roberts doesn't seem to worried, and I do not think we should be, for now.

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Teixeira Loves Baltimore, But...

Braves first baseman Mark Teixeira was born in Baltimore. He has always loved playing the Orioles and enjoys seeing his family and friends at games out there. So, does that mean he is heading to Baltimore next off season via free agency? Teixeira did very well in Atlanta towards the end of last season and it would make sense that he would continue playing there. However, his agent is Scott Boras who always has his players go to the market to cash in. Not only that, but several big spending teams are in the need for a first baseman and could easily pay for a contract that he will be looking for. I suspect that Teixeira will be looking at a Vernon Wells type deal to start, but that will probably go up. Players that I have talked to on the Braves say the team is run like a family. They say everyone works out together, know each others families- all the things that would make a player comfortable in a new city. So don't rule out a long term deal for Teixeira in Atlanta. The Orioles have the money, but probably will look at for a hometown discount to bring him in. They just seem to conduct their business like that. As for other teams, I suspect the Yankees, Blue Jays, and Mets, among others to be the most aggressive suitors.

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Shawn Green Retires

Fifteen year veteran outfielder Shawn Green has announced his retirement. Green, who most recently played with the Mets, was drawing some interest from a few West Coast teams. But since he hit .291 with 10 HR in 130 games, I think he would not accept anything less than a guaranteed deal. Green is a career .282 hitter with 328 HR in 1971 games with the Blue Jays, Dodgers, Diamondbacks, and Mets. Green was always known for being a great player with tremendous respect for the game, and now he will leaves the game to spend more time with his family.

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Cardinals Release Spiezio

An arrest warrant for Scott Spiezio was issued today on six charges dating back to December. Spiezio, who did not play in Wednesday's opener, allegedly drove under the influence, and was involved in a hit and run, aggravated assault, and assault and battery. Because of this, the Cardinals released him in response to the charges. Spiezio has had a rough couple of seasons with the Cardinals. Last season, he was place on the restricted list so he could be treated for a "chemical dependency." "We hope Scott will continue to seek appropriate help and wish him the best in baseball, but more importantly in life." General Manager John Mozeliak said. In 200 games as a Cardinal, he has hit .270 AVG with 17 HR and 83 RBI. Not a terrible line, but certainly not worth keeping him around if he will be a distraction. With Spiezio off the roster, possible fillers include Josh Phelps, who hit .306 with 7 HR in 94 games, Juan Gonzalez, D'Angelo Jimenez, or one of the younger guys. We have a long way to go this Spring, and I think this problem will work itself out.

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2008 Phillies Projections

C Carlos Ruiz
.268 AVG, 9 HR, 59 RBI
1B Ryan Howard
.282 AVG, 42 HR, 119 RBI
2B Chase Utley
.304 AVG, 33 HR, 116 RBI
3B Pedro Feliz
.264 AVG, 17 HR, 68 RBI
SS Jimmy Rollins
.284 AVG, 26 HR, 86 RBI
LF Pat Burrell
.262 AVG, 28 HR, 103 RBI
CF Shane Victorino
.276 AVG, 14 HR, 53 RBI
RF Geoff Jenkins
.266 AVG, 17 HR, 69 RBI

SP Brett Myers
14-5 W-L, 3.88 ERA, 177 K
SP Cole Hamels
16-8 W-L, 3.57 ERA, 183 K
SP Kyle Kendrick
10-11 W-L, 4.74 ERA, 97 K
SP Jamie Moyer
10-13 W-L, 5.03 ERA, 108 K
SP Adam Eaton
8-12 W-L, 5.69 ERA, 100 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

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Santana to Close?

Angels starting pitcher Ervin Santana struggled to find his comfort zone last season, but is eying a comeback. Personally, I think he can do it. Although he went 7-14 with a 5.76 ERA in 28 games, he went 28-16 with a 4.47 ERA in the two seasons before that. However, if he cannot shock the Angels with his new and improved 'stuff,' we might see a switch to the bullpen in his future. The Angels may be thinking about life without Francisco Rodriguez and will consider Ervin Santana for the spot. Although he does not have closing in his past, several closers do not have experience in that spot and have still done well. He throws hard and has good movement, so he could be very successful if he pitched one to two innings every other day. Santana has never pitched over 33 games in a season, so endurance might be a problem. However, if Joe Saunders can do well in the rotation and Santana will accept a switch to the bullpen, they can start to convert him now. Yes, we are far from determining K-Rod's future with the team, but it might be smart to consider Santana in that spot for the future.

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Will Diamondbacks Trade Hudson?

Diamondbacks second baseman Orlando Hudson is a year away from free agency and he might be traded if a contract cannot be worked out. Although I have not heard whether or not talks are ongoing, the Diamondbacks have not been ones to pay up for their players. They let Livan Hernandez walk this past offseason and with several young players in need of long term deals, they might let him walk as well and hope young second base prospect Emilio Bonifacio comes through. Also, if they want to give more time to Bonifacio they could sign someone like Mark Ellis or Luis Rivas as a one year stopgap. However, Hudson has said he wants to stay in Arizona and might be willing to take a discount that the Diamondbacks will take under their payroll: "I want to spend the rest of my career here. I love it here." As of right now, I think Hudson will stay in Arizona. But he is the best second baseman on the market and could land a huge deal if he puts together another solid season.

Bonds not going to New York: The Yankees have no plans to bring in Barry Bonds. That makes sense considering they have several big name players and very few spots left open.

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News and Notes: Wells Contacts Cardinals

The agent of pitcher David Wells has put in a call to the Cardinals seeing whether or not they were interested. The Cardinals interest is lukewarm but could change if one of their pitchers does not perform this spring. "At this point, the Cardinals seem like they want to see how their younger guys look at camp." Wells went 9-9 with a 5.43 ERA and 83 K in 29 games last season, but finished the season going 4-1 with a 4.65 ERA. For the Cardinals, I think it would be a good signing. They do not have much depth and adding Wells, who wants to prove himself, could help the rotation and some of the younger pitchers who need guidance.

Johnson not stirring pot?: Blue Jays outfielder Reed Johnson has been shopped all offseason but there is no interest out there. Johnson has had back problems and maybe teams are waiting to see if he is okay before making a trade. Johnson hit .236 with 2 HR in 79 games, but when playing everyday he has showed he can hit for power and average.

Nathan likely gone?: Joe Nathan is looking for a Mariano Rivera like deal, and the Twins are not interested. I doubt Nathan is with the Twins next season.

Marlins should pay Ramirez soon: The Marlins should show the cash to shortstop Hanley Ramirez before his demands become too great. If they can lock him up to a deal slightly larger than Tulowitzki, it will allow them to lock up other players as well.

Mark Prior on the comeback: Mark Prior is excited about being with the Padres and a fresh start and it is showing by how hard he was working. Some Cubs fans I have talked to have said they are happy the Cubs do not need to worry about him, and hope he can do well, just not against the Cubs. That seems fair. I know a lot of Cubs fans did not like waiting and relying on him.

Sosa waiting for contract?: The agent of Sammy Sosa says they are holding out for a contract that guarantees him everyday playing time.

Mets trying to trade El Duque?: According to Jon Heyman, the Mets tried to trade Orlando Hernandez this offseason but found no interest. Maybe he proves he can perform maybe they will find a suitor and then sign Kyle Lohse in his place.

Milledge in for big year?: Nationals outfielder Lastings Milledge is ready to show that he can live up to his potential. But he is hoping to show the Mets more than anything. He believes the Mets did not ever believe in him.

Shawn Green closing in on a minor league deal?: According to sources, free agent outfielder Shawn Green is closing in on a minor league deal with an unknown west coast team. As for who it could be, I don't know. I thought maybe the Mariners but maybe the Dodgers would give him a shot to make the bench. Or the Padres, who are looking for a corner outfielder.

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Rays Considering Bonds?

Rays officials are holding discussions about the possibility of bringing in outfielder and DH Barry Bonds. Bonds makes sense for the Rays because he would fit nicely in the DH spot, somewhere that they have struggled to fill. Yes, they have Johnny Gomes, but he and Cliff Floyd could fit in and play some outfield and first base and see their fair share of at-bats. Furthermore, if Barry Bonds has to leave the team for an extended amount of time, Floyd and Gomes could fit in. Manager Joe Maddon seems open to having him in the clubhouse, but I wonder if the players would like him in the clubhouse. Some of those guys are really thriving because they are being allowed to develop while not having to worry about media coverage. If Bonds were there, it might draw a lot of unwanted attention to the clubhouse. Both the Rays and Bonds agent said talks are not serious, but Bonds' agent said Japan was not out of the question.

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2008 Marlins Projections

C Mike Rabelo
.262 AVG, 6 HR, 48 RBI
1B Mike Jacobs
.255 AVG, 22 HR, 66 RBI
2B Dan Uggla
.263 AVG, 27 HR, 84 RBI
3B Dallas McPherson
.245 AVG, 14 HR, 57 RBI
SS Hanley Ramirez
.307 AVG, 26 HR, 78 RBI
LF Josh Willingham
.259 AVG, 24 HR, 72 RBI
CF Cameron Maybin
.272 AVG, 15 HR, 58 RBI
RF Jeremy Hermida
.284 AVG, 21 HR, 60 RBI

SP Scott Olsen
12-13 W-L, 4.92 ERA, 143 K
SP Sergio Mitre
7-10 W-L, 4.87 ERA, 73 K
SP Andrew Miller
10-16 W-L, 4.69 ERA, 149 K
SP Mark Hendrickson
8-13 W-L, 5.09 ERA, 98 K
SP Ricky Nolasco
9-10 W-L, 4.79 ERA, 87 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

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Red Sox Sign Colon

According to ESPN.com, the Red Sox and Bartolo Colon have agreed to a minor league contract with an invitation to Spring Training. Colon provides depth to the Red Sox rotation, but is likely a fall back in case one of the younger pitchers goes down. Colon struggled to fully recovered from injury last season and it showed as he went 6-8 with a 6.34 ERA. The 2005 Cy Young winner is a long shot to make the team as his fastball has topped at 87 mpg.

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Howard Looking For Big Extension

According to the Philadelphia Inquirer, Phillies first baseman Ryan Howard is looking for a deal more than the eight year, 136 million that Alfonso Soriano got. In the year Soriano got that contract, he hit .277 with 46 HR, 95 RBI, 41 SB, and 160 K. This past season, Howard hit .268 with 47 HR, 136 RBI, 1 SB, and 199 K. Those numbers are pretty similar, and if Howard does it again I assume the market will take him up to a something like a ten year deal worth 20 million dollars annually. Personally, I do not know if the Phillies will take that kind of contract under their wings, but they might be able to sign him to a short term extension to buy out some of arbitration, and then trade him during the 2010 or 2011 season. Howard does not seem to set on his future, so I think he will explore the waters just for the experience. The Phillies plan to go year by year with Howard, and might take him to arbitration one or two more times before considering a big extension. So we are obviously far from a resolution here but this could turn into an ugly situation if something is not settled soon.

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Brewers Will Try New Lineup Style

Brewers manager Ned Yost is considering a lineup that would have Jason Kendall batting ninth and Ryan Braun and Prince Fielder hitting second and third, respectively. Yost wants Braun to get more at-bats and thinks if he were in the two spot, the second and third time through the lineup he will have opportunities to drive in runners. This would also allow for Fielder to hit like he was in the cleanup spot. Although the idea has a good chance to work with their kind of lineup, it does put a lot of pressure on the 5-6-7 guys to get on base. If they are unable to get on base, it completes ruins the idea and will allow teams to limit Ryan Braun's potential damage. Furthermore, the Reds always start off very strong in April and early May and if the Brewers struggle, they will have a much harder time coming back. Not only that, but if the Cubs start off strong with new acquisition Kosuke Fukudome and rookies Geovanny Soto and Felix Pie finding their swing, it would put a lot more pressure on Milwaukee to stop the idea and adjust quickly. I think it is a good idea, but a good idea later in the season after players find their step.

Word coming out of Brewers camp is that Braun's agent, Naz Balelo, is working on an extension for Braun, similar to the one Troy Tulowitzki got. "It's certainly something I am open to, but I honestly haven't thought about it too much yet," Braun said. "I'm definitely not opposed to considering whatever they have to say." The meeting was informal, but positive, according to officials. I do not expect something to get done before the season starts, but something next off season seems likely.

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Padres Interest Turns To Gross

The Padres are looking for an outfielder and have turned their interest to outfielder Gabe Gross. Gross hit .235 with 7 HR in 95 games, but he is just 28 and could be the Padres outfielder for the next couple of years. Furthermore, the Padres will not have to give up as much as they would if they were to trade for Xavier Nady or Matt Murton, so that makes him an even more solid pick up. The Brewers are likely to unload him because there is no room in the Padres outfield, so they might be willing to take less. They have Tony Gwynn and Gabe Kapler behind Mike Cameron, Ryan Braun, and Corey Hart, so carrying six outfielders seems pointless. The A's and Indians were believed to be interested in him as well, but I think the Padres are the most likely to trade for him.

