Eli's MLB Rumors - Old: March 2008

Braves Sign Spezio, Orioles Sign Cintron

Monday, March 31, 2008

The Braves and infielder Scott Spezio have agreed to a minor league deal, according to MLB.com. Spezio, who was released by the Cardinals for alcohol related problems, will report to Triple-A within the next week or so. It was important to the Braves that he was in shape to play, but also that he had made steps to put his troubled past behind him: "We had a good feeling after the meeting that he had taken responsibility for what had happened over this last year," Wren said. "He has been in a [substance-abuse] program, and I think there has been a change in personality and attitude. He was sincerely sorry with everything that has happened, and I think he's committed to making amends and making a change." I think this is a good signing for the Braves who add a veteran hitter who can play several positions. Nothing has been guaranteed to him, so let's if he can really make it back.

Back in Febuary, Alex Cintron was in negotiations with both the Orioles and the Cubs, but chose the Cubs hoping he would make the team. It is not hard to understand why, but he would be the starting Oriole shortstop if he signed with them. Instead, he was released by the Cubs and quickly signed with the Orioles. Cintron had a pretty solid spring, but was beat out by Ronny Cedeno for the 25th spot. He is expected to start in Triple-A but should be up in no time, assuming that Fahey or Hernandez struggle.

Today's Game Headlines

TJ Pena spoils Tigers power lineup debut: Royals shortstop Tony Pena Jr. hit a game winning single to beat the Tigers in the tenth, 5-4.

Notable box score line: Placido Polanco went 0-6.

Franklin Gutierrez proves he's ready: Although the Indians gave up some runs late, they proved that their offense can survive the AL Central.

Notable box score line: Alexei Ramirez went 0-4 with three strikeouts.

Rays open with win in new uniforms: James Shields was phenomenal in seven innings, and the offense did their part to take the win.

Notable box score line: Ace Jeremy Guthrie: 5.1 IP, 9 H, 5 ER, 8.44 ERA

Webb spoils Baker debut: Brandon Webb kept the Reds quiet in his season debut, pitching six strong innings.

Notable box score line: Chris Young went 1-4 with a homerun, but three strikeouts. Sound familiar?

Fukudome taking control in debut, but bullpen falls: The Cubs were all smiles despite a tough loss to the Brewers. Yes, Kerry Wood and Bob Howry did not pitch well, but Carlos Marmol and Fukudome have the Cubs fans very excited.

Notable box score line: Kosuke Fukudome went 3-3 with a walk, single, double, and game tying three run homerun in the ninth.

Another late rally for Nationals: The Nationals scored five runs in the top of the ninth to beat the Phillies 11-6.

Notable box score line: Tom Gordon roughed up: 0.1 IP, 4 H, 5 ER, 1 BB, 135.00 ERA.

Johan begins Mets career with a win: David Wright and Carlos Beltran stepped up to help Johan Santana get his first win as a Met.

Notable box score line: David Wright went 2-4 with 3 RBI.

The Dodgers are Giants in Opener: The Dodgers worked the Giants for 11 hits and five runs as Joe Torre picks up his first Dodger "W".

Notable box score line: Barry Zito: 5 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 1 K, 7.20 ERA.

More updates coming soon...

Red Sox Upset With Drew, Trade Coming?

According to the Boston Globe, Red Sox manager Terry Francona is frustrated with J.D. Drew and is urging the Red Sox to make a trade. I do not think it will be trading J.D. Drew, but rather trading for someone who is available. The Red Sox have been linked to Matt Murton and are exactly interested in bringing him back. The Red Sox traded him to the Cubs in the 2004 blockbuster deal that involved Nomar Garciaparra and Orlando Cabrera. Murton was upset by his demotion to Triple-A, but is likely to get a call up if he does well. Personally, I think they will trade him within the next week or so, but we'll see. Murton would make for a solid platoon for the Red Sox, but he probably wouldn't be ready to start in the AL. Other options include Kendry Morales, Reggie Willits, and Xavier Nady, among others. A more likely scenario will be to play Coco Crisp in right field, so they do not have to give up a prospect like Jed Lowrie.

The Red Sox signed Japanese pitcher Terumasa Matsuo to a minor league deal and assigned him to the extended Spring Training in Fort Meyers, Florda. Matsuo, 26, has gone 26-5 over the past two seasons with a 1.77 ERA. "We have followed his progress over the last two years and have been really impressed with his ability to pitch," said Jon Deeble, who serves as Pacific Rim coordinator for the Red Sox. "He has shown us the ability to throw the ball past the bat as evident of his high strikeout numbers and his ability to throw four pitches for strikes. He is a hard working kid who really loves to pitch. We look forward to having him pitch in a Red Sox uniform this upcoming season."

Will Anyone Take Gibbons?

The Orioles released Jay Gibbons yesterday, and many wonder if he has played in his last game. "I completely understand that this is a business, and with the direction that this team is moving, it was pretty obvious that my playing time would be pretty much nonexistent," said Gibbons, who added he wants to return to the big leagues as soon as possible. "I think this was the best move for both parties." Gibbons has been on the decline in the past couple of years, but still has pretty good power. However, being linked to steroids over the winter might give teams a reason to not sign him. Gibbons is a career .260 hitter with 121 homeruns in seven seasons with the Orioles. Even if he didn't do steroids, I do not see a team coming in and offering him a MLB contract. The Giants would like a first baseman who can play some outfield, but why would they add the aging Gibbons? I think other options, although they are unlikely, would be the Indians, Pirates, or Mets.

Phillies To Release Helms?

According to the Delco Times, the Phillies will likely release Wes Helms if they cannot find a suitor for him by next weekend. If Brad Lidge can come back by next weekend, then they will probably release Helms. There is just no one else on the team that could be sent down. They would send down Dobbs, but he is a lefty. I think the main reason the Dodgers or Giants have not made a move is because they realize that the Phillies only have eleven pitchers, and would like twelve as they move forward in the season. Helms' best year came in 2006 when he hit .329 with 10 HR in 140 games with the Marlins. I think the Dodgers will add him if he is released, mostly because he can play third for them this season, but also because he would be a good guy for their bench.

Dodgers Scouting Ellis For 2009?

Sunday, March 30, 2008

According to sources, the Dodgers are already looking for a second baseman for 2009. I am a little hesitant to believe this because the Dodgers have several young options in the infield, but maybe they are looking for someone more established. I have heard they are scouting scouting Mark Ellis, along with Joe Blanton of the Athletics, but talks about Blanton ended weeks ago. Ellis would be an upgrade over Kent, and it makes sense for him to stay on the West coast. Ellis had a career year last year, but he may slow down again. Still, a lineup with Ellis in it would be a lot better next year when some of the prospects are more experienced:

C Russell Martin
1B James Loney
2B Mark Ellis
3B Andy LaRoche
SS Chin-Lung Hu (assuming Furcal walks)
LF Andre Ethier
CF Andruw Jones
RF Matt Kemp

Wow. Assuming those prospects continue to perform, that lineup puts them right in contention with the Diamondbacks, Rockies, and Padres. And don't forget about a rotation that should include Clayton Kershaw. I think the one thing holding them back this year is that there young guys do not have much experience and some of their older guys are starting to fade. I have them finishing fourth, but I could be way off.

Travel Day!

Hey everyone,

I'm heading back to Chicago today. Took up the sun in Florida for the week. Here is what is making news early this morning.

Sheets gone next season?: It is starting to settle in that Ben Sheets probably won't be a Brewer in 2009. I disagree, however. It is a great team and they will go far in 2009.

Dodgers still looking....: The Dodgers continue to look for help and are looking at Eric Hinske and Wes Helms.

Rockies looking for pitching?: After trading Ramon Ramirez to the Royals, Jorge De La Rosa is drawing interest from the Rockies.

Matt Murton to be traded today or tomorrow: Expect Matt Murton to be traded today, at the latest, tomorrow.

Juan Pierre wants out: Juan Pierre is openly upset about his situation in LA, and wants out. Maybe the Rockies would be interested in bringing him back?

Hope everyone had a good break as well,

Eli

Astros Put Williams On Waivers

Saturday, March 29, 2008

The Astros put Woody Williams on unconditional release waivers Saturday, and will likely pay him 6.5 million dollars-his entire salary. Williams was 8-15 with a 5.27 ERA last season and had an 11.32 ERA in spring training this year. Players like Lance Berkman question the decision: "Possibly a bit premature," he said. "The game is completely different in the regular season than it is in spring training, especially from a guy like Woody who has been around the block a few times." Once he clears waivers he can be picked up by another team, but I think he will just retire. In fifteen major league seasons, Williams has spent time with the Blue Jays, Cardinals, Padres, and Astros going 132-116 with a 4.19 ERA.

Will The Pirates Trade Burnett?

The Pirates will keep Rule 5 pick Evan Meek on the 25-man roster over pitcher Sean Burnett, and Burnett is openly furious. I don't blame him. In ten innings this Spring, he has an ERA of 0.90 and a K/BB of 8/2. Evan Meek has not been bad either, but I guess they thought has more upside than Burnett. In his only season in the MLB in 2004, Burnett is 5-5 with a 5.02 ERA. You can say he was rushed to the MLB, but he has obviously made adjustments to make it back. The Pirates are not a very good team and are playing in a division that is getting better, so we might not see Burnett play at his full potential, but he could still help the team in a reduced role. I do not think teams are that desperate for pitching that they would come in and trade for Burnett, so I think he will stay in Pittsburgh. However, if he comes up in May or June and plays well, the Pirates might be able to trade him for a solid player by the deadline.

Should You Take Schumaker?

Cardinals outfielder Skip Schumaker got the starting nod, and is having a great spring. Since 2005, Schumaker has hit .294 with 3 HR and an OBP of .331. However, in seven minor league seasons he has hit .290 with 25 HR and an OBP of .354. Scouts are saying he is swinging at the right pitches, and is showing that he can handle the leadoff spot. Is he worth drafting in your fantasy draft? Probably not, but if your outfielder goes down, he might be solid pickup for the time being. I think he will get pitched to in the leadoff spot, but his run totals might not be as high as you hope. He has good speed, but I doubt teams really pitch to Albert Pujols because he has no protection, especially in the later innings. Schumaker reminds me a little bit of Randy Winn, assuming he can make it through a full season. I think he will be a lot better bet in 2009, when he has a full season under his belt, but I think he will start to tire out by August or September.

Interview with Mike Flanagan

Yesterday, I went to the Orioles game in Fort Lauderdale. They played the Mets, but the main reason I went was to meet up with a former interviewee of MLB Rumors, Rocky Cherry, and interview long time Oriole and Executive Vice President Mike Flanagan. I got to talk with Rocky for a good ten minutes, and then I got to check out the Orioles offices. Flanagan won 1979 Cy Young award with the Orioles and now plays a big role in the Orioles decision making. I want to thank Mike for taking the time out of his busy day to do the interview with me, I really appreciate it. I also want to thank Scott Shapiro for setting the interview up for me, I really appreciate it.

ELI: When did you first realize you might be drafted?

MIKE: Well, I was drafted twice. I was first drafted by Pat Gillick of the Astros out of high school, but I had a bad elbow at the time so I went to the University of Massachusetts. When the next draft came around for me I was pretty confident I was going to be drafted and I went in the seventh round.

ELI: You won the AL Cy Young in 1979, looking back on it, what was working for you that year?

MIKE: A pitcher name Scott McGregor helped me early on. I was mostly a two pitch pitcher early on in my career and you cannot survive as a starter with two pitches. I tried all sorts of grips to develop a change, but McGregor had a great change-up and helped me find one. It made all the difference. I had pitched four hundred innings against everyone without a change, so the next time I pitched, no one had seen it, and that made all the difference.

ELI: You played alongside Jim Palmer, what was that like early on in your career?

MIKE: I came up with Jim Palmer, and looking back on it, I was fortunate to play with him. It is not always the case that pitchers give out tips, but Palmer helped me a lot with psychology of it, and finding strengths and weaknesses.

ELI: What was Earl Weaver like as a manager?

MIKE: I don't know if he have enough time to talk about it. [Laughs] Every game was a war. Every night he managed, it was a war. Even in Spring Training or Fantasy Camp - he was a high intensity manager.

ELI: While you were playing, did you ever think you would hold a Front Office position after you retired? What positions did you hold before you got to where you are now?

MIKE: I thought about it. I was a broadcaster twice, and their pitching coach. Being a broadcaster was a nice avenue to getting here. You stay in touch with the game by talking to scouts, players and coaches.

ELI: This past year, you traded Steve Trachsel to the Cubs for Rocky Cherry and Scott Moore. Was the negotiation process to bring him back easy, was there any hard feelings?

MIKE: Well, we talked to Trachsel when it happened, so it was not difficult to get a deal done. Either way, most veterans understand.

ELI: Several trades were made this offseason, did the players take longer to gel in Spring Training than normal?

MIKE: No. I think players understand that there is an opportunity here. Rosters are usually set coming into Spring Training, but I don't know of one major leaguer that doesn't want an opportunity.

ELI: You drafted Matt Wieters last year, how did he handle his first big league camp?

MIKE: Extremely well. He is a strong catcher and a switch hitter. We do not have much catching depth in our minor league system, so to add a switch hitter gives us the depth we need.

ELI: Is there one pitcher in camp that really turned heads this year?

MIKE: Chris Tillman. He came over in the Bedard trade. He is a big guy, and showed a lot of poise.

ELI: Daniel Cabrera has a hard fastball. Is there anything you told him to work on this spring?

MIKE: We had him work on a change-up. Daniel is a big guy, he just needs to slow things down.

ELI: There is a saying, "When you have a passion for your work, you never work a day in your life," do you feel that way?

MIKE: Absolutely. If you are concerned about your job and hours, this isn't the job for you. You are on call twenty-four hours a day, twelve months out of the year.

Rays Get Haynes, Trade Unlikely

The Rays claimed Nathan Haynes from the Angels yesterday giving them an outfielder to platoon with Gomes. This really isn't a surprise. Haynes was the weakest in the Angels talented outfield, and he understood the situation: "I'll just try to show what I can do, and hope that somebody out there sees that I can help them," Haynes said on Wednesday. "I know I can play at this level. It's just a matter of getting the opportunity." Haynes is very fast, and hit .267 in 40 games last season. The Rays were recently shopping several pitchers in hoping of finding a solid outfielder, but I think they will settle for Haynes. Haynes will compliment Gomes, a righty, in right field to start the season.

Rangers Acquire Nippert

Friday, March 28, 2008

The Diamondbacks have traded pitcher Dustin Nippert to the Rangers for minor leaguer Jose Marte. Nippert was once regarded as the top pitching prospect in the Diamondbacks farm system, but has struggled thus far. In three seasons, he is 2-3 with a 6.43 ERA, but has shown signs of improvement over the past three seasons. He is 6'8 and has a couple solid pitches, but he needs a better number two pitch to compliment his fastball, in my opinion. The Rangers have not said what his role will be just yet, but I'm sure he will be a spot starter.

As for Marte, 24, he struggled in Single-A and I really do not see much upside in him. However, he has got a strong fastball, so if he can get some of his other pitches together, maybe he will make it.

Rays Desperate For Outfield Help

The Rays unfortunately have to look for an outfielder after learning that Rocco Baldelli might be forced to retire. They added Cliff Floyd, who is likely to be their DH, but want someone to platoon with Johnny Gomes in right field. The Mariners, Dodgers, and Angels are teams that have extra outfielders, but several other teams are looking for young pitchers that might be willing to sacrifice an outfielder. The Rays have reportedly put out Jason Hammel and Edwin Jackson, but I doubt that could land Andre Ethier or Juan Pierre, but maybe they could get someone like Mike Morse of the Mariners. The Mariners have a lot of solid young pitchers and I think they could sacrifice one for someone like Reggie Willits. I think another solid option is Matt Murton, who was recently optioned to Triple-A. GM Andrew Friedman said he would aggressively pursue a trade, and I see something happening soon after the start of the season.

Anthony Reyes Likely Gone

Cardinals pitcher Anthony Reyes, who struggled last season going 2-14 with a 6.04 ERA, is off to another rocky start in Spring Training. Although he is pitching well in game situations, his relationship with pitching coach Dave Duncan has put himself on the outs with other pitchers and management. According to one NL scout, the Cardinals have let several teams know he is available and that has led to the increased number of scouts watching him. The Diamondbacks have been scouting several pitchers and might be looking at someone like Reyes to start the season in the rotation with Johnson heading to the DL. The Padres have been linked to several pitchers on the market but I do not see them making a last minute trade before the start of the season. It is likely that Reyes will remain at Triple-A, and if he does well, maybe they will find a taker.

Fantasy: Stay Away!

As you prepare for your final drafts this weekend, here are five players to stay away from:

1) Dan Haren, Diamondbacks
- Haren is an excellent pitcher and I think he will make a successful transition, but he is moving to a hitters park, after pitching in a pitchers park, and his 4.11 ERA should be a low from Haren in 2008. He will have run support, but expect more losses than in previous years.

2008 Projection: 14-8 W-L, 4.42 ERA, 186 K

2) Dontrelle Willis, Tigers
- He is coming off a career worst 5.17 ERA in the NL and is moving to the powerful AL Central. Yes, he will have a lot of run support which should get him wins, but expect his ERA will be high and you might see a dip in his strikeouts.

2008 Projection: 13-11 W-L, 4.98 ERA, 158 K

3) Barry Zito, Giants
- Are you surprised here? His fastball has dropped about three mph and he is not as deceptive as he was. He had a 10.31 ERA and just four strikeouts in Spring Training, so maybe he will change when the season starts, but this seems to be the beginning of the end for Zito.

2008 Projection: 10-15 W-L, 4.74 ERA, 143 K

4) Aaron Rowand, Giants
- He is moving from a hitters park to pitchers park, and is moving from a great lineup to a horrendous lineup. He will not have any protection and will likely return to 2006 form. He was coming off a career year last year, but still saw dips in OPS, so do not look for an amazing year from Rowand.

2008 Projection: .272 AVG, 16 HR, 71 RBI

5) Kyle Kendrick, Phillies
- Wasn't all that overpowering in the minors, many scouts suggest his success came from teams not being familiar with him. Many people are looking at him as a lesser Cole Hamels, but he is looking like a number four starter, if that at all. We'll see, but I think we are in for a disappointing 2008 from Kendrick.

2008 Projection: 10-11 W-L, 4.74 ERA, 97 K

Honorable Mention: Kaz Matsui (Astros)

Murton Would Help Any Team

Thursday, March 27, 2008

Recent reports out of Chicago suggest that Ronny Cedeno and Mike Fontenot will get to the final two roster sports, meaning outfielder Matt Murton is heading to Triple-A. Most of you know I believe Murton will be a big time player, assuming he can play everyday at the MLB level. In 195 games between 2005 and 2006, he hit .309 with 20 HR with a .375 OBP. He hit .281 with 8 HR in 94 games last season, but he should be an everyday player somewhere in 2008. There are rumors flying around that the Red Sox and Padres are the two teams most interested, and for Murton's sake, I hope a trade happens soon.

For those of you that do not know, the Cubs home schedule favors day games. There are several night games that go into day games, causing some players to become worn down by mid-May or June. Murton hit .295 during night games, but again struggled during day games. He hit very well on the road, an impressive .322, and I think he would be a very successful outfielder on a different team.

I have been calculating some projections of Murton on different teams in everyday roles, and they come out nicely. I believe he has the potential to hit .285-.295 range consistently, with 20-25 homeruns. Someone that you could compare him to is Larry Walker, before he went to Colorado. Murton's strength's are that he is very patient, has a great swing that finds the gaps, and above average speed. What would it cost a team like the Padres for Murton? Matt Antonelli or Wade LeBlanc?

Matt Murton's Cubs Projection:
.284 AVG, 23 HR, 69 RBI

Matt Murton's Padres Projection:
.307 AVG, 18 HR, 76 RBI

Matt Murton's Red Sox Projection:
.294 AVG, 20 HR, 68 RBI

Maybe this convinces you that he is a solid all around player, maybe it doesn't. Nevertheless, the Cubs are making a mistake by keeping him in Triple-A and it is hurting his chances to be an everyday player.

National League Award Predictions

The National League is still the inferior league, but I think the race for all four playoff spots is going to be very close.

National League MVP: Ryan Braun, Brewers
Darkhorse: Adrain Gonzalez, Padres

National League Cy Young: Johan Santana, Mets
Darkhorse: Carlos Zambrano, Cubs

National League Rookie of the Year: Geovanny Soto, Cubs
Darkhorse: Hiroki Kuroda, Dodgers

National League Comeback Player of the Year: Nick Johnson, Nationals
Darkhorse: Corey Patterson, Reds

Let's hear your predictions in the comment box below.

Indians Interested In Garcia?

According to Jon Heyman, the Indians are showing some interest in Freddy Garcia. The Indians are likely to wait, but will probably sign him soon if rehab is going well. Come June, when he is healthy, I think a lot of teams will be interested in his services. However, he had a very serious injury, and it is not one of those injuries where it hurts, then you have surgery, and then you are all better. Personally, I would not have him pitch in the MLB till the All-Star Break. He has to get his arm strength back, face live hitters again, and get back into MLB playing shape. I do not doubt Garcia can come back, but I think we won't see him pitching regularly until 2009. If you had to compare this to one pitcher, it would have to be Mark Mulder. Mulder's 2006 season was cut short and he barely made it back in 2007, before he was shutdown again. My advice to the team that signs him is to be patient with him because otherwise, it is a wasted signing.

Seanez Looking For Work

Relief pitcher Rudy Seanez has been released by Dodgers, but is still looking for work. However, he said if he does not find work by Sunday, he would retire. Seanez went 6-3 with a 3.79 ERA last season in 73 games and could probably do well in a late inning role with another team. With that said, I see the Tigers as a good fit. They need a late inning reliever and adding someone like Seanez, with experience in both leagues, might help the bullpen early on. Another good fit would be the Phillies, who are eager for another reliver. Both teams I see as good fits for Seanez, who would also be on a team competing for the playoffs. There are several other teams looking for bullpen help, but teams that probably won't be in playoff contention. The Astros, Orioles, and Cardinals are all looking for depth, and I think Seanez, although thirty-nine, would help all of them.

Escobar Likely Out For Season

Angels pitcher Kelvim Escobar may be forced to opt for surgery after learning that he has a tear in his shoulder. Although the Angels plan to put him on a strength training program to see if it is not that bad, but there is growing concern among baseball executives that shoulders are very shaky, and that he might be better off having the surgery. Losing Escobar, a nineteen game winner, would really hurt the Angels this season. Escobar, however, is not just thinking about his season, but the rest of his career: “It could be my career. I'm not going to lie to you guys,” said Escobar, 31, who is in the second year of a three-year, $28.5 million contract with the Angels. “I'm concerned. I don't even know if I'm going to pitch again. … Retirement has gotten into my head, too. It's hard to be doing the rehab. You get frustrated. You want to get out there and play. The Angels have a lot of depth and I do not think they will have too many problems, but the Mariners are going to give them a run for their money.

The LA Times is looking at possible candidates for the Angels rotation, and have tossed out names like Kameron Loe, Jon Lieber, Aaron Laffey, or Joe Blanton, to name a few. The Angels are not ones to trade away their minor league depth, so I doubt they will make a trade. However, come July and the Mariners and Angels are fighting for the division lead, a trade could come.

MLB Rumors In The News, Again!

The Chicago Sun-Times article by Neil Hayes put MLB Rumors on the map, and I recently got a call from the Pioneer Press of the Greater Chicagoland Area asking me for an interview. It is great to flip the table and to answer some questions, something that has only happened recently. Here is the link to the article....

Eli

American League Award Predictions

Wednesday, March 26, 2008

The American League got a whole better this past offseason, and I think the race for each playoff spot will be close.

American League MVP: Miguel Cabrera, Tigers
Darkhorse: Torii Hunter, Angels

American Legaue Cy Young: Justin Verlander, Tigers
Darkhorse: Dustin McGowan, Blue Jays

American League Rookie of the Year: Evan Longoria, Rays
Darkhorse: Alexei Ramirez, White Sox

American League Comeback Player of the Year: Rich Harden, Athletics
Darkhorse: Ervin Santana, Angels

Let's hear your predictions in the comment box below....

Royals' DeJesus Here To Stay

After finishing the year in unspectacular fashion, Royals outfielder David DeJesus was the subject of several trade talks. According to sources, the Braves and Royals came very close to cutting a deal before the Braves acquired Mark Kotsay. They talked to several other teams as well, but decided to work in a few extra days off and additional workouts to improve his durability this season. DeJesus was mentioned in trade talks earlier this spring, but Royals executives confirmed today that he is not going anywhere. He is having a good spring, and had a good track record before this year. Not including 2007, he is a career .290 hitter and averaged eight homeruns. One problem I think he had was he played in 38 more games than the season before and I think he was just worn down. I think he can return to hit around .280, especially because he is now used to a complete season. The Royals locked him up long term and I think Royals fans will start to realize that this was a good deal for them.

2008 National League Standings Projections

National League East

1. Atlanta Braves: 92-70 W-L

2. New York Mets: 88-74 W-L

3. Philadelphia Phillies: 84-78 W-L

4. Washington Nationals: 69-93 W-L

5. Florida Marlins: 64-98 W-L

Rationale: The Phillies pitching will need to put out a better showing if they want to repeat in the division. But after losing Brad Lidge, the bullpen is not as good. If they can put together a strong bullpen, maybe they will be in the race. The Mets have nagging injuries that will hurt them, despite adding Johan Santana. As for the Braves, they have a strong lineup and a deep rotation. If one of their veteran relievers fall, they have a young impressive pitcher to step up.Yunel Escobar is a breakout candidate and Mark Teixeira all year will definitely help.

National League Central

1. Chicago Cubs: 89-73 W-L

2. Milwaukee Brewers: 87-75

3. Cincinnati Reds: 83-79 W-L

4. Houston Astros: 73-89 W-L

5. St. Louis Cardinals: 70-92 W-L

6. Pittsburgh Pirates: 63-99 W-L

Rationale: I see the Cubs and Brewers fighting it out all year again, but the Cubs coming out on top. They have a lot of crucial games that they will be playing and I see the veteran Cubs being able to hold out in late September rather than some of their rookies. Not only that, but they do not have Gallardo early on and I think that will hurt them too. Yes, it is only two or three starts, but the games early on always come back to haunt you.

National League West

1. Arizona Diamondbacks: 94-68 W-L

2. San Diego Padres: 90-72 W-L

3. Colorado Rockies: 88-74 W-L

4. Los Angeles Dodgers: 86-76 W-L

5. San Francisco Giants: 58-104 W-L

Rationale: The Diamondbacks are a very impressive team and got better with the addition of Dan Haren. A full year from Justin Upton, and improved years from Drew and Young make me think this team is a serious contender for the World Series. The Padres have assembled a good team and their younger players should improve on what they have. Kouzmanoff is a breakout canidate and so is Adrain Gonzalez. Michael Barrett will be entering a new year and is ready to return to his old form. The Rockies are great team, but I do not think we will be seeing them in Rocktober.

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

Phillies Working On Trade?

The Phillies are making the finishing touches to their roster and are trying to add a reliever, while trading Wes Helms. Helms, who hit .246 with 5 HR, is out of a platoon job with Greg Dobbs with the signing of Pedro Feliz. The Phillies have shopped him all spring, but have yet to find a team interested. However, the Phillies have lowered their asking price, mostly because they do not want three third baseman on their roster. I have been told by an NL source that the Phillies have an offer out to the Reds for Mike Stanton. Stanton went 1-3 with a 5.93 ERA in 69 games last season, but is 68-63 with a 3.97 ERA in eighteen major league seasons. The Reds really don't need Helms, though. I think the Giants, who need a third baseman, are a better fit. The Phillies could acquire the veteran Steve Kline, who would definitely help their bullpen. I'm sure the Phillies want a deal to happen soon, but I don't see anything happening before Opening Day.

Mailbag: Importance of Spring....

Tuesday, March 25, 2008

This is our second mailbag of the spring asking question about what else-baseball. If you are interested in participating in the Mailbag, email me at mlbrumors@gmail.com.

Q: This is not a fantasy question, but which position is the most important in your mind. I mean, which one wins ball games?

Tim R., Boston, MA

ELI: The bullpen. The bullpen wins games and keeps you in ball games that you are losing. A perfect example is in today's Opening Day in Japan. The Red Sox were down late but had solid relievers come in and limit the deficit. That allowed for Red Sox hitters to figure out their pitchers and ironically, come back against the teams best pitcher. The Athletics had the lead but were unable to keep it because of their poor bullpen. Yes, relievers are rusty coming out of Spring Training because they do not play much, but this is a fine example of how important bullpens are.

Q: Erik Bedard is having a rough spring, is this what us Mariners fans should expect from him this season?

Danny M. Portland, Oregon

ELI: It is funny you say that because he is my case study for this season to see how important spring is. I do not think you should expect it from him because there is a lot on his mind. He is getting use to a new catcher, a new team, and new opponents. He has played in Florida his whole career in Spring Training and has not faced most of the players over in Arizona. I'm not trying to make excuses, but when you are facing an ace and you are trying to make the team, you are going to be swinging at the first pitch because you know Bedard is going to be trying to get ahead in the count.

Q: Is Kosuke Fukudome a bust? He is having a terrible spring.

Justin D, Evanston, Ill.

ELI: He too, like Bedard, is getting use to a new setting. He is obviously trying to make a good first impression, and I think Cubs fans appreciate his effort. You cannot say he is a bust yet, but he is a little suprising. He is striking out a lot and you do not like to see that in Spring Training, but what can you do? Remember, he is coming off surgery, and coming into a new league, so I wouldn't get my hopes up just yet. I think he will help, but give him time to come into form.

Q: Who are your two sleeper teams to make the playoffs and go to the World Series?