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Interview with LaTroy Hawkins

Today, I had the chance to talk to veteran pitcher LaTroy Hawkins. Hawkins is a Yankee relief pitcher, but was apart of the Rockies last year, and the Twins in the early 2000s that made the playoffs. He is a class act, who is likely to set up for closer Mariano Rivera. He was nice enough to take some time away from his busy Spring training schedule to answer some questions for me. I want to thank him and Mike Dillon of Reynolds Sports Management for setting this up for me, I really appreciate it.

ELI: You played baseball, basketball, and ran track in high school. Which was your strongest sport at the time?

LaTroy: Basketball. But I couldn't go pro in the NBA, maybe somewhere else, but not the NBA.

ELI: Was there any doubt in your mind that baseball was not the path you were going to take?

LaTroy: No, not really. My grandpa said baseball was my best sport so I took his word for it.

ELI: Back in 1994, you played in A, AA, and AAA. Do you remember what kind of adjustments you had to make to continue doing well at the higher levels?

LaTroy: I just kept doing what I was doing. Throw strikes, limit walks. I had a solid defense which was good to have and it worked to my benefit.

ELI: Can you tell me about when you were called up? How were you told? Where were you?

LaTroy: I was taken out of Spring Training. They extended the rosters coming off the strike, so we had thirty players for the first two weeks. So that is how I got my big league review, off the expanded rosters.

ELI: 2002 and 2003 were great years for you. What sorts of things were working well for you those years?

LaTroy: I was comfortable in my role. I was able to throw a lot of strikes, get a lot of ground balls. I was thinking ahead in the count. I could get the ball down and away on lefties and righties, so I was hitting my spots well.

ELI: You were a free agent in 2004, what was the experience like for you?

LaTroy: It was cool. A lot of teams wanted me, a lot were interested in my services.

ELI: This past season, you got out and helped the grounds crew with the tarp during that storm. Was it hard to handle?

LaTroy: No, it was not a big deal. I was out there for probably five minutes. Some of those guys were out there for twenty. I got a lot of credit for nothing.

ELI: What was the Colorado clubhouse like during the late season playoff run? Were a lot of guys superstitious?

LaTroy: You know, if you play well, good things will come. If you don't, bad things will come. Everyone was pretty excited. We started off poor, found every which way to lose, and now we were finding new ways to win. It was great.

ELI: You pitched in the playoff game against the Padres, how were you feeling after pitching a scoreless inning?

LaTroy: I felt good. That was the greatest game I have ever been apart of. I was there for David Wells' perfect game, but the energy, emotion of this game was different. I had all my adrenaline pumping. We knew they had no shot, they were down and out at that point.

ELI: You nearly signed with the Yankees back in 2004, was it pretty easy getting a contract done because you understood where they were coming from?

LaTroy: It is always easy with the Yankees. They don't mess around. If they want you, they will get you.

ELI: What is the typical Spring Training day like for a relief pitcher?

LaTroy: You have to be dressed by 10:15, but guys get there earlier to do their own workout. Then, we stretch as a team. After that, we do fundamentals: run downs, pop ups, ground balls, stuff that might happen during games. Then you do some individual stuff. Someone will hit the ball to first and you will run over and cover it. There are three stations of that. Then you go over signals, like for pitch outs. Then you do conditioning and that is when all the pitchers run together. Then you are done, but most go and work out individually in the gym.

ELI: You have pretty good deception, at what time in your career did you really work to make that better?

LaTroy: It was God given. It just comes out of my hand hard. I have always pitched like this so it was God given.

ELI: Do you have a favorite stadium to pitch at?

LaTroy: Yankee Stadium.

ELI: If you could give out one piece of advice to young, aspiring pitchers, what would it be?

LaTroy: Take care of your arms.

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2008 Mariners Projections

DH Jose Vidro
.293 AVG, 8 HR, 56 RBI
C Kenji Johjima
.282 AVG, 12 HR, 59 RBI
1B Richie Sexson
.237 AVG, 19 HR, 65 RBI
2B Jose Lopez
.266 AVG, 10 HR, 64 RBI
3B Adrian Beltre
.273 AVG, 24 HR, 90 RBI
SS Yuniesky Betancourt
.294 AVG, 11 HR, 72 RBI
LF Raul Ibanez
.279 AVG, 18 HR, 92 RBI
CF Ichiro
.337 AVG, 8 HR, 64 RBI
RF Brad Wilkerson
.242 AVG, 16 HR, 58 RBI

SP Erik Bedard
15-7 W-L, 3.34 ERA, 215 K
SP Felix Hernandez
16-8 W-L, 3.76 ERA, 184 K
SP Carlos Silva
13-11 W-L, 4.39 ERA, 82 K
SP Jarrod Washburn
9-11 W-L, 4.76 ERA, 106 K
SP Miguel Batista
12-10 W-L, 4.48 ERA, 114 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

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What's Happening In Spring Training?

Phillies: Yesterday, Ryan Howard won a record breaking arbitration case and will make 10 million dollars, instead of the 7 the Phillies wanted to pay him. He made 900,000 last year. Brad Lidge is throwing very well and should be the Phillies closer. Also, the Mets and Phillies feud is still going on, and Pedro Martinez is jumping in threating brawls. It will be an exciting first series.

Reds: Craig Wilson failed his physical and is no longer in Reds camp. I think Wilson would have made the team, and it is possible they will resign him once he gets healthy, but they have other options. Maybe if they trade Scott Hatteberg, they will try and sign him again. Josh Fogg is officially a Red.

Athletics: Some of the newly acquired A's are turning some heads in Spring Training. Not a surprise. The A's acquired some very good players who should be playing everyday in the MLB in a couple of seasons.

Yankees: The Yankees will be watching very closely to see if Derek Jeter can still play shortstop everyday. With a lot of players leaving via free agency, it is possible we could see him play first base, move Juan Miranda to DH, and sign a new shortstop, perhaps Rafael Furcal. If they were to go through trade, Michael Young is available, Chin-Lung Hu, if they are willing to take a chance. Otherwise, there are not many other options unless they were to pull off a big splash.

Marlins: Dallas McPhearson is hitting the ball really well in Marlins camp. If this continues, I doubt they will pursue a Wes Helms trade.

Blue Jays: Roy Halladay and Frank Thomas are looking really good in their first spring training workout. Also, the Blue Jays are really excited about young catching prospect Brian Jeroloman.

Twins: The Twins morale is already low, but Joe Mauer is looking good.

Cubs: The Cubs really like what they are seeing from Kosuke Fukudome, along with pitcher Esmailin Caridad. Also, the closer spot will be decided when games start, but it will likely go to Bob Howry over Kerry Wood and Carlos Marmol to start.

Red Sox: Manny is no longer being Manny. Meaning, he is no longer asking for a trade every off season. He loves Boston, for now, and is hoping the Red Sox will pay him 20 million dollars. I doubt that will happen, but I do not doubt they will decline it and then sign him to something cheaper.

Indians: The Indians have a lot of chemistry, and it helped by not making too many moves. I think they are in for another good year.

Rays: Number one pick David Price is turning some heads in Spring Training, and so is Evan Longoria.

Nationals: Lastings Milledge is ready to be a National, and is excited about the opportunity to play everyday.

Dodgers: Nomar Garciaparra continues to be a leader, but he will have to adjust to a new role with the Dodgers.

That is all for now, check back soon.

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Breakout Player Spotlight: Rickie Weeks

Rickie Weeks is obviously the Brewers second baseman of the future. He can hit, run, and field - and he is a leader in the clubhouse. Last year was a down year coming off of surgery, but he is in for a big year that could take the Brewers into the playoffs. He is going to be in a good spot in the lineup where power is all around him, so he will have a chance to score and drive people in. I think he will be a great fantasy pick up and a player to look out for when pitching to this season. However, do not immediately go and pick him up. He does have injury problems that could easily come up again playing everyday. Still, one person close to Weeks said that a whole offseason to rest did him well and he should hit the ground running when the season the starts. We'll see, but if weeks is hanging around in the later rounds of your fanatasy leagues, I would take him.

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Top 5 Prospects AL and NL Central

Jonathan Mayo covers the minor leagues and the draft as a senior writer for MLB.com. Mayo also has a book coming out that has some interesting timing. It is a look at what it is like to face Roger Clemens and is appropriately titled Facing Clemens. The book was written prior to the release of the Mitchell Report and is now available for purchase. He’s agreed to do a series of posts on the top prospects in each division heading into the 2008 season. Last week, he covered the AL and NL East. Now he’ll take a look at the top 5 prospects in the AL and NL Central.

AL CENTRAL

This list would have been more balanced had the White Sox and Tigers not traded away a large amount of their respective farms in offseason trades. The Twins brought in some young players, but none who qualify for Top 5 status, in my opinion. (As an aside, a guy like Kevin Slowey or Carlos Gomez of the Twins didn’t qualify because they are no longer considered rookies by Major League Baseball).

1. Adam Miller, RHP, Cleveland: Yes, I know he’s had injury problems and needs to stay healthy. He’s also still got one of the best arms in the Minors. He could break through in a bullpen role to start the year.

2. Rick Porcello, RHP, Detroit: He hasn’t thrown a competitive professional pitch yet, but there is much excitement about his right arm, especially since he’s more or less the farm now.

3. Mike Moustakas, SS, Kansas City: Simply, the kid can just flat-out hit. I can’t wait to see what he does in his first full season. He’s at short for now, but he won’t stay there long-term.

4. Luke Hochevar, RHP, Kansas City: The 2006 No. 1 overall pick has top of the rotation-type stuff, but will start the 2008 season in the bullpen. Don’t expect that to last, though.

5. Chuck Lofgren, LHP, Cleveland: A lefty with arm strength and good stuff, he just needs to refine some command issues. Look for things to click for him in 2008 and he’ll pass up some of the softer-tossing lefties in the organization.

Others of note: Of the prospects the Twins got from the Mets, RHP Deolis Guerra rates the highest; the White Sox have a couple of pitchers who could help soon in Jack Egbert and Lance Broadway, both right-handers.

NL CENTRAL

This is an exciting division for prospects, with the top three all coming from the first round of the 2005 draft.

1. Jay Bruce, OF, Cincinnati: He’s the No. 1 prospect in baseball, not just according to me, but most who do these kinds of rankings. I hope that Dusty Baker actually lets him play CF to start the year, but I also know that may not be realistic.

2. Colby Rasmus, OF, St. Louis: There’s a reason the Cardinals dealt Jim Edmonds away. Rasmus is very close to being ready. He’ll get a long look for the CF job on Opening Day, but even if he starts the year in Triple-A, he won’t be there long.

3. Andrew McCutchen, OF, Pittsburgh: That 2005 draft class that featured HS talents Justin Upton, Cameron Maybin, Bruce and Rasmus also produced McCutchen. He started slowly last year, but came on strong and has the makings of a five-tooler who can flat out play center. Whoever starts the year in center for the Pirates may not finish it there because of him.

4. Homer Bailey, RHP, Cincinnati: Pay no heed to his early stats from last year. Look instead at his September starts. You’ll see the real Homer Bailey, the one who’s got ace potential, in 2008.

5. Josh Vitters, 3B, Chicago: Another 2007 draftee to make these lists (see Porcello and Moustakas above). His summer debut deserves a mulligan. With a full offseason to prepare, he’ll hit the ground running in ’08.

Others of note: The aforementioned Cueto, who sometimes gets lost in Homer Bailey’s shadow; fellow Reds 1B Joey Votto, who should be their starter at that position, but you have to wonder if veteran-lover Dusty Baker will allow it; Brewers OF Matt LaPorta, the 2007 draftee who could start this year all the way up in Double-A and Brewers SS Alcides Escobar, who’ll play the 2008 season at age 21 in Triple-A.

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Crisp Talks Picking Up

Now that Crisp has said he would like to be traded if he does not get the starting job - which is likely - it is only a matter of time before he is traded. Jacoby Ellsbury is the center fielder and lead off hitter of the future and everybody knows it. Crisp's value is down right now after a poor postseason showing, so a good spring should get his value up to a solid point. As of right now, the A's, Rangers, and Twins are the only serious contenders. The Rangers and Red Sox were pretty serious during the offseason, according to one source, but talks fell through. Supposedly, the Rangers offered Gerald Laird for Crisp and the Red Sox wanted more. Now, they are reportedly talking to the A's about sending Crisp and a top prospect or two for Joe Blanton. Crisp would play center for one more year and it will give Chris Denorfia a chance to develop more. I think Crisp will find a home, but I doubt it will be in Oakland.