Jamie E. Dayton, OH

ELI: In the American, my sleeper is the Mariners. I do not think too many teams really have a good chance right now. The Blue Jays have great pitching, but are playing in a really tough division. Because the Angels are hurt right now, I think the Mariners can get ahead. I think people are going to be looking back at the end of the season and say, "Wow, Carlos Silva was a great pickup." As for the NL, I think the Braves have a great chance to win the division. The Phillies will need an even better showing from their pitching, which is unlikely, and the Mets need their players to get and stay healthy, which is also unlikely. The Braves have depth and a healthy lineup.

If you are interested in participating in the mailbag, email me at mlbrumors@gmail.com.

Vargas to Cardinals?

The Milwaukee Brewers today released pitcher Carlos Vargas, despite posting a 3.86 ERA in five starts. They lost both Gallardo and Capuano, and to see them release Vargas, who has put up two double-digit win seasons up in a row, is surprising. He is a solid back end of the rotation starter, and should be picked up relatively soon. I have asked around yet to who might be interested, but the Cardinals jump out as a team that would snag him. Todd Wellemeyer is their number five starter at the moment and Vargas would be an upgrade over him. The Mets always seem to go bargain hunting and could also come in and give him a shot. Bringing him in would also allow them to go trade Jorge Sosa. I don't think he should be used as a reliever because he does walk a lot, but he would make for a decent number five starter.

Just a little south of Milwaukee, the Cubs are making news. They signed outfielder Reed Johnson, putting an end to the Coco Crisp and Marlon Byrd rumors. With this signing, I think it could lead to a Matt Murton trade. Johnson and Murton are pretty similar players, but Johnson is a better fielder. It is a good move nonetheless.

Reed Drawing Interest

Once top prospect Jeremy Reed is unlikely to make the team, and is drawing interest from several teams around the league. Reed is batting .318 in 22 at-bats this Spring, but is a career .252 hitter in 239 games. He has fairly fast and can play all three positions, so he is valuable to teams looking for a reserve outfielder. The Padres, who recently lost Jim Edmonds for an extended amount of time, are interested in adding Reed. The Padres looked to Reggie Willits earlier in Spring Training but the Angels were not interested. The Padres do have other options though in their system. They could go young and offer the spots to Jody Gerut, Matt Antonelli, or Chase Headley. The Rays are also interested, mostly because he would serve as a platoon with Jonny Gomes. It probably would not take much to get Reed, but I doubt it will come through trade. Reed really isn't needed by the Mariners anymore. They have a lot of outfield depth and they do not want to block a young player while Reed is in the minors. They could release Reed this week if no team shows serious interest.

2008 American League Standings Projections

American League East

1. Boston Red Sox: 95-67 W-L

2. New York Yankees: 92-70 W-L

3. Toronto Blue Jays: 88-74 W-L

4. Tampa Bay Rays: 73-89 W-L

5. Baltimore Orioles: 57-105 W-L

Rationale: The Blue Jays and Rays are really going to surprise us this year, and I think they will be in the race all season. The RedSox are solid up and down and should be able to take the division, but it won't be as easy as everyone thinks.

American League Central

1. Cleveland Indians: 93-69 W-L

2. Detroit Tigers: 91-71 W-L

3. Minnesota Twins: 80-82 W-L

4. Chicago White Sox: 79-83 W-L

5. Kansas City Royals: 74-88 W-L

Rationale: Yes, the Tigers improved their offense to give themselves one of the best offenses in the game, but they failed to improve their bullpen. The bullpen is the most important part of the game and to be lacking early on will only hurt them. If they can get some bullpen help early, I think they are the favorite. The Twins and Sox are pretty equal, but they could turn out to be better than expected. The Royals definitely helped themselves this offseason, but need to focus on their starting pitching in the next offseason to really make a serious run.

American League West Standings

1. Seattle Mariners: 93-69 W-L

2. Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim: 89-73 W-L

3. Texas Rangers: 77-85 W-L

4. Oakland Athletics: 74-88 W-L

Rationale: I think the injuries to the Angels early on will hurt them, putting the Mariners ahead early. Many have been critical of the Carlos Silva signing, but his double-digit wins might send the Mariners to the playoffs. Not to mention that they also have ErikBedard . As for the Rangers and A's, the A's have a lot of question marks and the Rangers pitching is weak. It is going to be close between them, as you can see.

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

Yates to be Traded?

The Braves have several players who are out of options, but are planning to hold on to all of them, except Tyler Yates. Braves pitchers Blayne Boyer, Chris Resop and Royce Ring are also out of options, but are likely to remain with the team. At the beginning of camp, Yates was considered to have a bullpen spot, but after posting a 10.29 ERA, the Braves will shop him. I believe they will look for another solid bench player, but it is hard to see what they could get for him. I assume they will talk to Detroit to see if they want to take a chance on him, but I am sure they will talk to every team in need of an extra arm before they put him through waivers. If I were the Tigers, I would take a chance on him. He went 2-3 last year with a 5.15 ERA and K/BB ratio of 69/31. He pitched in 75 games last season, so if a team like the Tigers limited Yates to the amount of games he pitches in, they might see more success. One reason why the Tigers might not go and get him is because he is very similar to Jason Grilli, another middle reliever. They are looking for a late inning reliever and have yet to make any major headway with any team.

UPDATE: Traded to Pirates for Todd Redmond.

Blue Jays To Extend Rios

According to FOXSports.com, the Blue Jays and Alex Rios are closing in on a six year extension worth about 65 million dollars. The deal, which will begin in 2009, will cover his first four years of free agency. The Blue Jays are known for giving their players opt-out clauses in their contracts, along with a no-trade clause, and I expect them to do that with Rios. This is a solid deal for the Blue Jays, mostly because Rios is really coming into form in the MLB. He struggled in his second year, like most hitters, but turned it around in 2006 and made his first All-Star appearance. His power numbers increased in 2007 and he made his second All-Star appearance. With some of the injuries effecting the Yankees and Red Sox, it is very possible the Blue Jays could sneak in and grab a spot in the division, assuming that Rios and Wells put up solid numbers again.

Giants Woes Get Worse

Monday, March 24, 2008

The Giants first lost Omar Vizquel for an extended amount of time and turned to Kevin Frandsen and Brian Bocock to take over his duties. However, the Giants lost Kevin Frandsen today for the rest of the season, leaving someone who has never played about Single-A with the job. Frandsen, who ruptured his Achilles tendon today, was expected to be the Opening Day shortstop. He has potential to be a solid utility player, but doesn't pan out to be an everyday player. I think the Giants need to make a trade now. "Fire Sabean" websites are starting up everyday because restless fans are frustrated with Front Office decisions. If they want to move Aurilia to short, they could trade for Wes Helms. Or if they want a shortstop, they could trade for Felipe Lopez. Unfortunately, the Giants really do not much to offer in their minor league system. They have some solid young pitchers, so if they trade Matt Cain for a solid hitter they would be taking a step in the right direction.

Rays' Price Out Till June

Rays pitcher David Price, the top pick in the 2007 draft, is going to be out for at least six weeks with a muscle strain in his left elbow. The main reason the Rays plan to take their time with Price is because he has yet to make his professional debut, so he will have to strengthen his arm once healthy to get it up to speed. "The good news is that obviously it's nothing significant,'' executive VP Andrew Friedman said. "We had that sense pretty soon after it happened but it's always good to get confirmation. Hearing the report the biggest delay is just going to be in terms of building him back up not necessarily getting him healthy.'' The Rays planned to start him at Vero Beach, but it is likely he will stay in extended Spring Training until he gets healthy.

2008 Yankees Projections

DH Hideki Matsui
.293 AVG, 27 HR, 112 RBI
C Jorge Posada
.288 AVG, 16 HR, 81 RBI
1B Jason Giambi
.249 AVG, 21 HR, 73 RBI
2B Robinson Cano
.322 AVG, 18 HR, 100 RBI
3B Alex Rodriguez
.303 AVG, 48 HR, 148 RBI
SS Derek Jeter
.327 AVG, 13 HR, 77 RBI
LF Johnny Damon
.278 AVG, 14 HR, 63 RBI
CF Melky Cabrera
.286 AVG, 12 HR, 68 RBI
RF Bobby Abreu
.280 AVG, 17 HR, 104 RBI

SP Chien-Ming Wang
17-6 W-L, 3.87 ERA, 91 K
SP Andy Pettitte
14-8 W-L, 3.91 ERA, 137 K
SP Phil Hughes
15-7 W-L, 3.65 ERA, 110 K
SP Mike Mussina
10-13 W-L, 4.93 ERA, 114 K
SP Ian Kennedy
10-8 W-L, 4.32 ERA, 92 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

Rosenthal: Roberts to Cubs Off

According to Ken Rosenthal siting major league sources, the Cubs and Orioles have decided to table discussions concerning Brian Roberts. Finally, players on each side can relax and focus on the game. I'm sure this comes as a relief to Mark DeRosa, who would have been out of a starting job with the trade. This hopefully will be the last time I ever have to say Brian Roberts and the Cubs in the same sentence, at least till the trade deadline. I think the Cubs should use Alfonso Soriano in the leadoff spot, followed by Theriot, but Piniella is looking at it differently. As for the Orioles, I think they will go out and get Felipe Lopez to be there everyday shortstop.

Mets, Tigers Talking Trade

The Tigers have approached several teams about acquiring a reliever, but are returning to the Mets to discuss a deal. According to one high ranking official, the Mets have at least three different trade proposals out, all that would bring Marcus Thames back in return. I assume that one trade involved Scott Shoenweis and a prospect, one involves Jorge Sosa and a prospect, and the final one could just be Aaron Heilman. The Mets plan to keep Steve Register on the roster, so it is possible the Mets will indeed trade one of their relievers. However, several teams already understand the importance of depth and I think the Mets would be smart to hold on to their relievers, because someone could easily go down on their roster. Someone I think the Tigers should try and snag is Ambiorix Burgos. He is young with experience, and should be good down the road. However, he has had some injury problems.

2008 Top 100 Prospects: 91-100

91. Bryan Anderson, Cardinals
- Just twenty-one, Anderson proved he could hit the ball for average and power. He is the future behind the plate for the Cardinals.

92. Joe Savery, Phillies
- Although he is a good hitter, he thinks he can make as a pitcher. He did well in his first seven games in the pros, but we need to see more from him.

93. Kyle Blanks, Padres
- Although he is older than most Double-A players with potential, he hit for a lot of power and average in Single-A and could see time at the MLB level this season.

94. Taylor Teagarden, Rangers
- He has battled injuries, but still has the potential to be a solid player.

95. Scott Elbert, Dodgers
- This left handed reliever probably won't make the team until 2009 or 2010, but has a pretty good minor league track record. I think he will likely be "the lefty" in the Dodgers pen for the years to come.

96. Neftali Feliz, Rangers
- I think his career will be as a closer, mostly because his above average change up compliments his 99 mph fastball very nicely. Oh yeah, he is only nineteen. The main reason he is not higher is because of his K/BB.

97. Hector Gomez, Rockies
- He has drawn comparisons to Michael Young, but I see him more as a Khalil Greene.

98. Drew Stubbs, Reds
- Won't be up till 2010, but he will hit for a high average. He has time, and I think the power will come.

99. Aaron Poreda, White Sox
- A strong fastball with good movement gets him in the top 100, but his secondary pitchers are not great, yet.

100. Andrew Brackman, Yankees
- 6'10 pitcher with a hard fastball, but arm problems early on put his career in question.

Lopez to Astros?

The Nationals are actively trying to trade infielder Felipe Lopez. Lopez, who hit .245 with 9 HR last season, is pretty quick on the base paths and can play second, third, and short. According to one NL scout, the Nationals approached the Astros, among other teams, about Lopez and the Astros are willing to listen. I wasn't told about the other teams but it has been reported that the Cardinals, Cubs, Orioles, and Giants are interested. One reason why the Astros might be interested is because Kaz Matsui is out, and Miguel Tejada might be faced with problems that might force him to leave the team. Furthermore, the Astros and Dodgers are talking about a Mark Loretta trade, and acquiring Lopez would fill the void. It is believed the Astros are asking for at least two players, a reliever and a young prospect. I doubt that he goes to the Astros but it would not surprise me if the Orioles swoop in and make a move.

2008 White Sox Projections

DH Jim Thome
.263 AVG, 26 HR, 83 RBI
C A.J. Pierzynski
.261 AVG, 14 HR, 62 RBI
1B Paul Konerko
.284 AVG, 28 HR, 99 RBI
2B Alexei Ramirez
.280 AVG, 6 HR, 42 RBI
3B Joe Crede
.255 AVG, 19 HR, 58 RBI
SS Orlando Cabrera
.273 AVG, 8 HR, 75 RBI
LF Carlos Quentin
.259 AVG, 14 HR, 63 RBI
CF Nick Swisher
.270 AVG, 32 HR, 84 RBI
RF Jermaine Dye
.277 AVG, 30 HR, 86 RBI

3B Josh Fields
.266 AVG, 26 HR, 79 RBI

SP Mark Buehrle
12-8 W-L, 4.22 ERA, 132 K
SP Javier Vazquez
13-10 W-L, 4.26 ERA, 178 K
SP Jose Contreras
11-12 W-L, 4.67 ERA, 96 K
SP Jon Danks
12-8 W-L, 4.75 ERA, 124 K
SP Gavin Floyd
7-9 W-L, 5.04 ERA, 92 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

Inge Not Going Anywhere

Now that Curtis Granderson is out for the first half of April, it makes it more likely that Brandon Inge is not going anywhere. Inge is not having the best Spring but is very versatile. The Tigers have said that Inge will be the Opening Day center fielder now that Granderson is down, and then he will be moved back to a bench role when he returns. However, because he is so versatile, it makes me think the Tigers will rotate him around at catcher, second base, and the outfield, to get him about 300 or 400 at-bats. Yes, it is still likely that he will be traded at the deadline, but for now, he is platooning with the Tigers. Teams that have shown interest in Inge is the Athletics, Dodgers, Cubs, Rangers, and Blue Jays.

Capuano Out For Year?

Just last week, Milwaukee Brewers pitcher Chris Capuano was involved in trade talks. Now, it appears he will be out for the season. Capuano is seeking a second opinion on his elbow after one doctor detected a tear. If there is indeed a tear, it would require Tommy John surgery. "There's a very small chance that you could elect to rehab it," assistant general manager Gord Ash said. "It does happen but I would say it's the exception." Capuano looked like he was entering his prime last season, but twelve straight win less outings and twenty-two consecutive losing efforts. He won eighteen games in 2005 and was an All-Star in 2006, but wasn't the same after going 5-0 in 2007. Pitching depth is definitely paying off for the Brewers right now who have lost Gallardo for the first couple weeks and now Capuano. The rotation likely will be:

SP Ben Sheets
SP Jeff Suppan
SP Manny Parra
SP Carlos Villanueva
SP Dave Bush

When Gallardo comes back, I'm sure he will take Parra's spot, but a lot will depend on who is doing well.

Cubs Eying Johnson

The Cubs are having trouble finding a trade partner and are now looking at Reed Johnson as the candidate to platoon with Reed Johnson. Johnson still has to clear waivers, so the Cubs won't make a move till then. Personally, I think the Cubs would be better off going with Ronny Cedeno or Eric Patterson platooning in center, but that is only because I have faith in some of the young Cubs players. However, Johnson is a .281 career hitter and has averaged 10 homeruns from 2003-2006. I think he could be solid pickup for the Cubs, but it would further push Matt Murton out of a job. Cubs GM Jim Hendry is determined to make a move, and it will probably come mid week with the signing of Johnson.