Cardinals forgive Weaver, put in call: The Cardinals are desperate for pitching and are calling on former Cardinals Jeff Weaver, who spurned the team to sign a one year deal with the Mariners. I doubt he can repeat the numbers he put with the Cardinals, but maybe he can help the bottom part of the rotation.

Reds close in on Fogg: The Reds and Josh Fogg are in the process of finalizing a contract. I do not think this will stop them for pursuing Joe Blanton, but maybe they will not go as hard for him.

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Stewart to Blue Jays?

The Blue Jays confirmed that they have made an offer to outfielder Shannon Stewart, but have not heard back in over a week. Stewart will be thirty-four next week and was seeking a two year deal until he found no takers. However, Stewart hit .290 with 12 HR and 48 RBI and is pretty solid in the first months leading to the All-Star game, so he could be a cheap addition with a lot of reward. Although I do not think he will repeat his numbers, Stewart has the makings of a solid reserve outfielder who would help the Blue Jays.

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Garcia to Mets?

According to Jon Heyman, free agent pitcher Freddy Garcia met with Mets officials today and talks reportedly went well. Garcia, who 1-5 with a 5.90 ERA in 11 starts, is recovering from shoulder surgery and should be ready to pitch in July. The Mets want a lot of depth in their rotation and were impressed at how fast Martinez recovered, so they might run Garcia through the same program if he signs.

UPDATE: Omar Minaya said the Mets are not interested and that Garcia was just visiting two friends, Pedro Martinez and Johan Santana.

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2008 Indians Projections

DH Travis Hafner
.272 AVG, 29 HR, 110 RBI
C Victor Martinez
.305 AVG, 22 HR, 102 RBI
1B Ryan Garko
.284 AVG, 18 HR, 72 RBI
2B Asdrubal Cabrera
.274 AVG, 9 HR, 58 RBI
3B Casey Blake
.258 AVG, 15 HR, 66 RBI
SS Jhonny Peralta
.277 AVG, 19 HR, 83 RBI
LF David Dellucci
.248 AVG, 13 HR, 57 RBI
CF Grady Sizemore
.293 AVG, 28 HR, 88 RBI
RF Franklin Gutierrez
.269 AVG, 14 HR, 54 RBI

SP C.C. Sabathia
17-8 W-L, 3.48 ERA, 175 K
SP Fausto Carmona
15-6 W-L, 3.56 ERA, 146 K
SP Paul Byrd
9-14 W-L, 4.88 ERA, 76 K
SP Jake Westbrook
12-10 W-L, 4.47 ERA, 109 K
SP Cliff Lee
10-11 W-L, 4.69 ERA, 112 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

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Nixon to Arizona?

The Diamondbacks were impressed with Trot Nixon's offensive workout this past Sunday and are having discussions on whether or not to offer him a minor league deal. “We’ll probably make a decision whether to bring him in the next day or so, or at least making an offer, to the extent he might have other choices,” general manager Josh Byrnes said Monday. Although Nixon hit several balls out of the park, the Diamondbacks have a lot of depth, and signing him might force the Diamondbacks to make room for him, which would take at-bats away from several players. Nixon, 34, hit .251 with 3 HR in 99 games, but would probably make for a solid bench player. There is no harm in bringing him in for an extended look, especially if they give Nixon the option to be released if he does not make the team at the end of Spring Training.

Quote of the week: "I just didn't see the door and jumped through it," he said. "I have small cuts everywhere." Hunter Pence cut his hand and legs, but should not miss major time.

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Perez to Nationals or Red Sox

Free agent Odalis Perez is mulling over two offers, one from the Nationals and one from the Red Sox. Perez, 30, was 8-11 with a 5.57 ERA in 26 starts last season for the Royals, but is 66-70 with a 4.47 ERA in his career. It seems hard to turn down a deal from the Red Sox right now, but if the Nationals are offering a spot in their rotation while Perez might not make the squad in Boston, I'm sure he would go to D.C. Also, you are joining a team with a new stadium and the potential to win some games in the NL East this year, so this definitely is a tough decision. Perez has seen success in the National League so I would suggest him moving to the NL, but he may have personal reasons we are all unaware of. Also, Red Sox pitching coach John Farrell is known for his ability to work with lefties, and it has shown with Hideki Okajima. We'll see, but I expect an announcement very soon.

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Cliff Lee Available?

According to the Cincinnati Enquirer, Indians starter Cliff Lee is available. Lee went 5-8 with a 6.29 ERA in 20 games last season, but is 54-36 with a 4.64 ERA in his career. He has one eighteen win season, and could benefit from a switch to the NL. The Reds are interested if the Blanton deal falls through, but I think they are going to push for Blanton until the very end of Spring Training. We could see Lee in a Jason Bay trade, but I think the Indians will hold onto him so he can build up his value again, then trade him.

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Rangers Sign Kinsler

The Rangers and Ian Kinsler have agreed to a five year extension worth 22 million dollars, according to MLB.com. Although Kinsler hit just .263 with 20 HR, the deal buys out all years of arbitration and two years of free agency, so if he improves, this will be an even better deal for the Rangers. The Rangers have been involved with trade talks concerning Marlon Byrd, but I think they are done making moves this spring. As for locking other players up, if Josh Hamilton puts out another good year and plays 130-145 games, he might be worthy of one. Also, young catcher Jarrod Saltalamacchia is entering his second year in the bigs and he could get a big deal if he plays up to his potential. I think it is still early for him, but they do have several young players that can lead this team. However, they lack solid pitching which I think is hurting them in the division.

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Astros, Chacon Close?

The Astros and Shawn Chacon are reportedly closing in on a one year deal. Chacon, 30, will definitely help the Astros pitching considering how versatile he was for the Pirates in the bullpen and rotation in 2007. Chacon is 37-46 with a 4.89 ERA in 119 career starts and 6-12 with 36 saves and a 5.39 ERA in 135 career relief appearances in nine seasons with the Rockies, Yankees, and Pirates. Many pitchers are starting to find homes but what about Kyle Lohse? Lohse was looking at thirty million dollars and his agent, Scott Boras, supposedly ruined that for him by refusing to back down. I think Lohse's best deal probably lies with the Phillies, but could come from a team who offers a minor league deal in the next week or so. Lohse has to sign soon so he is ready for the regular season. I expect something to get done this week with Lohse.

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Wieters Could See MLB in '08

Orioles first round draft pick Matt Wieters is already drawing a lot of attention at Spring Training. Not only is he showing his natural ability to hit and throw the ball, but the way he interacts in the clubhouse shows that he belongs. "It's been a great experience so far," he said. "I'm just trying to be like a gnat on the wall, where you just fly around and listen to what everybody else is saying. And everybody's been great about talking to me, whether it's about hitting or the clubhouse. It's been a fun couple of days." In 185 games at Georgia Tech, Wieters hit .359 AVG with 35 HR and 198 RBI. Although Wieters did not play in the minor leagues last season, it would not surprise me if he got a September call up. His solid bat and average fielding make him the likely replacement for Ramon Hernandez in the future. However, there are some problems in Weiters' swing, but nothing that can't be fixed. Mainly just movement in his swing which keeps him less balanced. Also, there are not many 6'5'' catchers, and we have not seen him catch at the professional level, so if it is something he cannot handle, he might make a switch. Still, scouts say he has excellent baseball instincts and I think he will adjust fine. As for seeing time in 2008, and I think you are better off banking on 2009.

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Rodriguez Wants Long Term Deal

Angels closer Francisco Rodriguez is entering the final year of his contract and it sounds like if a deal is not reached by Opening Day, he will walk. Rodriguez, 26, went 5-2 with a 2.81 ERA and 90 K, but has recored 132 saves over the past three seasons. I think Rodriguez will be looking for at least fifteen million dollars annually over six to seven seasons. He is just twenty-six, and those demands do not seem too unreasonable. The Angels do not plan to trade Rodriguez just yet, but I'm sure they would if the right deal came along. The Angels have one of the best minor league systems and a pretty good draft record, so if Rodriguez does walk, they could take the draft picks and sign someone else. As for possible replacements, Brandon Lyon and Juan Cruz of the Diamondbacks, Rafael Soriano, and maybe Damasco Marte. Another possible replacement, although unlikely, is Japanese lefty Hirotoshi Ishii.

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News and Notes: Pitchers Looking Good

Now that pitchers have reported and started their workouts, many are calling for big years from certain players. According to Richard Griffin, Mike Mussina not only looks better than he did last Spring, but he is also working with young pitchers Ian Kennedy and Phil Hughes. He went on to talk about Kei Igawa, who has been working to improve on his stuff for next season. I doubt that he will make the rotation, and I think it wiill be a struggle for him to make the bullpen. In the AL West, Ervin Santana has reportedly been working hard so far and looks a lot better. Personally, I think Santana would be a solid pickup if you are doing Fantasy Baseball this year. I wouldn't gamble on Mussina just yet, but Santana and Hughes would be solid late round pickups. Another solid pick up in the late rounds would be B.J. Ryan, who is looking very good since being cleared to throw after surgery.

Jay Payton likely to be traded?: Jay Payton is the odd man out in the Orioles outfield, and they have yet to find a suitor for the thirty-five year old making five million dollars. Not only
that, but his numbers in 2007 leave the Orioles in no position to make demands.

Willie Randolph on hot seat?: Bob Klapisch belives that Willie Randolph's job is on the line if he fails to make it to the playoffs. I can't say I disagree. Randolph was helpless towards the end of the last season and did hardly anything to turrn it around. However, the players love him and if they rally for him, he might stay.

Trevor Hoffman still caught on Rockies game: Hoffman has said before that he still thinks about the Rockies game. This spring he has been working from the windup, moving away from his trademark stretch. Why would he move away from the stretch? It has only been his style that has gotten him 524 saves, the most all time.

Cubs plan to make more trades?: Matt Murton has no place in the Cubs outfield despite his ability to hit for power. He is pretty good off the bench, but if he can"t get 400 at bats, I think they should trade him. Another name is Sean Marshall, who is very similar to Ted Lilly and Rich Hill. I think he has the potential to be very good, but it is obvious that the Cubs do not want him behind Hill or Lilly.

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Could Schilling Be Traded?

The Red Sox have reported to camp and many are starting to believe that they have what it takes to be a dynasty. I can't say I disagree. They are young, they have been together for awhile, and they are only getting better. However, it seems that Curt Schilling might be on the outs among some Red Sox pitchers, management, and other players. He is a regular blogger on his website 38pitches.com, but seems to voice his opinions too often. I am sure that causes some problems in the clubhouse and it could lead to a trade if it becomes too much. Not only that, but he wasn't too impressive last season, but shined in the playoffs. Furthermore, he is blocking Clay Buchholz from starting with the Red Sox, so if he does well, they could ship some cash and Schilling to a team looking for a solid pitcher. I can't say which teams will need a pitcher in four months, but we could see the Cubs or Dodgers come in hoping to put them over the top in their respective divisions.

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Nationals Could Trade Young?

Last year, there was a lot of speculation around the possibility that Dmitri Young might be traded since he restored some value in himself. Although he was not traded, there is more speculation now that Spring Training is underway. Young, who hit .320 with 13 HR and 74 RBI, could help a lot of teams. Not only can he play first base, but he has been a DH before and would probably accept a position change if needed. As for teams that could be interested, the Yankees could pull in and make a trade. Or, if the Cardinals lose Albert Pujols for an extended amount of time, he would make for a solid stop gap. Personally, I see a trade involving Young closer to the trade deadline, but if the right trade presents itself for the Nationals, they might pull the trigger.

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Giants Hope To Sign Kim

The Giants arrived at camp yesterday and questions are already coming up about their weak pitching staff. According to Henry Schulman of SFGate.com, the Giants hope to sign Byung-Hyun Kim to a spot starter role. Kim pitched fairly well last season even after being moved around several times. Kim went 10-8 with a 6.08 ERA in twenty-eight games last season, but I think he would be more effective from the bullpen. His high ERA and high walk totals I think would limit coming from a position where he would face two to three batters at most. We'll see, but it is obvious that the Giants Front Office is looking to make a move. Why not sign Kyle Lohse to a 'Livan Hernandez type deal'?

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2008 Mets Projections

C Brian Schneider
.246 AVG, 6 HR, 48 RBI
1B Carlos Delgado
.262 AVG, 23 HR, 86 RBI
2B Luis Castillo
.295 AVG, 3 HR, 46 RBI
3B David Wright
.312 AVG, 34 HR, 123 RBI
SS Jose Reyes
.289 AVG, 14 HR, 62 RBI
LF Moises Alou
.272 AVG, 16 HR, 73 RBI
CF Carlos Beltran
.273 AVG, 28 HR, 105 RBI
RF Ryan Church
.269 AVG, 16 HR, 71 RBI

SP Johan Santana
16-10 W-L, 3.42 ERA, 243 K
SP Pedro Martinez
12-5 W-L, 3.58 ERA, 137 K
SP John Maine
13-10 W-L, 4.10 ERA, 163 K
SP Oliver Perez
10-13 W-L, 4.34 ERA, 156 K
SP Orlando Hernandez
8-10 W-L, 4.45 ERA, 118 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

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News and Notes: Bobby Cox Not Done Yet

Long time Braves manager Bobby Cox told reporters on the first day of Spring Training that he is not retiring for sure after this season. That is good for Braves fans, who see no legitimate replacement looking for a job. Cox is a genius when it comes to developing players, and is also respected for his relationships with players. I assume that when Cox is done, he will take a Special Assistant job in the Front Office, so he won't be far from the clubhouse. As for replacements for next year, I think hitting coach Terry Pendleton will be considered, along with Cubs bench coach Alan Trammell. I will have to look more closely at other coaches, but I am sure whatever happens, Bobby Cox will have a lot of say in what goes down.

Padres still looking to make a trade: The Padres are still trying to make a trade for an outfielder an are eying Jason Bay, Xavier Nady, and Matt Murton. I think Nady is the most likely to land in San Diego, just because the Pirates are more willing to deal him.

Crisp could be traded soon?: According to the Providence Journal, the Red Sox are looking to acquire a starting pitcher and have talked to the Rangers, White Sox, and Cubs. Jason Marquis to Boston? Jose Contreras?

Noah Lowry still on block?: The Giants are still looking to trade Noah Lowry and is drawing some minor interest. I assume the Red Sox might be interested, and probably the White Sox as well.

Colon still jobless: Bartolo Colon is still looking for a job and might have to take a non-guaranteed deal to show that he can pitch effectively. Other notable players still unsigned include Kenny Lofton, Kyle Lohse, and Corey Patterson.

Bush to pardon Clemens?: According to McNamee's lawyer, if Roger Clemens is charged in the steroid scandal, President Bush will pardon Clemens because of their close relationship.

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Sabathia Cuts Off Talks

Indians pitcher C.C. Sabathia has decided to table contract discussions until the end of the season, according to his website. I am sort of surprised he wouldn't want to get a deal done but if he can make at least 130 million dollars on the market, it is understandable. Especially because teams like the Dodgers, Yankees, and Red Sox with a lot of spending money will be looking for starting pitchers next off season. Sabathia, who went 19-7 with a 3.21 ERA and 209 K, has said before he would like to stay in Cleveland, but because the Tigers have improved so much this off season with young talent, he might want to play for a team with a better chance of winning. Who knows, maybe he just wants to focus on baseball. Maybe he has other intentions. However, some pitchers do not do well when they are pitching without a contract, and he might feel extra pressure if he struggles. Personally, I think he will stay with the Indians. The Indians have the money, they just need to meet Sabathia half way.

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The Future of Sports Management: XTS Sports

A couple of weeks ago, I had the pleasure of talking to agent Adam Bierman and former pitcher Jerry Merz, who is the Director of Player Development at XTS Sports. Mr. Bierman and I have talked over the past couple of months about doing interviews, and we eventually came to the subject of how XTS runs. At first, I was baffled by it. But once we started talking more I started to realize that this is truly the future of sports management. What they do takes a lot of time and requires a lot of work. Mr. Bierman works closely with CEO Justin Urbas, along with others at XTS Sports to make their agency one of the premier in the business.

Sports agents have not been around forever. For awhile, many owners took advantage of great players to continue having success. While this would help the team from a chemistry perspective, it started baseball on a downward spiral between player and management relationships. “Owners were taking advantage of uneducated players in order to make more money for themselves,” Bierman says. This is true, but what were the first steps in player representation? “Lawyers got involved and became someone a player could trust.” From there, the Union took shape and a new generation in baseball was born, as Jerry Merz put it.

So how did XTS grow to where it is today? Justin Urbas, along with Adam Bierman and others, began taking draftees and hoping they would develop into major league players. “As they grew, we grew,” Bierman says. In about five years in operation, XTS has grown to no longer taking amateur players. Yes, this is similar to how most agencies grow to where they are today, but I am going to take you deep inside XTS to find out what they are really doing.

We all know that these contracts are all based off numbers. You compare them to a player, or a position, and then you average their contracts to form a new one, in simple terms. Most agencies work out a contract for the player to get the best deal possible, and then the agent charges about 5% of what he makes over x amount of years. So, Alfonso Soriano signed an eight year deal worth 136 million dollars. His agent, Diego Bentz, will make 850,000 dollars every year off Alfonso Soriano’s contract. “So every year Alfonso Soriano will pay his agent 850,000 dollars to take him out for dinner when he is not even negotiating a contract!” Diego Bentz will be representing kids younger than me by the time Alfonso Soriano pays him 850,000 dollars for the last time. Does that sound right if Bentz is not even negotiating for Soriano anymore? XTS Sports takes a different approach.

XTS Sports charges their players hourly for the amount of time spent on a contract. They do not charge each year, just one bill at the end of each negotiation for the amount of hours spent, just like lawyers charge an hourly rate. So instead of Alfonso Soriano paying 850,000 dollars a year to his agent, he pays 1,000-2,000 dollars an hour in one payment to his agent and some of the “stat geeks” who helped develop his contract. Not only that, but they work with players off the field to increase the money they make from baseball: “We help capitalize on the opportunity and to take advantage of opportunities in business. They can lay the ground work of their business while playing, or explore it when they are done. They could even start in minor leagues.” For example, Athletics outfielder Aaron Cunningham likes tattoos. “He would love to get involved with tattoos eventually.” So what XTS will do is get him involved in some of the ventures so when he is ready, he can get involved. When I asked Aaron about it, he said, “What they are doing is taking baseball, and turning into a business. It allows you to make money, and them to make money.

One question I had about it is how much time do they have to set up a business? Rangers outfielder Mike Hernandez wants to get involved in car dealerships, but does he have the time to invest in one or learn more about it with such a demanding schedule? “That is up to the player. We work with dynamic personalities and they get involved because they want to maximize profit. So, if someone wants to get in the restaurant business or open one of their own, we will help them get it started by marketing it. We will help build it, put some value in it, and basically put the pieces in play.” So I ask the question again, why aren’t young players like Jacoby Ellsbury who are not making a lot more attracted to this type of management?

Agents try every road trip to take players away away from their agencies. One player told me they just call up to the hotel room to talk. Or they say, “I’ll be in town, let me take you out for dinner.” One player, who wanted remain anonymous sometimes takes agents up on their offer just for a free meal and has no intention of leaving the agency they are currently at. XTS Sports is definitely one step ahead of the game in terms of sports management and plan to keep growing and expanding in hopes of becoming the top agency in the sports world.

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Juan Uribe to Baltimore?

The White Sox report to Spring Training in two days and questions are already brewing about what to do at shortstop. After Juan Uribe gave the White Sox a hometown discount, the White Sox went out and acquired a solid shortstop in Orlando Cabrera. It is obvious that he will be their shortstop barring a serious injury. So what to do with Uribe? He is making 4.5 million dollars, too much to put him on the bench. And they have a second baseman in Danny Richar and a DH in Jim Thome. So what can they do? One AL executive said that he would not be surprised if the Orioles made a move, especially if they do not trade Brian Roberts. Uribe hit .234 with 20 HR and 68 RBI while Luis Hernandez, who played in just 30 games, hit .290 with 1 HR. Hernandez may be the future at shortstop and if the Orioles are trying to get younger, it wouldn't be smart to bring in an another aging player. I think a trade involving Juan Uribe will happen in the first week or so of exhibition games. I do not think the White Sox want the unrest in the clubhouse while everyone is trying to get comfortable and in to in-season form.

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Phillies Sign Benson

The Phillies and pitcher Kris Benson agreed to a minor league deal with an invitation to Spring Training. The Phillies do not plan to rush Benson to return, and may even start him at Triple-A to further build up his arm strength. Nevertheless, I think this is a good move with little risk. Benson has proven he can put up wins and pitch consistently, so if he can return, he could help the Phillies against his former team and Philly rival, the Mets.

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Offseason In Review

In retrospect, I think I picked the best time to start this website. It was on the verge of a big off season with several big name players asking for big time money. Trades were going around, signings everyday, people were just interested, and so was I. This off season, I came in with an optimistic feeling that they would be a lot of trades and not a lot of big signings. I was wrong. There have not been too many trades and there have been hardly any big signings. Yes, Johan Santana, Dan Haren, and Erik Bedard were traded. But they toyed with us all off season in getting a deal done. But with any off season, there are always winners and losers, and I am hear to break it down:

Biggest Winners:

1. Detroit Tigers

- Not only did they add Edgar Renteria to get their shortstop, but they acquired Miguel Cabrera and Dontrelle Willis to give them one of the best offenses in baseball. The bullpen is still weak, but the rotation and lineup should allow for the bullpen to make a couple of errors here and there. Obviously the Tigers went out to get a World Series and I would not be surprised if they were back playing October ball this October. After acquiring Willis and Cabrera, they locked up Willis, and are currently working on Miguel Cabrera. Aside from them, they signed Granderson long term, and also acquired Jacque Jones to play left field.

2. New York Mets

- The Mets kept pretty quiet this off season after their heart breaking collapse in the final weeks of the season. However, they played hard to get with the Twins and finally pulled off a huge deal to land the best pitcher in baseball, Johan Santana. Not only that, but they gave up four decent minor league players who are still unproven. I do not think this locks up the division, but it makes them a lot better than last season with just one major addition. Other notable additions are Ryan Church and Brian Schneider, who should adjust nicely to Shea Stadium after playing in D.C.

Biggest Losers:

1. Minnesota Twins

- Yes the Twins were able to unload Johan Santana but did not get anything in return that will help them significantly in 2008. If they had taken an earlier offer, they could have had Jacoby Ellsbury and four other prospects that were a lot better than the ones they got. With the trade, they have no number one starter with Liriano still in question and although they landed Delmon Young, did nothing to improve their infield by signing Mike Lamb and Adam Everett. In the division they are in now, I think they will be fighting for third, possible fourth if the Royals turn it around.

2. St. Louis Cardinals

- Just a year after winning the World Series, the Cardinals finished in third place. They had no pitching, and did nothing this off season to improve that. Yes they added Matt Clement, but he has not pitched successfully in two seasons. Cesar Izturis is not the answer at shortstop, and hopefully Troy Glaus can perform at third. Who knows if Ankiel can repeat his impressive numbers now moving to center, and who is playing right field again? Skip Schumaker, or the rookie Colby Rasmus.

Honorable Mention: Scott Boras

Best Signing:

1. Andruw Jones, Dodgers

- To sign Andruw Jones to a two year deal worth 36.2 million dollars does not seem like a good signing considering he hit .222 with 26 HR, but that was obviously a fluke. He had 50 HR just two seasons ago. Yes, we can see his is on the decline but he still has two solid years left and if Dodger pitching can hold the line, I think they will be up for a playoff bid.

Worst Signing:

1. Mariano Rivera

- Mariano Rivera is one of the best closers in the history of the game, but in no way did he deserve a three year deal. I am going to avoid the money and the type of player he is for one second. The Yankees are an old team and in order to compete with the Yankees, need to get younger. Signing him to a one year deal or even two year deal would allow them to go out and try and land someone like Joe Nathan or Francisco Rodriguez in the next off season. Instead, they are stuck with the closer who is expected to struggle.

2. Aaron Rowand

- For the Giants, they are in no position to be injury prone players. The Giants are a last place team and keep signing players when they should be trading the good players they have left for younger players with better potential. Just not a smart signing on the Giants part.

Best Trade: Athletics traded OF Nick Swisher to the Chicago White Sox for LHP Gio Gonzalez, RHP Fautino De Los Santos and OF Ryan Sweeney.

- Wow. What a move by the A's. Not only did they acquire three solid prospects but they got rid of a decent player locked up for a long time. Don't get me wrong, I think that Swisher can perform, but not enough to help the A's. The White Sox traded away three players key to their future for one player who may or may not help. Big win for A's.

So what can we look for next off season? Obviously there will be more moves with a lot of good players on the market, but who might be traded? What will the biggest contract come out to?

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2008 Dodgers Projections

C Russell Martin
.286 AVG, 17 HR, 82 RBI
1B James Loney
.292 AVG, 18 HR, 88 RBI
2B Jeff Kent
.272 AVG, 14 HR, 65 RBI
3B Nomar Garciaparra*
.266 AVG, 14 HR, 60 RBI
SS Rafael Furcal
.301 AVG, 8 HR, 48 RBI
LF Andre Ethier*
.288 AVG, 18 HR, 72 RBI
CF Andruw Jones
.262 AVG, 34 HR, 104 RBI
RF Matt Kemp
.298 AVG, 17 HR, 84 RBI

3B Andy LaRoche*
.258 AVG, 16 HR, 58 RBI

LF Juan Pierre
.300 AVG, 0 HR, 32 RBI

SP Brad Penny
15-5 W-L, 3.49 ERA, 138 K
SP Derek Lowe
11-11 W-L, 4.24 ERA, 133 K
SP Chad Billingsly
14-8 W-L, 4.04 ERA, 157 K
SP Hiroki Kuroda
10-9 W-L, 4.34 ERA, 123 K
SP Esteban Loaiza*
7-10 W-L, 4.89 ERA, 82 K

Jason Schmidt*
8-11 W-L, 4.78 ERA, 109 K

*assuming they start.