Rangers, Not Astros, To Sign Patterson

Although it was believed that John Patterson would join the Astros, the Rangers have jumped in and are closing in on a deal. Patterson, who lives in Texas, will start the year in Triple-A, but will probably get a call up if someone struggles or goes down. "It's no-risk for a guy who has had success in the big leagues," Rangers general manager Jon Daniels said. "We want to bring him in, get him healthy and send him [to Triple-A]." Patterson was struggling to reach 85 on his fastball, and Nationals just became impatient. Allowing him to pitch in Triple-A and get him arm strength up should benefit the Rangers, to some extent.

Interview with Marc Kroon

Last week, I came across the website of former MLB pitcher Marc Kroon. He has been pitching in Japan since 2005. I follow the Japanese league to some extent to know of the success of Kroon. He recently signed a deal with the Yomuiri Giants, leaving the BayStars. He was drafted in the second round of the 1991 draft by the Mets, and saw time with the Padres, Reds, and Rockies. Kroon has grown into a household name in Japan, and is now gearing up for a Championship run with the Giants. I want to thank him again for doing this interview for me, I really appreciate it. I also want to thank Mr. McCurdy for being the middle man in this process.

ELI: Did you have a favorite team growing up? Favorite Player?

MARC: My favorite team was the N.Y. Mets and my favorite player was Dwight Gooden.

ELI: What was it like getting drafted by the Mets? Did you talk with any other teams?

MARC: Well, since I was born and raised in N.Y. City it was like a dream come true for me to get drafted by the Mets. While I was in high school, almost every team has a scout at everyone of my games. I was excited the Mets choose me.

ELI: What was it like getting traded from the Mets to the Padres?

MARC: It was sad because the Mets being my favorite team, I wanted to make it to the Major Leagues with them. It was a dream of mine when I was a kid.

ELI: You retired briefly after the 2000 season. What did you do?

MARC: Well, I retired because I had Tommy John surgery and my arm never recovered. The doctors told me that I would never pitch again. I just spent time with my wife and kids. I started my own business giving children pitching lessons. It was great and I had fun doing it. When I retire, I will continue that business.

ELI: After the 2004 season, you were contacted by Japan to come play there. What were your main reasons for going?

MARC: Well, I had been playing many years in America. I was always going from the Major Leagues back to Triple-A. I got tired of it. I wanted to experience something different. So I decided to sign a one year contract with the Yokohama BayStars. I pitched well. 26 saves with a 2.70 ERA. I broke the speed record too. The old record was 158 km (98 mph). I threw 161 km (100.6 mph). The next year, I signed a two year contract. After this season, I signed a one year contract with the Yomuiri Giants.

ELI: You were very successful in your first year in Japan. Is there anyone you can credit for your success?

MARC: My wife and kids for letting come over here while they are at home. They have given me a great deal of support. I also credit the BayStars manager for giving me the opportunity to be the teams closer. Also, the fans have been great to me and have given me nothing but support since day one. I feel very comfortable here in Japan. The fans are the reason why I started my Homepage, www.kroon161.com.

ELI: Some say baseball language is pretty uniform. Was that the case when you had to communicate with players and coaches?

MARC: At first, it was difficult. But they use baseball words such as balls and strikes, outs, hits, fly ball, and strikeout. Now, I can understand all of the rest of the baseball words even if it is in Japanese because I have been here for four years. I have studied the Japanese language so I can communicate with my teammates. You would be surprised that there are many Japanese players that can speak some English.

ELI: Off the field, what is it like living in Japan?

MARC: At first, it was very difficult mainly because I do not eat any Japanese food. My first year I would ride around and check out different places. But for the past three years it has been difficult to walk outside because I have become too famous. The people love their baseball and I stand out here being 6'2. I spend a lot of time in my house reading, playing Nintendo Wii and Playstation 3.

ELI: Having played in both leagues, what would you say is the biggest difference between them?

MARC: The biggest difference I think is the speed of the game. Major leaguers are stronger and faster. But the league here is still very good. It is not an easy league by far. There are many talented Japanese players, as you saw in the World Baseball Classic.

ELI: This past offseason, you signed with the Giants. How is the free agency process different in Japan than in the States?

MARC: Well, every team is different here. Not every team gives there foreign players free agency. If you are a Japanese player, you have to play nine years before you can become a free agent.

ELI: The latest player to come over from Japan is Kosuke Fukudome. What type of the player was he and do you think he will be successful in the MLB?

MARC: I think he was the best player in Japan before he left. He hit a grand slam off me three years ago. The first grand slam I had ever given up. I wish him the best. He also is a very nice person.

ELI: You are going to be thirty-five in a week or so, do you have any goals for yourself while you are still playing baseball?

MARC: I know I am getting old. Well, I want to win a Championship before I retire. Right now, I have 84 saves career saves. I need 37 more to have the all time foreign saves record. And if I get 33 saves I would have the single-season record for the Giants.

Two Reasons Not To Draft Albert Pujols

Sunday, March 23, 2008

I have been thinking this over a lot lately and have finally decided that Albert Pujols is someone you should pass on in your fantasy drafts. Here are two reasons why:

1. The injury.
- Albert Pujols is going to be going from three to five innings to nine innings everyday, with at least three at bats rather than five. There is going to be a lot more stress on his elbow that could lead to season ending surgery. One collision at first or one inside pitch and he is done. However, he is still hitting the ball very well and will be a force, to some extent.

2. Pitching coaches are not dumb.
- Albert Pujols is going to lead the league in walks. There is no one in the lineup offering protection for him. Is Rick Ankiel going to be that guy, probably not. Is Troy Glaus going to step up and be a power hitter again? Hah, no. If I was pitching against the Cardinals, I would throw everything away, away, and away to Pujols. Let him take first base, because nine times out of ten he won't come around to score.

Giles to Dodgers?

According to the Denver Post, the Rockies are trying to sell the idea of taking on Marcus Giles to the Dodgers. Jayson Nix has won over the second base job and has people very excited about the future middle infield tandem of Tulowitzki and Nix. Giles has had a good spring and has reestablished some of his trade value, but does not have room on the Rockies roster. He is not very versatile, but the Dodgers could use a second baseman to platoon with Kent. And although they have Tony Abreu, he is already filling a spot at third because Garciaparra and LaRoche are down. I recently put in a call to someone close to the Dodgers, and talks are supposedly a lot farther along than people think. I think a deal like this will go down this week, because both teams needs to make decisions about their roster soon.

MLB Rumors In The News!

MLB Rumors has grown over the past several months, thanks mostly to you readers, and it caught the attention of several sports writers. I recently was contacted by the Chicago Sun-Times to do an interview about the blog. Here is the link to the article and here is what it said about me:

Then there's Eli Greenspan, a 17-year-old high school junior from Glencoe, whose blog, Eli's MLB Rumors, has drawn praise from Oakland Athletics general manager Billy Beane, among others. As of March 15, the site had drawn 1.6 million visitors and prompted Nike, PetSmart, Cingular and Circuit City to become advertisers.

''Now that I've made connections and people are calling me and asking me about players, I'm even more interested in building a team,'' said Greenspan, who has yet to begin applying to colleges. ''My goal, even though this might sound idealistic, is to be a general manager in 10 years.''

(Chicago Sun-Times)

Tigers After Street?

The Tigers are more desperate for a relief pitcher that many thought, and now they are going after Huston Street. The Tigers have depth in their bullpen, but mostly middle relief pitchers, not late inning pitchers. I think there is a big difference in the role, and I think it is hard to adjust from one to the other. According to sources, they have contacted half a dozen teams about relief pitchers, and not much has been made of it. This seems like the perfect situation for the A's to make a move. They could acquire several top prospects and give Joey Devine the closer spot. The Tigers could send Brandon Inge and a big chunk of his salary, along with Jeff Gerbe, Scott Sizemore, and Cale Iorg.

In this trade they acquire a third baseman to play while Chavez is out, a solid pitcher who could break the rotation in 2009, a second baseman which would allow them to unload Mark Ellis, and a solid athlete in Iorg who could take over at short. This is a pretty big price to pay, but it speculation on my part. I think the A's could go after Gerbe and Iorg for sure, but then might have to settle for a low level prospect. I didn't realize how serious the Tigers were and I think it is likely that a trade will be made this week. Other teams they could look to are the Blue Jays, Dodgers, and Angels.

Reaction Time: Trades and Signings

STORY: David Wells, 45, is still looking for a job.

REACTION: This doesn't surprise me, really. Wells went 9-9 with a 5.43 ERA last season, but might have to prove himself at Triple-A before getting a call up. The Cardinals showed interest before going with Lohse, and the Dodgers said they were not interested in bringing him back. You could say the Red Sox might consider having him back because their pitching is weak, but I think want more proven pitching. Maybe Wells would go to the independent leagues, but I doubt it. Sadly, I think he is done.

STORY: Mets not interested in Reed Johnson.

REACTION: The Mets are so busy trying to acquire Xavier Nady that Reed Johnson is out of the picture. Not only that, but they have several minor leaguers like Angel Pagan that would probably do a better job than Johnson.

STORY: Michael Wuertz drawing more interest.

REACTION: First, the Tigers contacted the Cubs about Michael Wuertz. Now, the Phillies have talked about going after Michael Wuertz. The Phillies and Tigers have gone after several of the same relievers and both are confident they will get a deal done. I doubt the Cubs trade Wuertz, but it is possible we could see the Phillies trade Wes Helms for Jon Meloan of the Dodgers.

STORY: Astros and Patterson closing on deal.

REACTION: The Astros and John Patterson are still talking a deal, and both sides feel a deal is close. It is obvious that Patterson wants to play close to home, and that should work in the Astros favor.

STORY: Josh Fields heading to Triple-A.

REACTION: Too bad for the White Sox, who were banking on trading Crede to clear the way for Fields. This will only lead to the Sox eventually dumping him when Fields is successful in Triple-A.

ESPN: Cabrera, Tigers Agree to Deal

Saturday, March 22, 2008

According to ESPN.com, the Tigers and Miguel Cabrera are closing in on a eight year deal worth 153.5 million dollars. "Miguel just signed a big contract," said the source. "The contract will be completed when Miguel takes a physical on Monday." This is an excellent deal for the Tigers who lock up Cabrera while he is entering his prime. Cabrera, who lost at least twenty pounds this off season, still hit 34 homeruns last season. Playing in the lineup he is in now, he should have a higher average and more homeruns. I have been going back in forth in my mind about the division winner in the AL Central, but with Cabrera not having to worry about his contract, I could see him having a huge year and carrying the Tigers into the playoffs. Obviously, we won't know till the end of the season, but I really like this deal for the Tigers.

Royals Making Moves?

The Kansas City Star is reporting that the Royals are talking a deal with the Dodgers that would send Esteban German to the Dodgers for Jonathan Meloan and Miguel Pinango. Now, this may just be a rumor, but it would be a pretty good deal for the Royals. Meloan, 23, won't make the Dodgers out of camp but could probably pitch at the MLB level with the Royals. He has good stuff, and he showed it this spring. German has only been a starter for the past two years and hasn't been all that impressive. If this deal is true, it shows how desperate the Dodgers really are. I think the Dodgers are going to be a good team this year, one reason is definitely because of Joe Torre. I am a little hesitant to say they will win the division, but there pitching could surprise us. They are up against a lot. The Rockies are finally confident with themselves, the Diamondbacks are starting to mature, the Padres always have the right pieces to make a serious run. It should be a great race trade or no trade.

The Star is also reporting that the Royals have agreed to send Angel Berroa and half of his 4.75 million dollar salary (2.37) to the Nationals for pitcher Zech Zinicola. Sending the former rookie of the year shortstop to the Nationals doesn't make much sense to me. They already have a crowded infield and are struggling to make a trade. Zinicola is not a bad prospect and might turn out to be a decent reliever, but needs more time in the minors to find his spot. I think the Royals would be winners in both trades if they go down, but would probably have little impact on the team.

2008 Top 100 Prospects: 81-90

81. Eric Hurley, Rangers
- He has been around the minors some but keeps getting better. I don't see him becoming very successful in the MLB, but could turn out to be a successful bottom end of the rotation starter.

82. Nolan Reimold, Orioles
- Showed great power in the minors that transforms well in the MLB. He doesn't have a spot currently but I think they will make room.

83. Sean Gallagher, Cubs
- Solid pitcher in the Cubs organization, but has yet to show it at the MLB level. He can pitch deep into games and keeps his ERA down. He needs some time to mature, but should be a solid MLB pitcher soon.

84. Troy Patton, Orioles
- Top prospect in the Astros farm system before he was traded. He is down for the season, which I think hurts his potential. Still, he should be a good pitcher come 2009 or 2010.

85. Tim Alderson, Giants
- He very well could be the next big pitcher to come up for the Giants. Made a successful jump from high school to the minors, and is already progressing in Spring Training.

86. Michael Bowden, Red Sox
- He has been a Red Sox prospect for so long that people think he is starting to fade. However, he is a very good pitcher that will probably be one of the bottom two starters in the next couple years.

87. Collin Balester, Nationals
- Excellent stuff, but doesn't have great control. He should help the Nationas pitching staff though.

88. Jeff Niemann, Rays
- His big physique will make him a successful pitcher in the MLB. Yes, he is twenty-five, but he should make for a solid late inning pitcher once he improves on his command. We will see more of him in 2008.

89. Gorkys Hernandez, Braves
- He probably won't be up till 2010, but he has the potential to be an All-Star.

90. Edwar Ramirez, Yankees
- He struggled in his first season but his stuff is nasty. He has an incredible slider and a nasty changeup. GM Brian Cashman said his name came up a lot in trade talks but they couldn't let go of him. Should be a solid reliever for them in the future.

Javy Lopez Retires

Long time Braves catcher Javy Lopez has decided to retire after learning he would not make the Opening Day roster. Lopez wasn't all that impressive hitting wise, but he was still in the running with the other three catchers: "We just think [Lopez] needs more time," Cox said. "He caught and received the ball really well. He blocked really good. Throwing, he needs more time back there." In fifteen major league seasons, Lopez hit .287 with 260 homeruns. His best year came in 2003 with 43 homeruns, but he fell after that year after joining the Orioles and than was ultimately released by the Red Sox. He is remembered for successfully handling some of the best pitchers in baseball during the nineties and his success in the playoffs.

News and Notes: Twins, Nathan Close To Deal

The Twins and Joe Nathan are closing in on a four year deal worth 11-12 million dollars annually, according to Buster Olney. Nathan went 4-2 with a 1.88 ERA and 37 saves last season, bringing his career ERA down to three. This is a big investment for the Twins, but it is worth it. They do not have much of anything right now, and signing him shows their commitment for the future. Yes, they have Pat Neshek who could have taken over at the role, but Nathan is an All-Star closer who could definitely lure a big name player to the Twins. They are in the final stages of the deal and it's expected a deal will be done before Opening Day. On paper, this team could surprise people. There offense is pretty good and if their pitching does not collapse, I bet they are fighting for third place.