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

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Astros Close In On Chacon

According to GM Ed Wade, the Astros and Shawn Chacon are working on a one year deal. Chacon, who was 5-4 with a 3.79 ERA and 79 K in 64 games for the Pirates, will help the Astros in the rotation and 'pen. Not only that, but he has pitched with the Pirates for two seasons now, and if very familiar with the league. I assume that he will join the rotation, probably behind Oswalt in the two or three spot. One Astros executive expects a deal to be finalized by the end of the week.

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Twins Sign Hernandez

Johan to Livan. The Twins today reached an agreement with free agent pitcher Livan Hernandez. Hernandez has been treading the waters all off season looking for a team and finally landed with one, but probably not his first choice. The deal is worth 5-6 million dollars, a pretty good deal for the type of pitcher he has been over the past several seasons.

More details soon...

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Top 5 Prospects: AL and NL East

Jonathan Mayo covers the minor leagues and the draft as a senior writer for MLB.com. Mayo also has a book coming out that has some interesting timing. It is a look at what it is like to face Roger Clemens and is appropriately titled Facing Clemens. The book was written prior to the release of the Mitchell Report and will be available on March 1st, though you can pre-order it now. He’s agreed to do a series of posts on the top prospects in each division heading into the 2008 season. It kicks off with a look at the top 5 prospects in the AL and NL East.

AL East

Some pretty good arms with a pair of potent bats here. It’s fun to think about the guy atop this list and how he’ll hopefully get to face the pitchers on this list numerous times over the next decade or so.

1. Evan Longoria, 3B, Tampa: I don’t really see the need to hesitate here. He’s ready, and he’s going to be an asset immediately. Just give him the 3B job and leave him alone.

2. Clay Buchholz, RHP, Red Sox: That no-no was no fluke. And while no one wishes injury on a player, Curt Schilling’s ailment could help Buchholz land in the rotation on Opening Day. Otherwise, he may have begun the year in Triple-A. Either way, he’s going to contribute this year.

3. Joba Chamberlain, RHP, Yankees: Think you liked what you saw as a reliever? While it would be unreasonable to expect that kind of dominance all the time as a starter, he’s pretty darned good and you’ll get to see all of his pitches this time around. The Clay vs. Joba debate should be a good one for years to come.

4. David Price, LHP, Tampa: The guy hasn’t even thrown a professional pitch yet, but scouts everywhere rate him this highly. He is extremely polished and is the real deal. It wouldn’t be shocking to see him in Tampa in September, though their glut of pitching talent (Wade Davis, Jacob McGee to name just two) may allow the Rays to take their time.

5. Travis Snider, OF, Toronto: This guy just flat out hits. Against all levels of competition. He was the Midwest League MVP last year then went to the AFL and dominated there as one of the younger performers. Even if the Jays wanted to proceed cautiously, this guy’s bat is going to move him quickly.

If I were to include a player from every team in the division, the O’s representative would be Matt Wieters, their first-round pick last year.

NL East

A quick scan of this list compared to the one above shows you it’s clearly the American League with the better elite prospects right now, though the trade the Marlins made with the Tigers makes it a little more even.

Cameron Maybin, OF, Florida: He can do it all and is just beginning to scratch the surface of his enormous potential. There might be some early bumps as he begins his first full season in the bigs, but the payoff is going to be huge.

Fernando Martinez, OF, New York: The guy the Twins didn’t get. I still can’t get over that. The Mets did well to get him. This season is a big one for him as it’s time for him to start turning potential into performance…and stay healthy. I think he’ll do so.

Carlos Carrasco, RHP, Philadelphia: Not everyone who does this sort of thing is as high on him as I am, but scouts love his stuff. He needs some fine-tuning, but should be ready to slot in right behind Cole Hamels by 2009, at the latest.

Chris Marrero, OF, Washington: This guy is ready to fast-track, big time. He reached High A ball in his first full season and wasn’t overmatched there. He’s going to hit for average and power and the Nats will make room for him as soon as he’s ready. Oh, and he won’t turn 20 until July

Jordan Schafer, OF, Atlanta: Before the Mark Kotsay deal, there was actual talk about giving Schafer a long look for the big-league job this spring, even though he hasn’t played an inning above A ball. Performing well in the AFL probably helped him, but another year in the Minors will serve him well.

Just misses would be Washington’s first-rounder from last year, Ross Detwiler, and the Braves’ top pick from the previous June, outfielder Jason Heyward.

I’ll be back next week with the Central Divisions…

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Olney: Blanton's Market Value

Buster Olney of ESPN.com writes today that there are several teams interested in Joe Blanton. With this new information, it makes it more likely that the A's would part with him to improve their team for the future. Of the teams he mentions, I think the Reds and Yankees are the front two. Followed by the Dodgers, and then the Red Sox, Phillies, and Angels. Although the Angels need a starter to replace Kelvim Escobar, they probably would not be interested in trading four prospects to the A's. The Reds have been interested all off season and if more teams start talking with the A's, they might need to offer Jay Bruce to secure the deal. As for the Yankees, they have been talking about going after Blanton but only if they trade some of their low level prospects. Do not expect Ian Kennedy heading to Oakland. One question I have been getting a lot in my email inbox is why is interest so high for Blanton? Personally, I think it is because right now, there is no better pitcher that is on the market. Also, the Athletics are not asking for too much that can hurt a team in 2008, but get a lot of prospects because they have a solid negotiation angle.

Blanton has been in double-digits every year since becoming an everyday starter, and has pitched over 190 innings each time. Not only that, but he is putting up 15 wins on average and is starting to enter his prime (28-32), so we could see his numbers improve. One reason why I do not think the A's would trade him just yet is because if they do trade him, they have no number one starter to anchor the rotation. However, if they were to trade him and then sign Livan Hernandez or Kyle Lohse to a one year 3-5 million dollar deal that would solve the problem. I see the Reds adding him if they do make a trade, but I also see the Angels adding a pitcher, maybe Jason Marquis, before Opening Day.

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Red Sox Sign Youkilis

Just a week before the Red Sox and Kevin Youkilis were to go to an arbitration hearing, they reached an agreement on a one year deal worth three million dollars. Youkilis filed for 3.7 million dollars while the Red Sox countered with 2.525. They reached the half way point and signed this deal so Youkilis would not have it hanging over his head come Spring Training. I think this is a fair deal, especially because Youkilis hit .288 with 16 HR and 83 RBIs, and performed well in the playoffs. Not only that, but he indicated that he would like to stay with the Red Sox long term so by avoiding arbitration, it makes it more likely.

Lofton to Reds?: Ken Rosenthal at FOXSports.com believes Kenny Lofton might join Dusty Baker in Cincinnati. It would allow the Reds to give Bruce some more time in Triple-A and it would give the Reds a solid center fielder, who is always drawing interest at the trade deadline. So, if Bruce was to do well and was ready to take over everyday, they could trade Lofton at the deadline and give the spot to Bruce.

Alan Embree on the move?: The A's seem more likely to move Alan Embree than Joe Blanton at this point. Embree went 1-2 last season with a 3.91 ERA and 17 SV. As of right now, I do not know where he will go. If I had to guess, maybe the Astros. Other than that, the Tigers could jump in.

Where will Corey Patterson go?: Patterson is probably looking for a minor league deal now after looking for a job all off season and finding no teams willing to meet his demands. I could see the Cubs making a move if they do not acquire Roberts. It would give them an option if Pie fails, and I think some fans would give him another shot. However, the Cubs do have several options out there, including his Corey's brother, Eric Patterson. The Braves might dish out a minor league contract to bring in the Georgia native. We'll know soon enough.

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2008 Diamondbacks Projections

C Chris Snyder
.242 AVG, 15 HR, 54 RBI
*1B Conor Jackson
.277 AVG, 19 HR, 73 RBI
2B Orlando Hudson
.286 AVG, 12 HR, 68 RBI
3B Mark Reynolds
.282 AVG, 24 HR, 83 RBI
SS Stephen Drew
.272 AVG, 11 HR, 66 RBI
LF Eric Byrnes
.290 AVG, 18 HR, 82 RBI
CF Chris Young
.259 AVG, 27 HR, 75 RBI
RF Justin Upton
.303 AVG, 18 HR, 78 RBI

*1B/3B Chad Tracy
.289 AVG, 16 HR, 66 RBI


SP Brandon Webb
19-6 W-L, 2.94 ERA, 206 K
SP Dan Haren
14-8 W-L, 4.42 ERA, 186 K
SP Randy Johnson
8-9 W-L, 4.01 ERA, 166 K
SP Doug Davis
11-10 W-L, 4.34 ERA, 148 K
SP Micah Owings
10-7 W-L, 4.52 ERA, 111 K

*Assuming he was starting.

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

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A's Sign Sweeney

The A's and DH Mike Sweeney have agreed to a one year, non guaranteed deal with an invitation to Spring Training. "They want me to play first base and DH and be a veteran presence for the younger guys," Sweeney said from his San Diego home. "I'm excited about the opportunity and it's close to home." Last season, he hit .260 with 7 HR but has spent the last seventeen years in the Royals organization. Sweeney gives the A's a righty to platoon with Barton and Cust, so if he is healthy, should see his fair share of at-bats. Sweeney will report on Wednesday to A's camp to prepare for the start of the season. "I'll miss wearing Kansas City blue. It's a new chapter in my life and a new chapter for the Kansas City Royals." In other news, the Dodgers and Mark Sweeney are closing in one year deal.

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Interview with J.R. Towles

Back in October, I called a representative of Astros catcher J.R. Towles to see if he would be up for doing an interview. At the time, he was busy in Fall Ball, but when he was called back by the Astros, it was just a matter of time before we got something done. Towles is currently in line to be the Astros starting catcher next season. He played very well to end the season for the Astros, including an 8 RBI game, and he has made people feel pretty good about the future behind the plate for the Astros. I want to thank him again for doing this interview for me, I really appreciate it. I also want to think his representative, Wes Towles, for doing for me as well.

ELI: You were drafted by the Athletics first, but chose not to sign. Why was that?

J.R.: Well the first time they drafted me it was just to have my rights, we didn't talk. The second time, we negotiated, but I wanted to get bigger and stronger, so I went to junior college.

ELI: So when the Astros came along were you ready to sign?

J.R.: Oh yeah, I was ready to go play pro ball, especially for my hometown team.

ELI: Was it hard making the adjustment from aluminum to wooden?

J.R.: It was definitely different. With aluminum bats, there is more room for error. But, you know, I made adjustments, it was good.

ELI: Following the 2004 season, what did you do to prepare for 2005 and beyond?

J.R.: I really wanted to get bigger, and also be able to withstand a full season. Looking back on it though, I think I did a little too much. I think I started to prepare too soon.

ELI: Was it hard to get comfortable playing at several different levels in 2006?

J.R.: The biggest thing was that I didn't have any clothes. They told me when I was called up to Double-A that I would be up for two weeks. I basically had to live out of a suitcase. On the field though you had to figure out the pitching staffs, which didn't take long, but it was just something to adjust to.

ELI: As a catcher, do you like to call the games or do usually let the pitcher call it?

J.R.: It depends on the pitcher. I'll make a suggestion on what I think is good in the situation, but he can always shake it off. If there is a runner on first, maybe I'll call for a sinker to get a ground ball.

ELI: Do pitchers change up their signs or are they pretty much the same throughout?

J.R.: Most pitchers just use the same signs, but if there is a runner on second looking in he might change them up.

ELI: What was it like playing in the Futures Game last season?

J.R.: Oh, it was great. To play at that level in front of that many fans was great. Not only that, but I was there representing the Astros.

ELI: In 2007, you played at just about every level, can you tell me a little about the experience?

J.R.: Yeah, I was very fortunate. The Astros are known to bring their players up level by level. So when I was at Double-A, I was not expecting a September call up. But, rumors were spreading that I might get a September call up so when I got to Triple-A, I told myself that I was going to get a call up. It was very cool.

ELI: What was the clubhouse like when you got there?

J.R.: Well, I knew some of the guys so it wasn't bad. I knew Chris Sampson, he was my college coach. I knew Berkman, so these guys took me. They are all great guys though. I mean, you know about the whole dress up, but that is part of the deal. They all treated me really well.

ELI: Can you take me through the at-bat where you got your first hit?

J.R.: Yeah, I was 0-2 on the day. In my third at-bat, I was ahead in the count and I thought I had a fastball coming out and away. I got it and was able to hit it well, and then I was able to keep building off that. I kept hitting and kept getting RBIs.

ELI: Speaking of RBIs, can you tell me about the game where you had 8 RBIs?

J.R.: Yeah I was 3-3 in the fifth inning with I think, 5 RBIs. After I got that double, I knew it was going to be a special game. It was cool, we kept scoring, they named me Player of the Game, it was great. I thought it was great and all after the game but when they told me I set a franchise record, I realized how special it really was. You know, Bagwell, Biggio, Berkman, all those guys have been here so long, so yeah, it was pretty special.

ELI: If you could catch for one pitcher, from the past or present, who would it be?

J.R.: Probably Nolan Ryan. He is a Hall of Famer, he has got the most K's, all those no-hitters. He is a great guy, and he was once an Astro.

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Trachsel Back to Baltimore?

It appears that the Orioles and Steve Trachsel are talking about a deal that would bring the veteran back to Baltimore. The main reason would be to mentor some of their young pitchers, but also because Trachsel was very good with them last season. Trachsel went 6-8 with a 4.48 ERA for the Orioles before he got traded to the Cubs. I think bringing Trachsel back would also take some pressure off their young guns to perform. Furthermore, Trachsel has a lot of experience against the teams they will be playing, and to be able to offer his advice to the young pitchers, might be worth the price, even if his performance drops. I expect him to ask for another one year deal worth 3 million dollars.

Benson in Philly?: It appears the Kris Benson is on his way to Philadelphia. Although I have not been able to confirm this, I have heard over the weekend that talks are going well, and numbers have been exchanged.

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Players Likely On The Move

Wes Helms, Phillies: The Phillies signed Pedro Feliz and that immediately pushed Greg Dobbs to the bench and Wes Helms to the block. I think the Marlins and Phillies will get something done. Other than the Marlins, I do not see much interest. We could see him go to the Royals and platoon with Gordon and Gload at the corners, but that seems unlikely. The best option for both clubs looks to be the Marlins, because the Marlins need a third baseman and the Phillies might be able to squeeze more out of them that way.

When will it go down?: Spring Training.

Scott Hatteberg, Reds: Hatteberg did very well for the Reds last season; but, Joey Votto splashed on the scene last season and is ready to play everyday. Obviously, Hatteberg will be allowed to compete for the job, but he is already way behind. As for teams that may look to acquire him, I think the Mets might look if (most likely when) Carlos Delgado goes down. I considered the Yankees a contender until they signed Ensberg, but it is still possible. The Giants are an option, especially if talks with either Sweeney go south.

When will it go down?: Spring Training-early May.

Coco Crisp, Red Sox: Coco Crisp is going to be traded within the week, but where? I think if the Red Sox are willing to take a chunk of Crisp's salary, the Royals might be interested. They were not happy with DeJesus last season and it would allow the Royals to platoon him with Teahen. Beyond them, the Indians might be willing to reacquire him if the price was right. Crisp was a fan favorite in Cleveland from what I hear, and would probably accept the role in left field.

When will it go down?: Within the next week.

Joe Crede, White Sox: If Crede enters Spring Training healthy and can preform in the first week or so, he will be heading to the Giants. They already have a deal in place.

When will it go down?: Spring Training.

Joe Nathan, Twins: The Twins and Joe Nathan are talking a long term deal, but if they can't work anything out, they might trade him. Several outlets have suggested the Cubs would try to acquire him, but they are set right now with three possible closers. If K-Rod decides to bolt for the Yankees, which many expect he will, the Angels might take a chance on Nathan.

When will it go down?: Trade Deadline.

Chone Figgins, Angels: This news came to me as I was working on this. One source I talk to frecuently believes that if the Cubs fail to acquire Roberts, they may look to acquire Chone Figgins of the Angels. He went on to say that the Cubs are determined to get a speedy lead off hitter and would like to get one before the start of Spring Training, so this week.

When will it gown down?: Spring Training, if necessary.

Honorable mention: Jason Bay, Xavier Nady, Brandon Inge, Juan Pierre.

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Joe Blanton Not Going Anywhere

Rumors are flying that the Atheltics and Reds are talking a trade that would send Joe Blanton to the Reds for at least four prospects. However, that is not true. A source inside the A's said that they have talked, but it is not what the A's are looking for at this time. I think this means that the Reds are looking to offer up a deal like the Twins got from the Mets, and the A's would never take that. Not only do the A's have no problem holding on to Blanton, but they also have no problem with the draft picks. Obviously they prefer to get prospects, but if you can't get the top ones you are looking for, then it is not worth it. I think the A's might be looking at Homer Bailey and Joey Votto, along with two other prospects, but I have not heard any names. If I were the A's, that is the kind of deal I would try and pull off. I think the A's need Blanton to anchor that rotation next season, at least up until the trade deadline. If the market picks up, maybe we will see him go to a contender.

According to the Denver Post, the Dodgers have interest in Joe Blanton. However, the A's are looking to reacquire Andre Ethier, along with Andy LaRoche and two other prospects. They could probably get Etheir, along with three other prospects, but not Etheir and LaRoche. We'll see, but I doubt this is going to happen.

Other pitchers that are being shopped:

Jason Marquis, Cubs: He will only be traded before season if it is to the Orioles. Otherwise, I expect a trade around the deadline, if not sooner. The Cubs do not have much confidence in Marquis despite 11 wins last season, and it will probably hurt them to start the season.

Chris Capuano, Brewers: Capuano is the odd man out in the Brewers rotation now that they suddenly have a army of starting arms. Young arms. Capuano could probably get them a solid bench player, someone like Daryle Ward, or possible a young arm to add to the system. I do not see the Cubs and Brewers trading pitchers though.

Horacio Ramirez, Mariners: With the Mariners acquring Bedard, it puts Ramirez out of a spot. All Mariner fans can take a breath. If Ramirez can do well out of the bullpen, he might be able to net something that could help the Mariners, to some degree. Otherwise, he might just be optioned.

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Roberts Talks Back On

Sorry for the delay, folks. The cable is down in my neighborhood and I was not able to get online. Anyways, let's get back to baseball. With the trading of Erik Bedard, all focus is now on Brian Roberts as the Orioles will try to acquire more prospects for the future. From what I have heard, the Orioles and Cubs are working on several scenarios, hoping that they can mix and match to find the right one. However, do not think Sean Marshall and Felix Pie or Tyler Colvin will be in the same trade. The Cubs have already ruled that out. One possible scenario is Sean Gallagher, Donnie Veal, Matt Murton, Ronny Cedeno, and one fifth prospect, prehaps Roberto Hernandez, for Roberts. Personally, I would do this trade if I were the Cubs. Yes, Matt Murton will be a solid addition to their outfield or DH spot and Ronny Cedeno might break out as their shortstop, but Gallagher and Veal are very unproven players especially going to the toughest division in baseball. Not only that, but it gives the Cubs the leadoff hitter they need, and will put them back on top of the division for sure. And, the Cubs can live without those five players. They do have other solid prospects that can step into starting roles soon enough. The only problem I have with this trade from a Cubs standpoint is what to do with Mark DeRosa. DeRosa was very good for the Cubs last season and still has two years left on his thirteen million dollar deal he signed last winter. This immediately causes some tension in the clubhouse and forces DeRosa or Pie out of a job. And don't forget, it would make Fukudome pretty uncomfortable as well trying adjust to hitting and playing in one of the toughest outfield's in baseball. This is a win for the Orioles either way, who acquire five prospects and shed some cash. Even if the prospects are not the best, they put themselves in a position to compete in a couple of years.

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2008 Cubs Projections

C Geovanny Soto
.279 AVG, 23 HR, 74 RBI
1B Derrek Lee
.315 AVG, 28 HR, 77 RBI
2B Mark DeRosa
.282 AVG, 9 HR, 56 RBI
3B Aramis Ramirez
.290 AVG, 30 HR, 104 RBI
SS Ryan Theriot
.285 AVG, 1 HR, 43 RBI
LF Alfonso Soriano
.286 AVG, 37 HR, 79 RBI
CF Felix Pie
.248 AVG, 10 HR, 52 RBI
RF Kosuke Fukudome
.288 AVG, 13 HR, 63 RBI

Carlos Zambrano
19-7 W-L, 3.36 ERA, 217 K
Ted Lilly
11-12 W-L, 4.04 ERA, 169 K
Ryan Dempster
11-9 W-L, 4.82 ERA, 63 K
Rich Hill
9-13 W-L, 4.47 ERA, 194 K
Jon Lieber
8-9 W-L, 4.95 ERA, 78 K

Jason Marquis
13-8 W-L, 4.34 ERA, 98 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

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Interview with Billy Beane

Last Thursday, I put in a call to the Athletics Front Office hoping to talk with Billy Beane, who I met down at the Winter Meetings. We talked about doing an interview at the time and we finally were able to get it done. Beane has been the Athletics GM since 1998, and has brought up players like Tim Hudson, Mark Mulder, and Barry Zito, to name a few. He recently traded Dan Haren who came over from the Cardinals in the Mulder trade for several other prospects. This style of behind the scenes play has worked very well for Beane who has compiled a 732-563 record since taking over. I want to thank him again for giving me this interview, I really appreciate it.

ELI: When did you first get into baseball operations?

BILLY: Well, I played for ten years in an unspectacular fashion. One day during Spring Training in 1990, I was talking with one of our scouts in the outfield and he said there was an opening in the Scouting Department. I wasn't interested right there but I have always had a passion for Baseball Operations. That night when I got home, I thought about it some more and realized I was ready to stop playing, so I came back and told him I would take the job. About three and half years later I was the Assistant General Manager and then I got to the General Manager position. I have been surrounded by very dynamic people who have helped me along the way. Guys like Tony La Russa, Sandy Alderson, it has been a good experience for me.

ELI: As a player, did you see yourself getting into baseball operations at some point?

BILLY: Actually yeah. Deep down, I have always had a passion for putting clubs together, I find it fascinating.

ELI: As a GM, what type of relationship do you like to have with your players?

BILLY: There are few GMs who were once players so I think that definitely helps. It helped when I was younger because there were still some players playing who I played with. But teams keep getting younger so it becomes less and less. Despite the age gap, I have developed some good relationships with some of the players. Eric Chavez grew up in the same neighborhood as me and he has been with us since we took him out of high school.

ELI: I have noticed that several teams are starting to reach out to find baseball players in other countries, what steps have the A's made to do so as well?

BILLY: We were pretty agressive in the Dominican Republic in the 1990s, but we haven't been in the last couple of years. And it is noticeable.

ELI: How do you determine who is invited to Spring Training as non-roster invitee?

BILLY: Well, forty come every year and we will usually add some guys we want to get an extra look at. There are different reasons, but the people that are there are there because of something they have done well in years past.

ELI: In the trade involving Dan Haren, you acquired several players. Do you see any of them on the Opening Day roster?

BILLY: It's hard to say. Of the players we got, the guy that has the best chance is Dana Eveland. He has seen some time in the big leagues and has the chance to be the hard throwing lefty we need. He deserves the opportunity.

ELI: In the 2007 draft, you took James Simmons in the first round. What kind of players do you like to draft?

BILLY: It varies. Some teams go in and only take college players or only take high school players. We have had success taking high school players and college players, so it is something we determine as the draft gets closer.

ELI: Daric Barton played very well in 18 games last season. Is there anything that the A's told him to go work on this off season?

BILLY: We told him to work on conditioning, so he can play in 162 games. He has had some injury problems that were not really his fault. Hopefully he can continue to progress.

ELI: How is everyone feeling about playing in Japan to start the season?

BILLY: Some of the players I have talked to are excited about it. It is a great opportunity for them to be apart of. You get over and you play in a new stadium in front of new fans and see their culture. It is something every player should get to experience.

ELI: Can you tell me a little bit about the Rule V Draft. What is the purpose of it, and can you tell me about your choice this year, Fernando Hernandez?

BILLY: It is the opportunity to get an impact player for the little price of 50,000 dollars. More often than not, you could get a guy like George Bell. It is definitely worth the risk. In the case of Hernandez, he has pitched well and for 50,000 dollars, it is worth our while. I mean, look at Joakim Soria, he was closing for the Royals by seasons end.

ELI: Yeah, and how about Johan Santana?

BILLY: Of course, how could I forget? He is probably the best case.

ELI: Do you have a favorite stadium to watch a game at one the road?

BILLY: I like Anaheim, but I am bias because I have family down there. If I take them out of the equation, I like Baltimore a lot and Safeco up in Seattle.

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Former Number One Pick To Braves?