Cubs after Lopez?: The Cubs are reportedly scouting Felipe Lopez of the Nationals. This doesn't make sense to me. Why would they need a middle infielder? Are they planning on DeRosa in center with Pie? I think Lou Piniella is a good manager, but I think he picks favorites too soon, and will not be putting the best team on the field.

Dodgers are still looking at Loretta: It seems everyday someone else will say the Dodgers are looking at Mark Loretta. It is true, but nothing has changed on that front. However, there is word that they are talking to the Phillies about Wes Helms.

Edinson Volquez turning heads: This kid is looking like the ace of the future for the Reds. He has unbelievable stuff, and scouts are saying he has one of the best changeups in he league.

Reyes on the block?: Cardinals pitcher Anthony Reyes has lost his spot in the rotation to Brad Thompson and is reportedly being shopped. The Marlins were reportedly scouting him early on, but nothing was made of it.

Next Dice-K?: Young pitcher Yu Darvish is considered to be the next Matsuzaka. Reporters from Japan that I have talked to say he is exciting to watch, and is only in his early twenties. The Ham Fighters might post him in hopes of landing the record breaking 51 million that was posted for Matsuzaka, but it might be closer to 20-30 because he is not as experienced. However, there is already word that the Red Sox would make a move if he is posted.

2008 Twins Projections

Friday, March 21, 2008

DH Jason Kubel
.278 AVG, 16 HR, 67 RBI
C Joe Mauer
.318 AVG, 11 HR, 64 RBI
1B Justin Morneau
.282 AVG, 33 HR, 114 RBI
2B Brendan Harris
.266 AVG, 10 HR, 57 RBI
3B Mike Lamb
.284 AVG, 11 HR, 50 RBI
SS Adam Everett
.244 AVG, 1 HR, 32 RBI
LF Delmon Young
.295 AVG, 15 HR, 88 RBI
CF Carlos Gomez
.258 AVG, 7 HR, 41 RBI
RF Michael Cuddyer
.267 AVG, 18 HR, 77 RBI

SP Scott Baker
11-10 W-L, 4.52 ERA, 128 K
SP Boof Bonser
9-13 W-L, 4.83 ERA, 144 K
SP Livan Hernandez
10-14 W-L, 5.23 ERA, 94 K
SP Francisco Liriano
14-8 W-L, 3.67 ERA, 157 K
SP Kevin Slowey
10-9 W-L, 4.08 ERA, 116 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

The Best Prank, Ever

This happened over at the Phillies camp involving everyone except Kyle Kendrick. From Ruben Amaro to Brett Myers, everyone was involved.

Braves Might Deal Pena?

Brayan Pena, who is out of options, is competing for the back up catching job behind three other catchers. Javy Lopez, although he is a coaches favorite, has not overwhelmed everyone with his stuff. Pena is an excellent fielder and that could win him the job, but he is a poor hitter. Still, a team would pick him up if he was on waivers. Both the Giants and Reds are looking for help behind the plate, and would probably take a chance on him. He would probably make for a decent platoon, mostly because of his solid defense. I expect him to make the team over Lopez and Corky Miller, so maybe the Giants or Reds would take a chance on them.

White Sox Ramirez Makes Roster

New White Sox import Alexei Ramirez is having a good spring, and White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen believes he is ready to play at the MLB level. Although he was the best player over in Cuba, his 6'3, 185 pound body will probably hit for more average than power. I think the White Sox are making a mistake by keeping him on the roster. The Cuban leagues are comparable to High-A ball at best, and they already have a lot of depth at second base at their roster. I have said it before, but anyone can hit .300 during Spring Training. You are almost guaranteed a fastball for the first pitch, and it should be over the plate. Early on, all the pitcher is trying to do is get ahead in the count so he can work on his second and third pitch. When the season starts, it will be completely different. Starting him in Triple-A might even be pushing it, but he might be ready. In Triple-A, he will be allowed to get his swing down and adjust to American baseball. That is my opinion, maybe the White Sox see something I don't see.

When I shared this opinion with one scout he agreed, for the most part. He thought that because teams are not familiar with him, he would be successful, at least for most of 2008: "He is a very smart player." Does that mean you should go out and pick him up in your fantasy league? Not just yet, but he could be someone you watch for early on.

Marlins Put Castillo On Waivers

The Marlins have placed Jose Castillo on irrevocable waivers, according to MLB.com. Castillo had a decent spring and might get picked up, but he would probably end up as a back up elsewhere. He is a career .256 hitter with 33 HR in 465 games and could motivate a team like the Astros to deal Mark Loretta knowing they could bring him in as a replacement. Also, the Orioles are looking for a middle infielder and could go after him now that Uribe has been pulled from them. He played the outfield once last year and they could try and make him more versatile over time. I do not doubt he will be signed, but I think it might be when someone goes down or leaves through a trade.

Molina Back To Angels?

It appears that the Giants have finally realized that they do not have what it takes to be competitive in the NL West and are aggressively pursuing a trade. The Contra Costa Times is reporting that the Giants called the Angels asking if they would be interested in Bengie Molina. The Angels, who miss his veteran leadership and ability to handle pitchers, would love to have him back. But at what price? The Times believes they have asked for Casey Kotchman and Jeff Mathis is return. The Angels have Morales, who could fill the spot, and the Giants would then fill two positions. I think it is a good deal for both teams. The Angels need a veteran catcher to handle their now young staff hit with injuries, and the Giants need all the young help they can get. This seems like it could happen quick because both teams are desperate.

Tigers After Wuertz

The Tigers, desperate to acquire some bullpen help, are taking a close look at Cubs reliever Michael Wuertz. Wuertz, who went 2-3 with a 3.48 ERA last season, would make for a solid set up man or closer while Joel Zumaya recovers. He has a great fastball, a nasty slider, and is breaking away from the rookie stages and become a major league league reliever. The Detroit Free Press believes the Cubs have inquired about Brandon Inge and Marcus Thames, but Inge wants a starting job. Thames has good power and would give the Cubs the option to start Pie in Triple-A to get his confidence up; however, I think the Cubs would want more than just Thames for a solid reliever in a shaky bullpen. I suspect it would take a pitching prospect or two along with Thames. Still, I think the Tigers should make the move. Acquiring a pitcher like Wuertz, who really has not gotten much attention with the Cubs and giving him a key role in the bullpen, would benefit the team.

Astros Like Patterson?

Now that the Nationals have released pitcher John Patterson, the Astros are expressing interest in signing him. "We'll take a look at it and see if anything makes sense," Astros general manager Ed Wade said. The 2007 Nationals Opening Day starter must clear waivers, but many are expecting that the Astros will jump in and sign him when he is a free agent. Patterson struggled last season going 1-5 with a 7.47 ERA in 7 games, but was 9-7 with a 3.13 ERA with the Nationals in 2005. If healthy, he has the makings to be a bottom end of the rotation starter for the Astros weak rotation.

Reds Demote Bruce, Patterson In?

Top prospect Jay Bruce has been demoted to Triple-A, a sign that Corey Patterson has won the job. Giving Bruce a month or so in the minors should do him well, and I like the move a lot. I've said it before, but allowing a top prospect like Bruce to get his swing down and confidence up in Triple-A and then calling him up will only benefit him and the team. Patterson is doing well this Spring and should do well because he is playing under one of his old managers in the same division. The Cubs definitely rushed him, calling him up in 2000 at the age of 19, but that doesn't mean he cannot do well. I look at the Reds as a playoff contender this year, but I think they definitely have a better chance next year. Pitching is improving, hitting is definitely improving, and the bullpen has gotten a lot better. To be honest, they will probably beat out the Cardinals for third place. Well, were a long way from that. We'll address this again when Bruce gets his much anticipated call up.

2008 Top 100 Prospects: 71-80

Thursday, March 20, 2008

71. Brett Sinkbeil, Marlins
- Really dominated winter ball after ending the season with injury but really has good stuff and the potential to be a solid spot starter.

72. Robert Hernandez, Cubs
- Just nineteen years old, Hernandez went 8-9 with a 4.34 ERA at Single-A. He dominated day games but struggled during the night. When he gets used to playing at night he will be force and fast climber in the Cubs organization.

73. Desmond Jennings, Rays
- Very athletic outfielder for the Rays. I wouldn't say his potential is through the roof, but he could turn out to be a solid player.

74. Brandon Jones, Braves
- He has been solid in the minor leagues but I don't think he has the makings to be an everyday player. However, he could make for an excellent bench or platoon player.

75. Nick Blackburn, Twins
- In the Twins organization, he is the best they got. He is twenty-six, and is struggling to make it up. He might be best suited as a short reliever.

76. Adrian Cardenas, Phillies
- His future is obviously not with the Phillies but he could turn out to be a solid second baseman. His hitting will get him their sooner than his fielding.

77. Chuck Lofgren, Indians
- Playing for a good team like the Indians, and being the innings eater that he is, he should be an excellent bottom end of the rotation like guy.

78. Radhames Liz, Orioles
- His mechanics are terrible, but if he can improve those he could make for an excellent pitcher at the MLB level. If he were to adjust, I see him surfacing in 2009 or 2010.

79. Jordon Walden, Angels
- Power arm should get him through the Angels deep system faster than others. Has the makings to be the next big arm in the Angels solid pen.

80. Steve Pearce, Pirates
- We will see what he can do this season, but he has the potential to be a good hitter. I think he would be better in a more potent lineup, but he should be solid regardless.

Cardinals Extend Wainwright

The Cardinals and pitcher Adam Wainwright have agreed to a four year extension worth with club options for 2012 and 2013. Wainwright is supposedly to be guaranteed fifteen million dollars, and the deal will cover the first years of free agency. Wainwright is just twenty-six, so I think this is a great deal for the Cardinals who lock up their new ace well through his prime years.

Here is what else is making news:

- The Nationals released pitcher John Patterson.

- Orlando Cabrera and the White Sox are not close to any deal.

- The Giants are still looking for an established third baseman.

- Kenny Lofton turned down the Rays.

- Rays looking at Coco Crisp.

That is all for now. Will update through MLB Rumors mobile if necessary.

Eli

Sherrill To Be Traded?

Wednesday, March 19, 2008

Newly named closer George Sherrill is excited about his new role with his team, but might be on his way out before you know it. According to Buster Olney, several teams have suggested that the Orioles will dangle Sherrill mid season in hopes of acquiring young talent for the future. With that said, it makes more sense that the Orioles are waiting for the final offer from the Cubs for Brian Roberts before they accept, but lets not go there. Sherrill went 2-0 with a 2.36 ERA and 56 K last season with the Mariners, and would probably draw a lot of interest at the trade deadline. Sherrill is having a good spring thus far through six games, and scouts have said they have seen an increase of 1-2 mph on his fastball. If he can repeat or even improve on his numbers from last season I am sure the Orioles will trade him. The only team I really see making a move is the Tigers, but mid season injuries will change it all. I see a desperate team making a move in May or June, but it will probably go down around the deadline.

Red Sox Shopping Players?

The Red Sox have three players that are out of options and are available for trade. Hard throwing David Aardsma, and pitchers Bryan Corey and Kyle Snyder. The Orioles have been eying Corey, who went 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA in 9 games last season. He has only pitched in 46 career MLB games, but has been pretty solid over that span. I think he would help a team like the Orioles who are looking to improve their roster. Kyle Snyder went 2-3 with a 3.81 ERA in 46 games last season, but hasn't seen much success elsewhere. I think Snyder would be a good bet for the Astros, who are looking for bullpen help. As for Aardsma, he is the hard throwing righty they need. He has hit 100 mph on the gun and a year working with Mike Timlin and Jon Papelbon, he could be their setup man by seasons end. However, a team like the Tigers looking for bullpen help could offer a low-level prospect or two for him. I think Justin Masterson deserves a spot in the Red Sox pen so spots are filling up fast. What seems most likely is that they will put these guys through waivers and hope they do not get claimed.

2008 Tigers Projections

DH Gary Sheffield
.274 AVG, 15 HR, 85 RBI
C Ivan Rodriguez
.270 AVG, 12 HR, 60 RBI
1B Carlos Guillen
.292 AVG, 15 HR, 82 RBI
2B Placido Polanco
.286 AVG, 7 HR, 69 RBI
3B Miguel Cabrera
.311 AVG, 39 HR, 128 RBI
SS Edgar Renteria
.288 AVG, 10 HR, 66 RBI
LF Jacque Jones
.277 AVG, 11 HR, 57 RBI
CF Curtis Granderson
.296 AVG, 17 HR, 86 RBI
RF Magglio Ordonez
.313 AVG, 26 HR, 113 RBI

3B/C Brandon Inge
.247 AVG, 8 HR, 46 RBI

SP Justin Verlander
21-8 W-L, 3.46 ERA, 169 K
SP Kenny Rogers
8-6 W-L, 4.26 ERA, 58 K
SP Jeremy Bonderman
14-9 W-L, 4.56 ERA, 162 K
SP Dontrelle Willis
13-11 W-L, 4.98 ERA, 158 K
SP Nate Robertson
11-12 W-L, 4.62 ERA, 113 K

Nomar Breaks Hand

Dodgers third baseman Nomar Garciaparra has broken his right hand. He has felt pain in his hand for several weeks now and is expected to miss Opening Day. The Dodgers have already lost Andy LaRoche and are now left with Blake DeWitt and Tony Abreu to platoon at third base. "Blake DeWitt's got a hell of an opportunity to hang out with the big boys," Dodgers manager Joe Torre said Wednesday. I expect Garciaparra to be out until mid-April while LaRoche is expected to be out ill mid-May. I think they would be wise to go out and get someone, perhaps Wes Helms. Helms would be easy to acquire and would not take much to get. However, if they are serious about competing they could go out and try and acquire Joe Crede, which I think makes the most sense. The Dodgers are obviously trying to get someone from the outside and if they cannot work out a trade, they will go with Abreu and DeWitt, which is probably not a terrible combination.

2008 Royals Projections

DH Billy Butler
.298 AVG, 23 HR, 86 RBI
C John Buck
.235 AVG, 14 HR, 52 RBI
1B Ross Gload
.276 AVG, 10 HR, 41 RBI
2B Mark Grudzielanek
.286 AVG, 4 HR, 47 RBI
3B Alex Gordon
.268 AVG, 19 HR, 71 RBI
SS Tony Pena
.272 AVG, 2 HR, 39 RBI
LF Mark Teahen
.276 AVG, 12 HR, 69 RBI
CF David DeJesus
.280 AVG, 9 HR, 59 RBI
RF Jose Guillen
.284 AVG, 25 HR, 95 RBI

SP Gil Meche
12-9 W-L, 4.18 ERA, 146 K
SP Brian Bannister
13-8 W-L, 4.52 ERA, 86 K
SP Zack Grienke
8-10 W-L, 4.57 ERA, 112 K
SP John Bale
8-7 W-L, 4.43 ERA, 75 K
SP Brett Tomko
7-9 W-L, 4.69 ERA, 109 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

Rivera to Mets?