Former Padres number one pick Matt Bush, who recently converted to pitcher, might be on his way to Atlanta. Bush, who was originally drafted as a shortstop, injured his arm just after taking up pitching. However, Padres GM told me during our first interview that Bush was clocking out in the high-nineties, so he still has potential as a major league pitcher. I do not think this move will have much effect on either team. Bush throws hard, and could make out to be a closer if he can stay healthy. He will be back in 2009, and if he stays on track, could see some MLB time by 2011.

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Reds, A's Talks Back On

The Reds and Athletics are talking another deal that would send Joe Blanton to the Reds for at least three prospects. Personally, I do not think this deal will get done. The Reds have four very good prospects in Homer Bailey, Johnny Cueto, Joey Votto, and Jay Bruce, but have already ruled out a trade involving Jay Bruce. The A's will definitely ask for two of the four, along with at least two other above average prospects in the system. A deal involving Joey Votto and Homer Bailey along with two prospects would definitely go through, but I doubt the Reds would do it. However, the Reds said they would not rule out a trade. Blanton was 14-10 with a 3.95 ERA and 140 K, numbers that would most likely improve with the Reds. He reminds me some of Aaron Harang, and both of them at the top of the rotation would definitely put them in contention with the Cubs and Brewers in 2008.

Athletics Talking To Foulke: The Athletics are reportedly in serious talks with closer Keith Foulke. I assume it is a minor league deal, but it could turn out for the better. However, Foulke was only reaching 86 on his fastball when he last had an open workout.

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Mariners Complete Deal For Bedard

The Mariners and Orioles have finally finalized a deal that will send Erik Bedard to the Mariners for top prospects Adam Jones and Chris Tillman, along with George Sherrill, Chris Tillman, and Kam Mickolio. The Mariners are definitely someone to look out for in the AL West with Bedard, Hernandez, and Silva in the one, two, and three spots. However, their hitting is still weak and got weaker after they traded Jones. I assume Brad Wilkerson will get the starting job but it would not surprise me if they brought in another temporary outfielder, maybe Corey Patterson or Kenny Lofton. I think this trade is a big win for the Orioles because they acquire two major league players in Jones and Sherrill, and Tillman has the potential to be very good.

So what is next for the Orioles?

My guess is they will try and trade Brian Roberts one more time, looking for a package that includes Sean Gallagher and at least two other players from the Cubs. If they do not trade Roberts, I still expect them to go out and get a veteran pitcher, maybe someone like Jeff Weaver or Steve Trachsel. If anything happens, I am sure they would like to get it done before pitchers and catchers report next week.

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Sweeney To Padres, Wilson To Mets?

According to the KC Star, Mike Sweeney worked out at PETCO Park in San Diego on Tuesday, but no word yet on how it went. I put in a call to his agent, but it was not immediately returned. Sweeney hit .260 with 7 HR and 38 RBI last season, but is a .299 career hitter with 197 homeruns in thirteen seasons with the Royals. The Dodgers and Diamondbacks have expressed mild interest, but no numbers have been exchanged. It is believed that the Padres are also talking with Tony Clark, so no deal is imminent. Across the country in New York, the Mets appear to be in talks with Craig Wilson about a one year deal. Wilson played in just 24 games last season and hit .172, so a minor league deal is likely. His best year came in 2004 when he hit .264 with 29 HR and 82 RBI, but he failed to improve beyond that. I still think Wilson gives the Mets a versatile right handed hitter off the bench who can hit for some power.

UPDATE: According to sources inside the Padres, Tony Clark and the Padres are in serious discussions.

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Breaking News: Schilling Out For Season?

Breaking news out of Boston is that Red Sox pitcher Curt Schilling had a major shoulder injury and may miss the whole season. FOXSPORTS.com is reporting that the Red Sox considered voiding the contract for 2008, but no word yet on whether or or not it will happen. His doctor has suggested surgery because the injury is apparently much more severe than it was last season which sidelined him for a month. It is believed by most that Schilling would retire after this season, so it would make sense that if this injury is severe, that he would retire. You can also see where the Red Sox are coming from by wanting to void his contract. Schilling was 9-8 last season with a 3.87 ERA and 101 K, but his postseason performances make those numbers a lot better.

I do not think this will effect the Red Sox too much. They had six starters to begin with, and this injury only opens a spot for Clay Buchholz. You hate to see this happen though but Schilling was definitely on the decline. I do not have the specific details on the contract, but if the Red Sox are allowed to void his contract, I wonder who would pick him up. I do not doubt a team would give him an incentive like contract. He might only stay with his list of twelve, and if he does, maybe he would return to Arizona.

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Indians Sign Donnelly

The Indians have agreed to a one year deal with pitcher Brendan Donnelly, according to ESPN.com. The deal is a minor league deal mostly because Donnelly will not be ready till June or July, but it is a solid signing nonetheless. Donnelly was 3-1 wit ha 3.05 ERA this season but is 25-9 with a 2.88 ERA in 303 career games. I think the acquisition of Willis and Cabrera makes people think that the Tigers will win the division for sure, but the Indians won 96 games last year, and they keep adding players that may turn out to be solid pickups down the road. Some believe that when you put together a team like Mark Shapiro has and then go and win 96 games, you should look to get better. I agree with that to some extent, but I think a team with good talent and solid chemistry will win more ball games than a team with just talent. Shapiro has improved his bullpen, but other than, has not made much changes on the field, and I think that they will benefit from that.

Interviews: I am in the proces of getting two interviews for you: one is about the sports agency, XTS Sports, and the other is with A's GM Billy Beane, who I met down at the Winter Meetings. I will also be talking with LaTroy Hawkins this weekend, among others over the next couple of weeks leading into Spring Training.

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Pirates Sign Freddy Sanchez

The Pirates and Freddy Sanchez agreed to a two year deal worth eleven million dollars. I think that Sanchez is a good player, but he does not give the Pirates anything but his average. He has hit .313 over the past three seasons but has contributed just 22 homeruns to his team. Not only that, but he is thirty, and that money could definitely be better spent. The Pirates really do not have much they can trade that would bring them young talent that is ready to play, but they could spend that kind of money on the market to improve their team. I think Neal Huntington knows how to build a team, but Sanchez is not the kind of player you build a team around.

I think they will trade Jason Bay this season, but beyond that, they do not have much future in the improving NL Central. Bay almost landed them five prospects, but the Pirates called off the trade with the Indians. If he can turn his numbers around and start off strong, I am sure he could land some pretty good players. We'll see what happens, but I think the best thing they can do is trade Bay sooner rather than later.

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2008 Cardinals Projections

C Yadier Molina
.249 AVG, 9 HR, 42 RBI
1B Albert Pujols
.337 AVG, 42 HR, 102 RBI
2B Adam Kennedy
.257 AVG, 2 HR, 29 RBI
3B Troy Glaus
.254 AVG, 23 HR, 74 RBI
SS Cesar Izturis
.246 AVG, 1 HR, 20 RBI
LF Chris Duncan
.260 AVG, 21 HR, 59 RBI
CF Rick Ankiel
.255 AVG, 31 HR, 77 RBI
RF Skip Schmaker
.273 AVG, 7 HR, 52 RBI

2B/SS Brendan Ryan
.282 AVG, 3 HR, 42 RBI

SP Adam Wainwright
13-11 W-L, 3.84 ERA, 147 K
SP Braden Looper
11-10 W-L, 4.77 ERA, 79 K
SP Joel Pineiro
8-14 W-L, 5.14 ERA, 76 K
SP Kyle Lohse
10-10 W-L, 4.65 ERA, 134 K
SP Brad Thompson
7-9 W-L, 4.89 ERA, 68 K

SP Anthony Reyes
8-9 W-L, 4.52 ERA, 102 K
SP Matt Clement
4-9 W-L, 4.92 ERA, 71 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

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Mench to Bronx, Clark to LA?

The Yankees continue their search for a right handed bat and have contacted outfielder Kevin Mench. Mench had great power early on Texas hitting 68 homeruns in just 423 games. Once he joined the Brewers his power dropped and he fell into a bench role. Still, he has the ability to play all three outfield positions if needed, and is pretty good coming off the bench. I know the Rangers had some interest earlier this week, but the Yankees might be able to lure him away if they offer a guaranteed deal. On the other side of the country, the Dodgers are looking for a lefty bench player and have approached both Mark Sweeney and Tony Clark. However, one NL executive said teams prefer Clark over Sweeney because of the effect he can have on a clubhouse in a positive way.

Twins cool on Fogg?: The Twins have reportedly cooled on Josh Fogg and are looking at other options, possibly Kris Benson. However, Benson is supposedly in talks with the Phillies. Fogg should have no problem finding a job though. I hear he is in talks with the Orioles, and has had recent discussions with another unknown NL team. If I had to speculate, maybe the Astros.

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Marlins May Add Depth

The Marlins may look to add another veteran pitcher to their rotation. I think that would be smart. They are losing at least 30 homeruns this season and 12 wins so adding one or two of the veteran pitchers, like Bartolo Colon or Odalis Perez, could help them out in 2008. I do not doubt that their pitchers can do well, but adding a veteran pitcher would take some stress off the young guys. One Marlins executive told me that they are looking into it, but are not desperate for more arms. I took that as if they these pitchers are willing to lower their price to something the Marlins can afford, they will take him.

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Orioles In Talks With Lohse?

Now that Erik Bedard appears to be heading to Seattle, the Orioles are already finding replacements, suggesting that a trade with the Cubs might not be on the horizon. According to the Baltimore Sun, Orioles representatives have talked with both Kyle Lohse and Steve Trachsel; both are probably about one year deals, so it is possible we could see one get done. However, Lohse has said he will not pitch in the AL after his experience with the Twins, so I think they would have a better chance with Trachsel, who pitched very well for them before he was traded to the Cubs in August. I think they would be better off saving their money and acquiring a veteran pitcher like Jason Marquis, but owner Peter Angelos might look to someone with a slightly better track record.

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2008 Brewers Projections

C Jason Kendall
.278 AVG, 1 HR, 48 HR
1B Prince Fielder
.292 AVG, 43 HR, 112 RBI
2B Rickie Weeks
.262 AVG, 16 HR, 55 RBI
3B Bill Hall
.272 AVG, 21 HR, 73 RBI
SS J.J. Hardy
.266 AVG, 14 HR, 64 RBI
LF Ryan Braun
.289 AVG, 33 HR, 106 RBI
CF Mike Cameron
.255 AVG, 24 HR, 70 RBI
RF Corey Hart
.282 AVG, 27 HR, 82 RBI

SP Ben Sheets
14-6 W-L, 3.86 ERA, 123 K
SP Jeff Suppan
13-10 W-L, 4.60 ERA, 108 K
SP Yovani Gallardo
13-7 W-L, 3.46 ERA, 116 K
SP Carlos Villanueva
10-9 W-L, 4.28 ERA, 134 K
SP Dave Bush
10-11 W-L, 4.64 ERA, 142 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

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News and Notes: Bedard To Mariners Close

The Erik Bedard trade to the Mariners is pending physicals, according to the Baltimore Sun. The Orioles will be acquiring Adam Jones, George Sherill, Chris Tillman, Kam Mickolio, and Tony Butler in hopes of rebuilding the team for the future. I think this is a great trade for both sides. For one, it puts the Mariners back in contention with the Angels, and it gives the Orioles five solid players for the future. The pitchers the Orioles are acquiring are very big, strong guys, so if they are handled properly, they could really do some damage down the road. Does this mean a Brian Roberts trade is coming? Maybe. We will know by the end of the week if something is still brewing.

Perez to Phillies?: The Phillies are very interested in Odalis Perez, according to the Philadelphia Daily News. I think the Phillies might try and get him to a minor league deal, but we'll see.

Pirates To Trade Bay?: The Pirates appear unhappy with Bay's recent comments about the teams decision making this offseason, and it will probably lead to a trade. Although he is right, they probably do not want his negative attitude in the clubhouse. As for teams I expect to be interested, we could see the Padres or Indians jump in.

Would Braves trade Teixeira?: The Braves do not seem willing to sign Mark Teixeira to a long term mega deal and may look to trade him mid season. I think it could work, especially if a race in the AL East is close. I don't think Juan Miranda would stop the Yankees from trading for Mark Texeira.

More soon...

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Tigers Lock Up Granderson

The Tigers and Curtis Granderson have agreed to a five year deal worth 30.25 million dollars. This contract comes well deserved as Granderson hit .302 with 38 doubles, 23 home runs, 74 RBIs and 26 stolen bases in 158 games for the Tigers in 2007. It is obvious that the Tigers are trying to sign their young players long term so they can control the AL Central for the next several years to come. Signing Granderson long term was very important because the Tigers traded away all their center field options for the future. First came Gorkys Hernandez and then Cameron Maybin. Now, the Tigers can turn their attention to signing Miguel Cabrera long term.

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Interview with Aaron Cunningham

On Friday, I had the opportunity to talk with new Athletics prospect Aaron Cunningham. Cunningham, 21, was in the trade that sent Dan Haren to the Diamondbacks and could see time at the big league level in 2008, but we will probably see him more in 2009. He has hit successfully at almost each level, and Baseball America rates him in the Top 10 prospects for the Athletics. I want to thank him again for doing this interview for me, I really appreciate it. I also want to thank Adam Bierman of XTS Sports for setting this up for me.

ELI: What was the draft experience like for you?

AARON: It was pretty crazy. In high school, I didn't consider myself a prospect. I did okay, but I had just one home run in high school. I went off to junior college and just hoped to death that I would get drafted. I told some of the teams that were looking to draft that I didn't care where I went, and that I would sign for anything. Surprisingly, I was taken in the sixth round by the Chicago White Sox, it was the best day of my life.

ELI: Did you have trouble adjusting to the wooden bats?

AARON: I had no problem. I was playing with wood bats in junior college.

ELI: Did you have a favorite player growing up?

AARON: I was a Mariners fan, so I liked Ken Griffey Jr. and Randy Johnson.

ELI: What was it like getting traded from the Sox to the Diamondbacks?

AARON: It was emotional. I made a lot of good friends with the Sox. It came out of no where too. I was really comfortable playing there, and it was sad to leave my friends. But the experience of being traded was cool.

ELI: Yeah, so how did you find out?

AARON: Oh man, let me think. We were in Maryland, playing the Royals farm team, Wilmington. It was after a game and we were at Arby's. I was just about to sit down and eat when I got the call that I was traded. It was the minor league coordinator and he was like, 'I'm sorry to inform you, but I've got some good news and some bad news. The good news is you've been traded to a good team.' I was shocked, really caught up in the moment.

ELI: Were you surprised to find out you were traded to the Athletics?

AARON: I was surprised, but I didn't care. I got a call from AJ Hinch, the Diamondbacks director of player development, and he was like, 'You've been traded.' I heard the rumors everything. But when I heard, I was just laughing.

ELI: What do you think of your performance in the AFL?

AARON: Bad.

ELI: Did you go down to work on anything specific?

AARON: No, it was just to play baseball. I want to work on everything.

ELI: Did you watch the playoffs this year?

AARON: Yeah.

ELI: Did you happen to catch the Matt Holliday play at the plate? In your opinion, did he get it?

AARON: He didn't get it. I am a 100% for instant replay when it comes to judging a homerun. But other than that, no. It is apart of the game. The arguments, everything, that is what is great. But in the umps defense, you can't call him out. I wouldn't have called him out.

ELI: What have you done this off season to prepare for '08?

AARON: I live right by the Athletics complex, so I am there Monday through Friday.

ELI: Your agency, XTS, is working with you to get you more involved with tattoo parlors. Can you tell me about that?

AARON: I think it is a good idea for the most part. What they are doing is taking baseball, and turning into a business. It allows you to make money, and them to make money.

ELI: If you could rob one player of a homerun, who would it be?

AARON: I don't know, that's tough. Barry Bonds maybe, I don't know.

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Indians Close In On D.R. Prospect?

The Indians are reportedly closing in on a contract with 16-year old prospect Edward Salcedo. Salcedo is from the Dominican Republic, and is seeking a big contract because his agent is the famous Scott Boras. Boras, among other scouts, have compared him to Miguel Cabrera and Alex Rodriguez. “This is a high priority guy a lot of clubs are after, and his agent is playing that the right way right now,” said one international scouting director. “He’s got all the time in the world. They’re just waiting for the biggest offer.” The Yankees appear to be very interested as well, along with the Mariners. Scouts who have seen him play are very surprised by his ability to hit for power against players who are bigger and older than he is. Here is how Perfectgame.org sees him:

"Edward Salcedo is a FA SS with a 6'3'', 190 lb. frame from La Vega, Dominican Republic. Big League body, strong and athletic. Smooth, easy defensive actions, easy plus arm, can really play SS. Aggressive swing, power projection, deep load from wide base, good bat speed, geared to drive fastballs, timing will be an issue. All the tools to be a top player. Potential 1st round type if in draft."

I, for one, am always a little hesitant to compare young talent to big name players like A-Rod or Miguel Cabrera. Yes, he is a solid fielder and plus hitter, but a jump from the Dominican to the United States is tough. If he does sign, he will probably start in Single-A, and slowly work his way up. The reason I say this is because look how they compared Wily Mo Pena to big time players when he signed? Yes, he was rushed to the big leagues but lets be realistic. Pena is merely a bench player now taking any job he can get. For Salcedo, I expect him to break in by 2011 or 2012 and hit a respectable .280-.295 with 20-25 HR.

But maybe I am wrong, and this is the next A-Rod.

UPDATE: Jim Callis over at Baseball America said via email that he is over hyped.

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Jason Marquis On The Block?

According to one AL executive, the Cubs are shopping Jason Marquis to teams in hopes of adding a reliever, or pair of prospects. Yes, this is old news, but it appears that the Cubs would like to give Sean Marshall a shot in the rotation after an impressive showing last season. The Orioles are an option if the Brian Roberts trade goes through. Giving the Orioles a veteran pitcher in Marquis, along with Sean Gallagher, Ronny Cedeno, and a position prospect, might get a deal done faster than people think. The Twins are looking to add a veteran pitcher and would probably be willing to trade a reliever and a prospect for Marquis. Other than those two teams that are desperate for pitching, I see the Astros possibly inquiring, but the Cubs won't bite unless the deal is good. The Cubs aren't ones to dump players within the division. I doubt any trade gets done before Spring Training; I see something getting done in May if he really struggles or at the deadline if he is pitching like he was last season.

Stay Tuned.

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Pirates Hope To Add Setup Man

All off-season, new Pirates GM Neal Huntington has been searching for reliable setup man. However, Huntington is looking for someone whose asking price is fair: “We just don’t see anyone out there who provides good value for the prices that are being asked,” General Manager Neal Huntington said. “We’re getting closer to spring training, so there is likely to be more of a sense of urgency on the part on some players and maybe they’ll drop their asking prices. Right now, we’re not going to spend $50,000 on a car that’s valued at $20,000." That's understandable, and probably likely that these pitchers looking for jobs would lower their price down to the level the Pirates are willing to pay. There are several solid relievers with good track records, but they are all over thirty-five and are less willing to take a minor league contract. I think bringing Jose Mesa back is an option, maybe Antonio Alfonseca. They are still in talks with Shawn Chacon, but he wants four million dollars for one year while the Pirates are offering two.

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Are the Mets That Much Better Now?

Now that the Johan Santana deal is official, we can only wait and see how it plays out. Obviously the Mets are the winners, acquiring Santana for just four unproven prospects. But, how much better are they? Yes, Santana could easily give them twenty-wins next season, but I highly doubt that Oliver Perez, Orlando Hernandez, and John Maine can put up the same numbers as they did last season. Also, adding Brian Schneider behind the plate doesn't make them that much better, it probably makes them worse if anything. Delgado's numbers continue to decline and I expect him to miss more time that he did last season. The rest of the infield is solid but it is not better than the Phillies. The outfield is not much to talk about either, especially because Moises Alou failed to play in over 100 games the past two seasons. Yes, Beltran is a great center fielder and will probably put up similar numbers, if not better than last years; but, it is hard to picture Ryan Church doing as well as he did last year, which still was not great. The bullpen was a surprise last season early on but melted down towards the end of the season. I think teams will have a better idea of what they are capable this season which might hurt them down the road. It is very possible that the Mets will win the division, but it is just as possible that it could go to the Phillies or Braves.

In return, the Twins got four prospects: Carlos Gomez, Philip Humber, Kevin Mulvey and Deolis Guerra. Gomez has the most upside of them all and will probably be their starting center fielder. Personally, I think they do what the Brewers did with Ryan Braun to make sure that he is really ready before giving him the everyday job, but that is just my opinion. In four minor league seasons, he has hit .278 with 18 HR with a .339 OBP. Those numbers don't look too impressive, but free-lance scout Jonathan Meddart tells me that "he has the potential to be an All-Star." He went on to compare him to Steve Finley, but he could be way off if he lives up to his fullest potential. As for Humber, he was once the Mets top pitching prospect but has failed to show what he can really do. In three minor league seasons he was 18-19 with a 4.11 ERA, but has pitched successfully at each level. Personally, I think he could be a back end of the rotation starter, but nothing more than that. Kevin Mulvey will probably see the MLB action this season, and I do not see him turning into any ace. Deolis Guerra only has two professional seasons under his belt, and is 9-14 with a 3.28 ERA in that time. Many believe he has the highest ceiling of all the pitchers acquired, but he has a long way to go and I expect him to make it by 2011 or 2012. So will these guys really make a significant difference to help the Twins? Probably not. So what can they to improve in the future? Trade Justin Morneau and Joe Mauer as they get closer to free agency? That might happen, but with the Tigers and Indians fielding teams like they have, I doubt the Twins will have much say for the next couple of seasons.

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2008 Braves Projections

C Brian McCann
.313 AVG, 22 HR, 96 RBI
1B Mark Teixeira
.309 AVG, 38 HR, 122 RBI
2B Kelly Johnson
.266 AVG, 12 HR, 64 RBI
3B Chipper Jones
.315 AVG, 24 HR, 87 RBI
SS Yunel Escobar
.282 AVG, 9 HR, 58 RBI
LF Matt Diaz
.296 AVG, 14 HR, 54 RBI
CF Mark Kotsay
.284 AVG, 9 HR, 56 RBI
RF Jeff Francoeur
.287 AVG, 25 HR, 104 RBI

SP John Smoltz
15-9 W-L, 3.55 ERA, 186 K
SP Tim Hudson
18-8 W-L, 3.39 ERA, 143 K
SP Tom Glavine
9-7 W-L, 4.42 ERA, 85 K
SP Chuck James
9-12 W-L, 4.54 ERA, 117 K
SP Jair Jurrjens
8-6 W-L, 4.24 ERA, 78 K

SP Mike Hampton
9-3 W-L, 4.06 ERA, 66 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

Updates:
1. Mike Hampton (03/23/08)

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Rangers Not Done Yet

The Rangers continue to do work to improve their 2008 squad and are starting with trying to sign Ian Kinsler long term. Although no numbers have officially been exchanged, Kinsler hopes something can get done before it becomes a distraction. I think the Rangers would be smart to give him a long term deal, but it should not be some mega deal. A deal similar to Brian McCann's might be good. Also, the Rangers are considering bringing back Kevin Mench to compete for one of the final bench spots. Mench had a lot of success at Rangers Ballpark, and it could turn out to be a good signing. They also plan to bring in Sidney Ponson on a minor league invitation, but I do not see him making the team. Their additions will probably not win them the division, but could help the team nonetheless.

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Mets, Santana Finalize Deal

The Mets and Johan Santana have reached an agreement on a seven year deal worth 150.75 million dollars. Now, all that has to be done is a physical and he will be a New York Met. Although I did not want to see Johan Santana become a New York Met, I think it was a solid pick up by the Mets. Although he will be under contract until he is thirty-six, several pitchers have pitched successfully till then, and even longer. It isn't unreasonable to say that Santana could pitch successfully until he is thirty-six. But, will he be able to say injury free? Another problem I have with this trade is pitchers nearly as good as him, like CC Sabathia, will now be asking for ridiculous amounts of money.

Still, the Mets gave up hardly anything in this trade and acquired a pitcher who will be very dominant for at least the next four seasons. Not only that, but they did not give up Fernando Martinez, their top prospect.

Full breakdown and analysis on this trade tomorrow. Stay tuned.

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Top Pitchers Close To Finding Homes

Top free agent pitchers Kyle Lohse and Livan Hernandez are getting closer to finding new homes. The Mets are talking to both pitchers and will probably offer a one year deal worth 5 million dollars to each of them, and whoever takes it first will be with the Mets. Lohse is also drawing interest from the Phillies and Reds, but I think it will be the Mets or Phillies that he ends up with. As for Hernandez, the White Sox have mild interest in adding him while teams like the Marlins, Nationals, Cardinals, and Orioles are interested only if his price comes down to the five million dollar range. I expect both of them to be signed shortly after the Santana deal is finalized.

Red Sox sign Casey: The Red Sox and Sean Casey have agreed to a one year deal worth 700,000 dollars, an indication that Tony Clark might be on his way to the Giants.

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Twins Might Get Fogg?

The Twins have already begun finding replacements for Johan Santana and have contacted the agent of Josh Fogg. Fogg, who was 10-9 with a 4.94 ERA, pitched very well for the Rockies, especially in clutch situations. I think he would be an okay addition behind Francisco Liriano, but his high ERA in the National League might get higher in the AL and could hurt the Twins. However, his ability to eat up innings makes him more valuable than other, more expensive free agents. The Twins are surprisingly a very good team to play for. Although you would think the city would turn off some free agents to playing there, they run the team like a family and players that I have talked to really have enjoyed their time there.

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