Angels outfielder Juan Rivera is reportedly being dangled to the Mets. However, the Mets do not seem interested in trading anymore from their minor league system for him. That makes sense considering they traded several players to the Twins for Johan Santana. However, if they were to trade Aaron Heilman, it would make room for Steven Register and give them the offensive boost they need right now. The Angels have always been about bolstering their system, and I think they would demand a minor league prospect. With that said, I doubt this gets done. I think the Angels and Mets will both make moves, but not with eachother.

I believe the Mets will go out and get someone like Xavier Nady. Nady is being shopped by the Pirates and the Mets and Pirates are on good terms when it comes to talking a trade. Another possibility is Reed Johnson of the Blue Jays. Although he would not provide the same offensive burst, he would make for a solid platoon. As for the Angels, I see them trading Reggie Willits before Juan Rivera. Willits could wind up in San Diego as their everyday center fielder, but I do not know if Kevin Towers is looking into that.

Towers is the master of the trade and will typically go for players that are expendable with their current team. For example, in the trade that sent Josh Barfield to the Indians for Kevin Kouzmanoff, the Padres were banking on Matt Antonelli making it to the MLB while also banking on Kouzmanoff. The trade paid off while Barfield is now heading to Triple-A. Another example is the Doug Mirabelli trade. Who would have thought the Padres could trade Doug Mirabelli for Cla Meredith and Josh Bard? It has been all talk this Spring Training and I really don't see either of these teams pulling the trigger before Opening Day.

White Sox Waive Uribe

The White Sox placed infielder Juan Uribe on waivers Wednesday, according to the Chicago Tribune. This means that if he is not claimed within 72-hours, he must be released and pay his full 4.5 million dollars. I assume the Orioles will pick him up to improve their middle infield, but I wouldn't rule out the Cardinals as well. Uribe is having a good spring and is a pretty decent player, but he does not have a spot on the team. "He could have chosen another path and be pouting and go the wrong way," Cora said March 12. "But he feels this is a challenge and sees the opportunity to play every day. We always knew that." They have Danny Richar and Alexei Ramirez, but Ramirez should start in the minors, despite a good spring. I think it is possible that the White Sox could make a play for a different second baseman, but unlikely. Why would they release Uribe and then go out and acquire someone else? As for other possible destinations, the Giants or Royals could come in snatch him. We'll see, but one of these teams will probably pick him up soon.

2008 Top 100 Prospects: 61-70

61. Chris Davis, Rangers
- He is just 22 and is flexing some serious power in the minors. He is playing in the perfect park and should help out the Rangers big time in 2009 or 2010.

62. Justin Masterson, Red Sox
- An above average fastball and a nasty sinker, enough said.

63. J.R. Towles, Astros
- A five tool player that is already getting Rookie of the Year buzz. He handles his pitchers well, and has a great mentor for the 2008 season...if needed.

64. Manny Parra, Brewers
- Although he is twenty-five, he has great stuff but he just needs to be more consistent. He threw a perfect game in Triple-A and was pretty impressive with the Brewers before he got hurt. Minor injury, and he is a big breakout player for 2008.

65. Jed Lowrie, Red Sox
- Despite the bad attitude, he is an all around great shortstop. If he were playing in the MLB everyday in 2008, he would be similar to Julio Lugo, but only because it is his rookie year. Lowrie needs to get through a big league season before we can see him live up to his full potential.

66. Beau Mills, Indians
- He is just twenty-one years old and has shown the ability to hit for power and hold a decent average. His fielding will improve, but he was turning heads everywhere he went at big league camp.

67. Phillipe Aumont, Mariners
- Nineteen year old pitcher held his own in his first MLB Spring Training game, and should be up with the Mariners by 2012. He has an excellent fastball, but has failed to fully develop his number two and three pitch. Still, many scouts are excited about this guy.

68. Neil Walker, Pirates
- Probably the third baseman of the future for the Pirates, but the Pirates failure to develop their prospects makes me think he might be a flop.

69. Dexter Fowler, Rockies
- Hitting .277 as a lefty after hitting righty exclusively in amateur ball. The Rockies are very excited about this guy.

70. Max Scherzer, Diamondbacks
- Was throwing 98 mph fast balls this past fall. If he can develop his other pitches there is no doubt in my mind he will make it as a major league starter. Otherwise, I think he is a reliever or closer type pitcher.

Yankees Like Harden

The Yankees are reportedly looking for a starting pitcher, and have been scouting Joe Blanton and Rich Harden all spring. Harden isn't having the best spring, but is healthy, and is very good pitcher. He went 1-2 with a 2.45 ERA in seven games last season, but is 31-18 with a 3.60 ERA in his career. He would be very good for the Yankees considering they have a lot more offensive run support, but I am not sure the Yankees would give up what the Athletics will ask for. I assume the A's would ask for Alan Horne, Jeff Marquez, and maybe Jose Tabata. I think that would do it, but its a steep price to pay for oft-injured pitcher who has a career high eleven wins. The Yankees will likely make a trade for a pitcher this season, but I doubt it happens before Opening Day.

Nationals to send IF to Baltimore?: The Orioles have been heavily scouting the Nationals infielders in hopes that they will trade for one of them when Brian Roberts is finally traded to Cubs. My guess is it will be Felipe Lopez, but it is premature.

2008 Top 100 Prospects: 51-60

Tuesday, March 18, 2008

51. Jeff Clement, Mariners
- He has the makings to be a solid catcher, but he is blocked by Kenji Johjima and it is definitely affecting his play. Hits for power more than anything, but could become a decent average hitter overtime. I see him in the future with a different team.

52. Carlos Carrasco, Phillies
- Just 21, he is the top prospect in the Phillies organization and has appeared in the last two Futures Games. He has explosive stuff and should break the squad very soon.

53. Hank Conger, Angels
- He is just 20 years old and has unbelievable numbers. When he starts playing at the higher levels, I expect they will come down, but to a respectable, starting catcher level. The Angels will be happy to have this guy on their side for the next several years to come.

54. Chris Volstad, Marlins
- Taken out of high school in 2005 and is expected to be playing regularly in the big leagues. He is a year or so away from what we can fully expect from him. The Marlins are excited to have this guy in a weak pitching rotation.

55. Chris Tillman, Orioles
- Big guy who came over from the Mariners, he has an excellent arm and his numbers are impressive. He was compared to Chris Young early on, but he is close to being better.

56. Chin-Lung Hu, Dodgers
- He is making the right adjustments to be the everyday starter in 2009, and should be a big success. If Furcal struggles, knowing Torre he might just take the job from him.

57. Fautino De Los Santos, Athletics
- He is expected to be up in 2009, but he has exploded on the scene from no where. Good deception and movement will get him on the A's before you know it.

58. Daniel Cortes, Royals
- He has been working with the pitching coaches with the Royals and has seen a jump of 4 mph in his fastball and extra bite on his curve. He shouldn't be up till 2010 or 11, but he is expected to be in that rotation for several years to come.

59. Luke Hochever, Royals
- A surprise number one pick in 2005, he is expected to be holding the bottom end of the rotation in 2008.

60. Tyler Colvin, Cubs
- Although he doesn't walk enough, he made the successful jump from Single-A to Double-A and showed his stuff in Spring Training. He does not have a spot at the moment, but I am pretty sure they will want to make room for this guy.

Affeldt to Bullpen, Trade Coming?

According to one NL scout, the Reds have renewed interest in finding a pitcher and have been scouting several Angels pitchers. This comes as a surprise to me since Reds manager Dusty Baker has said that Johnny Cueto and Edinson Volquez will be in the rotation. However, veteran Jeremy Affeldt has been moved to the bullpen and it is possible they want to start one of those pitchers in Triple-A, just to make sure they are ready. That seems the typical approach with top rookie players. Allow them get their swing down for a month and then call them up to play everyday. Anyways, it is believed they have taken a liking to Nick Green, one of the Angels top pitching prospects who is fighting for a spot. I think he could do well in the NL, especially in the Central, but what would it cost them? I doubt the Angels want to trade any pitching away since they have lost their two top starters, but it is worth a shot. The Reds are still scouting Blanton, but with Opening Day for them coming soon, I doubt he is going anywhere.

The Reds rotation is pretty good even with Affeldt in the rotation, I just think they want to make a playoff run and are looking for that one guy to put them in contention from the start. The Reds will be in contention soon, but probably not by 2009 or 2010. They have a solid team, but they need to develop some of their younger players so they can endure a full season. Edwin Encarnacion ended the season strong but started off pretty slow, and solid full season from him would definitely help. Of course, life without Ken Griffey will adjust the lineup, but nothing a free agent signing can fix. They are no lock, but they certainly have what it takes if they keep to the course.

2008 Athletics Projections

DH Jack Cust
.254 AVG, 22 HR, 71 RBI
C Kurt Suzuki
.247 AVG, 9 HR, 49 RBI
1B Daric Barton
.289 AVG, 14 HR, 68 RBI
2B Mark Ellis
.272 AVG, 13 HR, 60 RBI
3B Eric Chavez
.257 AVG, 17 HR, 74 RBI
SS Bobby Crosby
.243 AVG, 6 HR, 35 RBI
LF Emil Brown
.262 AVG, 10 HR, 52 RBI
CF Chris Denorfia
.279 AVG, 12 HR, 54 RBI
RF Travis Buck
.290 AVG, 8 HR, 52 RBI

SP Joe Blanton
13-12 W-L, 4.14 ERA, 135 K
SP Rich Harden
12-6 W-L, 2.98 ERA, 106 K
SP Chad Gaudin
10-10 W-L, 4.57 ERA, 146 K
SP Justin Duchscherer
11-7 W-L, 3.79 ERA, 116 K
SP Dana Eveland
7-9 W-L, 4.62 ERA, 122 K

SP Lenny DiNardo
8-7 W-L, 4.58 ERA, 62 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

Reds Scouting Catchers

Word out of Reds camp is that they are looking for an everyday catcher. They are worried about David Ross behind the plate and want someone who can play most of the time, if not everyday this season. Here some possibilities for the Reds:

Michael Barrett, Padres: The Padres have Colt Morton and could have him backup to Josh Bard if they traded Barrett. If the Padres could land an outfielder and a minor league pitcher it might be worth it. However, Barrett was solid in 2006 and is likely to return to form if he plays enough. I think this is the best bet for the Reds. Barrett hit a combined .290 AVG with 48 HR and 179 RBI in 179 games under Dusty Baker, who happens to be their new manager. Playing under his good friend and other former teammates, in a division he is familiar with might allow him to return to 2006 form.

Jeff Clement, Mariners: Although he is young, if the Mariners could force the Reds to part with one of their young guns, they might be able to land him. Then they would have a long term catcher who has a lot of potential. Would it take Homer Bailey? They have Cueto and Volquez, so he might be expendable. It is also possible we could see Johjima instead of Clement, but I think it is unlikely.

Jeff Mathis, Angels: If the Reds wanted to take a chance on Mathis, maybe they could offer Matt Belisle. The Angels need pitching and acquiring the young Mathis might do the trick. He isn't a guarantee star though, so they probably would like a solid back up.

Brandon Inge, Tigers: You know the story. The Reds could jump in at the last minute and make Inge their everyday catcher, but I do not know how interested he is in playing there.

Other less likely possibilities include Ramon Hernandez, Gregg Zaun, and Josh Phelps. I think they might trade for a catcher, but it has been all talk this offseason so they might just stick with Ross.

Rule 5 Decisions Coming

There is a lot of talk about the Rule 5 Draft picks and if they will make the squad. Several teams are in the process of figuring that out, and it looks like several of them will. Let's start with the Pirates pitcher Evan Meek, who is having a pretty solid spring. Although he might not stay with the Pirates all season, he certainly is showing what he can do. My guess is he will probably end up back in Tampa Bay. Steven Register of the Mets is earning a spot in the Mets bullpen, and it is likely he will get it if they are able to trade one of their veteran pitchers. Randor Bierd of the Orioles has been the most impressive in my opinion. The Orioles need a lot of help, and I think they will stick with him and use him sparingly. Tim Lahey of the Cubs is also having a great spring, but probably won't make the roster. Although his pitching style is perfect for Wrigley, the Cubs have a lot of bullpen depth. Some believe he will be the player to be named later in the Craig Monroe deal. R.A. Dickey is getting a lot of attention for his knuckleball, and he probably will make the Mariners. He is not much of a veteran though, having been with several teams in the last year or so. Brian Barton of the Cardinals was battling for a spot with the Cardinals against Juan Gonzalez. But now that Gonzalez is hurt, all signs point to him making the roster. He could platoon in center field to start the season with Rasmus being sent down. Finally, Fernando Hernandez of the Athletics will likely break camp. All signs point to that happening after they optioned Joey Devine to Triple-A to make room. I suspect he will be used sparingly as well. Of these guys named, who will be the next Joakim Soria? Or perhaps, Johan Santana?

Brian Roberts To White Sox?

This comes as a surprise after the Cubs and Orioles have been talking about a trade for over four months now. However, Phil Rogers of the Chicago Tribune is reporting that the Orioles have been scouting Juan Uribe, and have also been spotted a few of the White Sox minor league games. The Orioles are looking for a middle infielders and adding Juan Uribe at shortstop while acquiring four or five other players might be worth it. Uribe didn't have much of an impact on the White Sox last season, but has just one year on his contract and if he can have a good year, it would probably be worth it with the four or five other players. However, it is unclear whether or not Brian Roberts would put this team over the brink. Actually, it is a certainty. The Cubs are on the brink of being a serious World Series contender, and Roberts coming over would probably put them in to the playoffs, barring any major injuries. I doubt the Orioles are looking to send Roberts to the Sox, especially if the Cubs are willing to offer better prospects. Many suspect a deal will get done by Opening Day, and I think it will also.

Twins Spring Training Update

Monday, March 17, 2008

The Twins entered Spring Training with a lot of people questioning some Front Office decisions. First, I want to praise GM Bill Smith for acquiring outfielder Delmon Young. His best years are definitely ahead of him and he is already starting to show that he can hit. Other additions like Mike Lamb, Adam Everett, and Craig Monroe are also showing their stuff, along with some of their young pitchers: "The other new acquisitions who have come via trade or free agency have handled themselves very well this month and we are excited to get the season started. We still have some good competition for a few spots on the roster, and the final two weeks will be fun to watch." Yet, the fans are still coming down on them hard for the Santana trade.

Smith was very realistic when it came to the Johan Santana situation, saying through email that, "trading Johan Santana was a difficult decision for the Twins, but one which we had to make. We all have the greatest respect for Johan and everything he contributed to the Twins organization. However, it was clear that we were not going to be able to sign him to an extension, and the best alternative was a trade."

The main reason people came down on the Twins so hard was because they had a chance to get Phil Hughes or Jacoby Ellsbury, but were holding out for more. However, the Twins did acquire some good players with solid potential: "Carlos Gomez has shown all of the skills that our scouts have seen in recent years. He is a little like a wild stallion, but there is no doubting his raw abilities. He brings blazing speed, a strong arm and raw power at the plate. At 22 years old, he has a chance to be an exciting player for many years to come!"

The other players in the trade are not as far along as Gomez, but have held their own in the big league camp: "Philip Humber, Kevin Mulvey and Deolis Guerra are all very different and are at different stages of development in their careers, but all showed promise in Major League camp, and we are thrilled to have them on our side."

The Twins are 10-9 so far this spring. I don't care much about the numbers, but if executives and scouts are liking what they see, I think we can expect good things from the Twins, at least for what they have. I doubt they will win the division, but a fight for third place would impress many baseball fans. They are not a bad team on paper, they just need to work with what they got and develop themselves for the next couple of years. I do not know if the players they got in the trade will make a huge impact, but it is definitely a start. Signing Joe Nathan long term will be a solid negotiation ploy for the years to come. It will show their commitment and desire to win - I think they should do it. We will understand more next off season what Smith wants to do with this team, but it sure sounds like he wants to win, so I think they will be aggressive in the coming months to improve.

2008 Orioles Projections

DH Aubrey Huff
.272 AVG, 18 HR, 74 RBI
C Ramon Hernandez
.263 AVG, 11 HR, 54 RBI
1B Kevin Millar
.268 AVG, 12 HR, 51 RBI
2B Brian Roberts
.286 AVG, 10 HR, 61 RBI
3B Melvin Mora
.250 AVG, 15 HR, 52 RBI
SS Luis Hernandez
.241 AVG, 0 HR, 35 RBI
LF Luke Scott
.264 AVG, 22 HR, 71 RBI
CF Adam Jones
.268 AVG, 11 HR, 62 RBI
RF Nick Markakis
.290 AVG, 27 HR, 101 RBI

SP Jeremy Guthrie
9-13 W-L, 4.14 ERA, 94 K
SP Daniel Cabrera
11-12 W-L, 4.86 ERA, 169 K
SP Steve Trachsel
7-13 W-L, 4.98 ERA, 78 K
SP Garrett Olson
6-10 W-L, 5.15 ERA, 106 K
SP Matt Albers
8-14 W-L, 5.36 ERA, 83 K

SP Adam Loewen
6-5 W-L, 4.76 ERA, 71 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

A's Drop Linden, Option Devine?

According to the SF Gate, the Athletics will likely option or drop Todd Linden, despite hitting .633 in 26-at bats. Linden really didn't pick the best team to join. Over the off season the A's acquired several young outfielders and have several other ones to fill the spot. There simply is just not a lot of room. Also, the Athletics have decided to option Joey Devine to minor league camp instead of bringing him to Japan as well. He pitched well in ten games last season, but needs more time in the minors to improve. I think he would be up with the team if it wasn't for impressive Rule 5 pick Fernando Hernandez. Hernandez has a 2.25 ERA in eight innings this spring and has struck out seven while only walking two. This is obviously a rebuilding year for the Athletics, but they have several young players that could put them in contention in 2009.

2008 Top 100 Prospects: 41-50

41. Jarrod Parker, Diamondbacks
- A solid pickup by the Diamondbacks as they pick up a pitcher with electric stuff. He is just 19, his fastball is explosive. If he could develop a solid change up or curve ball he would send the Diamondbacks to the World Series.

42. Ian Stewart, Rockies
- He doesn't have much of a future with the Rockies and I think it might slow his development. If he gets off to a good start in Triple-A, I see them making a trade.

43. Carlos Gomez, Twins
- The centerpiece of the Johan Santana deal in terms of immediate future, he has the whole team really excited. He should be starting in 2008.

44. Adam Miller, Indians
- He has the potential to be an excellent pitcher, but nagging injuries worry me. We'll see how he does this season.

45. Austin Jackson, Yankees
- The Twins wanted him in a possible Santana trade and no one was surprised. He is very athletic and is only growing as a player. He can hit and run, and has a pretty solid arm. He is the future in one of the corner outfield spots for the Yankees.

46. Ross Detwiler, Nationals
- Made his major league debut not two months after he was drafted, and was very impressive. Showed his stuff too in Spring Training. I suspect he will be in Double-A but should be with the team very soon.

47. Matt Antonelli, Padres
- Playing for the Padres in China right now, they are so high on him they called him to come to PETCO to work in the outfield over the off season. He will likely take Iguchi's spot in 2009.

48. Geovanny Soto, Cubs
- The MVP of the Pacific Coast League, Cubs fans got a brief glimpse of him and were very impressed. He hit for average and power, and handled the pitchers very well. However, he has struggled in previous years, so this might have been fluke.

49. Ian Kennedy, Yankees
- He keeps the ball down and mixes up his pitches well. He still needs some time, but playing on that team will send him far.

50. Carlos Triunfel, Mariners
- Considered to be the next A-Rod, Triunfel hit .296 at the age of 16 at Single-A. He is the shortstop of the future for the Mariners and will likely see MLB action in 2009.

51-60 Coming this Wednesday!

News and Notes: Angels Banking On Prospects

Despite losing both Jon Lackey and Kelvim Escobar till at least mid-May, the Angels will go with the guys they have, along with a minor leaguer or two. According to the LA Times, they passed on Horacio Ramirez, Jeff Weaver, and Freddy Garcia, and are prepared to go with Nick Adenhart, Dustin Moseley, or Nick Green. I saw Nick Green pitch yesterday versus the Cubs and was very impressed. He had great movement on the ball and seemed very poise. He was able to work around the Cubs big hitters, but still make outs, which is something you like to see from a young pitcher. However, that does not mean they are better than the Mariners. The Mariners made some solid improvements and they are my favorite right now because they do have solid pitching. People are overlooking the Carlos Silva signing but I think it will really pay off for them. There is still time for the Angels and if they can remain a game or so behind the Mariners coming into June, then there it will still be up in the air. Imagine your team losing it's one and two starters - it really would kills the team early on. In the Angels defense, they have some solid prospects and a lot of offense potential so I shouldn't rule them out yet, but we'll see.

Dodgers still targeting third baseman: The Dodgers are still looking for a third baseman. They have been talking to the Phillies about Wes Helms, the Tigers about Brandon Inge, and the White Sox about Joe Crede. I am pretty confident a deal will get done but the Dodgers just need to find the right pick. I hear they are not too pleased with Tony Abreu and might unload him.

Sabathia wants to stay in Cleveland: Sabathia has been with the Indians since he was 17 years old. And although he tabled discussions till the end of the season, his main goal is to stay in Cleveland. The two reasons why I think he did is one, to get his price up, and two, allow himself to only focus on baseball. When it is all said and done, I see him in Cleveland.

Varitek hoping to stay in Boston: Jason Varitek hopes the Red Sox are interested in holding onto him this coming off season. Varitek has definitely slowed down but is still a leader for the team and it hasn't gotten to a point where he is hurting them. I see him being there for at least the next two seasons.

Rays talking trades before signings: According to sources, the Rays are talking with several teams about available outfielders. The list includes Coco Crisp, Reggie Willits, Reed Johnson, Matt Murton--but I do not see a deal getting done. If they cannot sign someone, it is most likely that they will go out and sign Kenny Lofton.

Sweeney makes roster?: The Athletics are seriously considering adding Mike Sweeney to the roster after a impressive spring performance. I think he would make for a good DH, but if he can get 300 at bats off the bench, I think that will justify the signing.

Cardinals need middle infield help: Although they have a promising start in Brendan Ryan, they need someone long term to compliment him. Right now they have Adam Kennedy, who is having a pretty good spring. However, he hit .219 last season and the Cardinals nearly bought out his contract. Kennedy and Izturis are not the best combo, they need some help.

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Does Guillen Want Out?

Sunday, March 16, 2008

Ozzie Guillen sat down with reporters today to talk about the White Sox this season and beyond. He was disappointed by the job done last season and said that they should find someone else if he cannot get the job done: "If I'm not the answer, they have the right to do what they want to do." He went on to say, "I'm not a quitter.My point is if they think I'm not doing my job, that's different, but I'm not going to quit on my team. It's like if you're the captain of the plane and all of a sudden you say, 'I can't handle this. I'm going to crash.' And you have people you have to save. I'm not a quitter and I never will be a quitter." Guillen signed a big extension last September, but it is starting to sound like he sees the team is not improving in a division that is getting very competitive and might want to look elsewhere for a job. Kenny Williams was shocked by the comments and said that it will not happen, but we'll see how the season goes.

The problem I see with the White Sox is that they have no starting pitching. They need to go out and make a big commitment to a potential number one starter, perhaps CC Sabathia. Other possibilities include Ben Sheets, Brad Penny, and maybe even Jon Garland. Adding one of those guys would really help the squad, along with giving some of their young guys like Aaron Poreda or Jack Egbert a shot. The bullpen was fixed up pretty good this past offseason by the additions of Octavio Dotel and Scott Linebrink, so what needs to be improved is really pitching. Yes their offense is starting to age, but arrivals of Josh Fields and Alexei Ramirez should help. Also, Nick Swisher and Carlos Quentin make the team a whole lot better. I don't think this team is far from being a good team, but I think Williams needs to stress finding some quality pitching in the next offseasons to come.

Pirates Sign Snell

The Pirates and Ian Snell have agreed to a three year deal worth a reported 8 million dollars. However, the deal included two options that could pay him up to 16 million dollars. "It's a big accomplishment for me," Snell said at a makeshift press conference just to the side of right field at McKechnie Field. "I wanted to stay in Pittsburgh. Hopefully, it's a long stay. I want to stay and build winning seasons right now."The finally option buys out the first year of free agency for Snell so this is a good deal. His agent, Joe Scroba, was really impressed by how willing the Pirates were to get a deal done. He said it shows their willingness to win. I think we will find out how willing they are next off season. There are some big names on the free agent market next season and to see the Pirates make a long term commitment, while unloading Jason Bay, might send them in the right direction. Snell's numbers show that he would be pretty solid on a team with better run production, so hopefully he can make an adjustment to turn his numbers around. I happen to hear Neal Huntington talk to reporters down in the Winter Meetings and he is definitely very knowledgeable when it comes to baseball, lets just hope upper management will let him spend some money.

2008 Giants Projections

C Bengie Molina
.263 AVG, 14 HR, 60 RBI
1B Dan Ortmeier
.250 AVG, 16 HR, 53 RBI
2B Ray Durham
.248 AVG, 10 HR, 58 RBI
3B Rich Aurilia
.267 AVG, 8 HR, 56 RBI
SS Brian Bocock
.161 AVG, 2 HR, 33 RBI
LF Dave Roberts
.269 AVG, 2 HR, 37 RBI
CF Aaron Rowand
.272 AVG, 16 HR, 71 RBI
RF Randy Winn
.286 AVG, 13 HR, 54 RBI

SP Barry Zito
7-14 W-L, 5.64 ERA, 133 K
SP Matt Cain
13-10 W-L, 3.63 ERA, 173 K
SP Tim Lincecum
11-8 W-L, 3.46 ERA, 183 K
SP Kevin Correia
8-10 W-L, 4.12 ERA,
SP Jonathan Sanchez
6-9 W-L, 4.83 ERA, 98 K

SP Noah Lowry
10-7 W-L, 3.92 ERA, 78 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

Wood to be Cubs Closer?

Lou Piniella has typically favored veterans, and it shows again as he is reportedly leaning towards Kerry Wood as his closer. Although I think Kerry Wood can do a good job in the bullpen, pitching everyday or five times a week is not good for his arm. We have to remember that he is still recovering from injury, and should be used sparingly. Carlos Marmol is the obvious choice for closer. He throws very hard, had one of the lowest inherited runs total, and has a solid number two pitch. Piniella favoring veterans is only hurting Marmol and will eventually hurt other players like Felix Pie. I am a big fan of Felix Pie and believe that a full year in the MLB in 2008 will allow him to get comfortable up here and prepare for a big 2009, where we will then see his full potential. Look what happened last season with Matt Murton, a year after he hit .297 with 13 HR -- he was benched and played in just 97 games. There is no place for him now, and he will probably be traded this season. The Cubs really do not need someone to platoon with Pie. They have Eric Patterson, Ronny Cedeno, and Mark DeRosa if needed, and Pie is a very good player who has shown it this spring. When Piniella let Carl Crawford go out and play, he shined, and I think he should do that with Pie.

Angels's Pitchers Down, Trade Coming?

The Angels are currently entering the season without John Lackey and Kelvim Escobar, and could use a starter to stabilize the rotation. They have a lot of depth, and could trade some of it with little damage to the teams future. Buster Olney said through his blog that Joe Blanton should be considered. Billy Beane has never hesitated to trade within the division and I am sure he will approach the Angels about it before the start of the season. If Blanton could land Willits, Staitia, and a pitching prospect or two, why not do it. Although the A's and Angels play each other, the teams really have two different goals. Yes, everyone is trying to win, but the Angels are trying to win now while the A's are looking two years from now. The Angels could get a solid pitcher if only they were willing to trade some of their prospects. But as of right now, they are content with their team.

Zito Has Tired Arm

Barry Zito, known for once complementing his 12-6 curve ball with a 95 mph fastball, is now having trouble reaching 83 with his fastball. I'm not going to say that he can't be successful with an 83 mph fastball, but it is rare you see a pitcher with an 83 mph fastball that is successful. Greg Maddux is one example I can think of, but his two and three pitches have been perfected so he can use that fastball here and there. I do not see a good year in store for Barry Zito or the Giants and it will probably lead to the firing of GM Brian Sabean. I know many have readers have been saying it for awhile, and I think it is time after he has made several controversial signings over the past couple of years. It is time for the Giants to trade whatever they can for whatever prospects they can. They should be the team that takes a chance on players like Scott Thorman, Matt Murton, or Andy Marte. This should be the team for the next couple of years that goes bargain hunting for the veteran pitchers looking to bounce back. I know this is not the approach you want to see if you are a Giants fan, but this is what it takes to get back in contention. I have talked to a couple of scouts who do not see a winning season for the Giants within the next five years. I'd say it is time to make some trades.

Indians Michaels Drawing Interest

Indians outfielder Jason Michaels is drawing interest from about a half a dozen teams, according to the Plain Dealer. Michaels hit .270 with 7 HR in 105 games last season, but is a pretty decent fielder who is off to a solid spring start. He is a leader in the Indians clubhouse and could help out any team who needs a filler because of an injury. The Mets and Rays are two teams that come to mind because Michaels does not have a big contract, and will not take much to land in a trade. The Indians have Ben Francisco and Franklin Guitierrez in the outfield and they could platoon in right field in 2008. Both are solid players and one of the two will most likely become their everyday starter. Other teams that might take a look include the Padres and Rangers.

Rockies Shopping Ramirez

The Rockies are shopping pitching prospect Ramon Ramirez, according to the Denver Post. Ramirez struggled in his second major league season going 2-2 with an 8.31 ERA, but was pretty solid in first season. I am a big believer in young players and getting through the growing pains, especially a young and effective reliever like Ramirez. In five games this spring, he has a 1.13 ERA and has walked just two, while striking out seven. I have heard that the Yankees have been scouting a few of the Rockies pitchers, and might be targeting Ramirez. Other possibilities include the Tigers, who are looking to improve their bullpen, and the Red Sox, who are looking for a hard throwing right hander. He is a wild card for a roster spot, and could get traded if he doesn't make the roster.

2008 Red Sox Projections

Saturday, March 15, 2008

DH David Ortiz
.292 AVG, 42 HR, 139 RBI
C Jason Varitek
.249 AVG, 13 HR, 65 RBI
1B Kevin Youkilis
.284 AVG, 16 HR, 73 RBI
2B Dustin Pedroia
.293 AVG, 10 HR, 58 RBI
3B Mike Lowell
.275 AVG, 18 HR, 78 RBI
SS Julio Lugo
.268 AVG, 7 HR, 61 RBI
LF Manny Ramirez
.278 AVG, 23 HR, 97 RBI
CF Jacoby Ellsbury
.281 AVG, 5 HR, 54 RBI
RF J.D. Drew
.257 AVG, 11 HR, 60 RBI

SP Josh Beckett
15-8 W-L, 3.62 ERA, 178 K
SP Daisuke Matsuzaka
18-7 W-L, 3.88 ERA, 186 K
SP John Lester
11-9 W-L, 4.60 ERA, 112 K
SP Tim Wakefield
12-11 W-L, 4.69 ERA, 119 K
SP Clay Buchholz
9-10 W-L, 4.47 ERA, 127 K

SP Curt Schilling
0-0 W-L, -.-- ERA, 0 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

Buyers Beware: Scott Kazmir

Ken Rosenthal is reporting that Rays pitcher Scott Kazmir will miss his Opening Day start because of an elbow strain. Although this may come as a surprise to you, many scouts have suggested that his elbow is just about ready to pop. Kazmir went 13-9 with a 3.48 ERA last season, but I am sure the Rays would not hesitate to trade him if he would put another solid season together. They have Shields, along with young pitchers Wade Davis and David Price who are just a year or so away, and trading Kazmir for several prospects would be very good for the Rays future. Not only that, but they will avoid future arm troubles and a big salary. It is likely he will miss two scheduled starts, but I think it will take some time find his groove before we see the Kazmir of norm. I would stay away from him, and take a chance on pitcher Ben Sheets to put up a healthy season, or even pitcher Kyle Lohse.

2008 Top 100 Prospects: 31-40

31. Angel Villalona, Giants
- He is seventeen, already a great player, and scouts are saying that he is already making the adjustments that will allow him to thrive at the higher levels. He could see MLB time as soon as 2010.

32. Chase Headley, Padres
- His future appears to be in the outfield, but there is no doubting his potential. The big outfield will only benefit him as he could help boost the Padres offense and send them to the playoffs.

33. Jose Tabata, Yankees
- Dominated the FSL at age 19, and is already showing signs of improvement in big league camp. It is reassuring knowing he will have a spot because Abreu and Matsui are likely in their last contracts with the team.

34. Joey Votto, Reds
- Although he is twenty-four, he has great power and made adjustments to his stance that will prove beneficial when playing everyday at the Great-American Ballpark.

35. Chris Marrero, Nationals
- Is very advanced for his age, and should be up with the Nationals in 2009, probably everyday in 2010.

36. Andy LaRoche, Dodgers
- I am not all impressed by LaRoche, and it only hurts him after injuring his hand. He will be in a good lineup and has good track record though.

37. Deolis Guerra, Twins
- The key pitcher in the Johan Santana trade, he should see MLB in 2009. He has a great fastball, but he needs to better develop his number two and three pitches. Santana had that same problem, and the people that he worked with Guerra will also be working with.

38. Josh Vitters, Cubs
- The number three overall pick in the draft had the best power coming in. Although he struggled in the minor leagues, he has made great strides and will likely take over third full time in 2011.

39. Lars Anderson, Red Sox
- Has incredible power and will be a big player for the Red Sox because of Fenway Park's dimensions.

40. Reid Brignac, Rays
- He is a solid young player who should be up everyday in 2009. He is leading in key categories that the Rays have struggled in in the past couple of seasons.

41-50 coming this Monday!

Mirabelli to Tigers?

Curt Schilling said that the Red Sox clubhouse were stunned that the Red Sox released Doug Mirabelli, the personal catcher of Tim Wakefield. His offense and defense have declined, but he would still make for a solid back up. The Tigers Vance Wilson will be out for Opening Day and the Tigers could use a back up, but it probably won't be Mirabelli. There are several teams looking for catchers and it is possible Mirabelli could get a tryout from a team, but at this point it seems unlikely. Mirabelli won't have any major impact on any team he joins but could help a team with some young pitchers. He communicates very well with his pitchers, as you can see with Tim Wakefield, and he could help a young team like the Diamondbacks, White Sox, or the Rangers.

Cubs Deal Hinges On Minors

Friday, March 14, 2008

The Cubs have improved their offer to the Orioles for Brian Roberts and are now including Sean Gallagher, Donnie Veal, Ronny Cedeno, and Jose Ceda. I think the Orioles might bite on something like this, because it it the best deal they will get. However, they will not bite until they get a look at some of them when minor league games get going next week. A lot of people are saying the deal won't happen before Opening Day, but I have a feeling that now the team has sweetened the deal, it is only a matter of time before the Orioles see the guys they are looking for, and make a move. The deal could include Jason Marquis and Jay Payton, but I think the Cubs will hold onto Marquis after seeing how he has been pitching. Payton would only clog up the outfield situation. One scout that Ken Rosenthal talked with said "Pie needs to leave the organization to succeed or fail," the scout says. The Cubs won't let him fail. They will always pull the plug. They're not willing to give him a 300- to 400-at-bat commitment." That is true, and Lou Piniella has always favored veterans. He needs to take the Carl Crawford approach, because it worked well for Crawford. Let him go out there, and just play and learn from his mistakes. He is just twenty-three, he has time. Bringing in Roberts and platooning Pie and Fukudome with DeRosa will be good for all three players, and the team.

Someone Jumped The Gun

A report came out a day or so ago saying that the Red Sox had just traded Coco Crisp to the Mets for Angel Pagan. Although both sides denied it, something is believed to be in the works. According to Lohud.com, after Pagan hit a homerun the day of the supposed trade, one executive said, "That's the guy we just traded to Boston." Hmm, interesting. My take on it is that they were talking about a deal, and even in the final stages, but someone had jumped the gun and said it was done. Crisp hit .268 with 6 HR and 60 RBI last season while Pagan, who was out for most of the season, hit .264 with 4 HR. However, Pagan's speed and decent power could help any team, in my opinion. I see this deal getting done soon though. The Mets are desperate for outfield help and could use someone like Crisp for a year or two to fill the void. As for Pagan, they have Endy Chavez but because Pagan is younger, he has more value.

2008 Rays Projections

Thursday, March 13, 2008

DH Cliff Floyd
.288 AVG, 12 HR, 58 RBI
C Dioner Navarro
.247 AVG, 8 HR, 44 RBI
1B Carlos Pena
.274 AVG, 32 HR, 94 RBI
2B Akinori Iwamura
.289 AVG, 10 HR, 39 RBI
3B Evan Longoria
.267 AVG, 17 HR, 62 RBI
SS Jason Bartlett
.272 AVG, 4 HR, 46 RBI
LF Carl Crawford
.322 AVG, 14 HR, 76 RBI
CF B.J. Upton
.294 AVG, 26 HR, 78 RBI
RF Jonny Gomes
.251 AVG, 21 HR, 63 RBI

SP Scott Kazmir
14-9 W-L, 3.58 ERA, 222 K
SP James Shields
15-9 W-L, 4.29 ERA, 168 K
SP Matt Garza
13-11 W-L, 4.35 ERA, 135 K
SP Edwin Jackson
7-13 W-L, 5.53 ERA, 119 K
SP Andy Sonnanstine
10-11 W-L, 4.83 ERA, 114 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

Sutcliffe Diagnosed With Cancer

Former Cubs Cy Young winner Rick Sutcliffe has been diagnosed with colon cancer. Sutcliffe was luckily diagnosed with a treatable form of the cancer, and is expected to return to TV later this year. Sutcliffe is one of those pitchers who lived up to his potential following a Rookie of the Year Award, winning a Cy Young just five years later. He pitched for a total of 18 seasons with the Dodgers, Cubs, Indians, Orioles, and Cardinals. "Rick is an integral member of our baseball team and we wish him a full recovery," ESPN vice president of event production Tim Scanlan said. "We will keep him and his family in our thoughts and prayers."

2008 Top 100 Prospects: 21-30

21. Johnny Cueto, Reds
- Although he is small, he has four solid pitches that he works very well together. He is the best pitcher in Reds camp right now and will probably out pitch Homer Bailey when pitching in the same rotation.

22. Andrew McCutchen, Pirates
- I am hesitant to put him too high because the Pirates are not very good at developing their players, but he reached Double-A at age 21 and should be up with the Pirates full time next season.

23. Wade Davis, Rays
- He has got unbelievable command and will be joining a young team that is improving. He should be a solid back end of the rotation starter.

24. Jordon Schafer, Braves
- Just 21, he is expected to see some MLB action this season. He led the minors in hits last season and is showing the ability to work the count, find the gaps, and hit for some power. Bobby Cox is good at working with young players so I expect he will go far.

25. Mike Moustakas, Royals
- The Royals are looking to be very good in a couple years and if he can come up and be the Royals shortstop by 2010 or 2011, I think they will be able to compete in the division. He is very poise, and is likely to hit 10-20 homeruns by the time he makes it to the MLB.

26. Jason Heyward, Braves
Just eighteen years old, he has the potential to be a force in the league in just a couple years. He was an excellent pick by the Braves.

27. Gio Gonzalez, Athletics
- Just 22 years old, his strikeout numbers are incredible. He will be pitching in a good stadium and should be able to develop a solid third pitch with one more season in the minors. He was a solid pickup for the A's.

28. Nick Adenhart, Angels
- The Angels are trying not to rush him, but he is just unbelievable. He will probably be up in 2009, and if he can pitch like he has been, we could see the Angels in the World Series...no joke.

29. Brett Anderson, Athletics
- A solid pitcher with remarkable control, he will help the Athletics mostly because he won't walk runners. He has got time, and should improve a lot more before his time with the A's begins.

30. Jair Jurrjens, Braves
- Jurrjens could be a key player in the Braves run to the playoffs. He is pitching with unbelievable command and is throwing it 2-3 mph faster than last season. He should be rounding out the rotation for them.

31-40 this Saturday!

News and Notes: Cardinals Sign Lohse

The Cardinals and Kyle Lohse have agreed to a one year deal worth 4.25 million dollars, according to FOXSports.com. The Cardinals have lost several pitchers as of late and bringing in Lohse could add 10-12 wins to their season. I am not surprised to see a desperate team come in and swoop him up. It is too bad he couldn't get the deal he wanted, but he really didn't deserve the fifty million that he was asking for. He only won nine games last season! Several teams were looking to sign to a long term deal but he held out for a big contract, and it hurt him. It would not surprise me if he fires Boras when he enters for free agency next season. Teams that were also looking into signing him included the Orioles, Giants, and Rangers.

Crisp still drawing interest: Crisp is not heading to the Mets, but reportedly is drawing interest from the Reds, White Sox, Pirates, and Rangers.

Inge to Giants?: The Giants are interested in trading for Brandon Inge, a sign that Joe Crede is not looking so good. He has a big contract, but the Giants need some help.

Rocco Baldelli to retire?: Due to extreme fatigue, the solid young outfielder might be forced to retire. He is supposedly having trouble getting through one routine during practice, so you can't expect him to play in 100+ games. The Rays will give him some time, so don't count him out yet.

Reed Johnson to the Mets: Buster Olney of ESPN believes the Mets will look into acquiring Blue Jays outfielder Reed Johnson. That is just one of several names they are kicking around.

Johnny Cueto might make team: Cueto, the top prospect for the Reds, has been the best pitcher in camp. He could make the team out of camp and be a starter at the bottom of that rotation.

Nationals considering Weaver: The Cardinals opted for Kyle Lohse and may now the Nationals may sign Jeff Weaver. However, his poor performances in the past couple years might turn them away.

Orioles arm trouble may lead to trade: The Orioles might finally pull of the Brian Roberts trade after another pitcher went down. By adding three pitchers, who happen to be young with potential, could save them this season and beyond.

Matthews: Mariners Should Sign Bonds

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

Bob Matthews of the Rochester Democrat and Chronicle believes the Mariners would be a good fit for Barry Bonds. I agree with him. Jose Vidro is currently their designated hitter, but could play second base for the Mariners if Jose Lopez struggles again. Despite Lopez signing a long term deal, playing 110 games and getting 300 at-bats might be good for his development. By having a platoon at second base, it would open the way for Barry Bonds as their DH. Putting Barry Bonds in that lineup would put the race in the AL West up in the air. Their rotation is solid, and Bonds as their DH would definitely improve every one's numbers. Bonds still wants to play, and would probably take a one year deal worth 7-10 million dollars. Any deal would include incentives, because he is the homerun champion. I do not think the Mariners are interested in bringing in Bonds because of the negative attention he will bring, let alone because he might be gone for part of the season. The Rays are believed to be interested, but I just do not see Bonds playing again.

Orioles Looking For A Shortstop

The Orioles are looking for a shortstop, and are looking into acquiring Rockies infielder Clint Barmes and White Sox shortstop Juan Uribe. They are also looking at Ronny Cedeno of the Cubs, but that is only if the Brian Roberts trade goes through. The Orioles are looking at all three of these guys as starters if they acquire them, so I think they are pretty determined to get something done. The Angels are interested in Barmes as well, but only as a reserve infielder. I think the Orioles will give this a week or so before they make a move, just to see if the Cubs and them can get something done. On that front, it is believed the Cubs and Orioles have agreed that Sean Gallagher and Ronny Cedeno will be in the deal, but they are deciding on the final two to three players. Players they are talking about include Donnie Veal, Tyler Colvin, Sean Marshall, and Jason Marquis, among others.

Angels Will Make Trade Soon?

The only consequence to the Angels having a lot of depth on their roster and in their minor league system is that when they go out and sign someone from the outside, that prospect is blocked. They have several outfield prospects that are drawing interest and could be packaged together with a minor league prospect or two for a solid pitcher, if needed. If the race with the Mariners is as close as everyone thinks it will be, the Angels might need a healthy, front of the line starter to get them into the playoffs. Prospects within the organization that are blocked include Kendry Morales, Hainley Staitia, Reggie Willits, and Nathan Haynes, among others. With several players coming down with injuries on other teams, the Angels might be able to land a solid player if a team was desperate enough. I think the player most likely to be traded will be Reggie Willits. I think the Padres, who lost Jim Edmonds, could use Willits to possibly take over in center full time. I also think the Giants might jump in if Staitia does indeed become available. They need a long term shortstop and he has the potential to be very good. As for other teams that might jump in, the Brewers, Cubs, Blue Jays, and Indians could look to add a young solid player from the Angels by the trade deadline.

Yankees To Sign Crystal?

Tuesday, March 11, 2008

According to FOXSports.com, the Yankees are closing in on a minor league deal with a one day invitation to Spring Training with utility man Billy Crystal. "I've been waiting 50 years for this call," Crystal said in a statement released by the team. "I'm overwhelmed by the generosity of the Yankees and commissioner Selig. I know this'll be tougher than the Broadway Softball League, but I'm looking forward to helping the younger players, which by the way is all of them. Oops, I have to go, Scott Boras is on the phone." Crystal, who hit .348 at Long Beach High School, will bring more veteran leadership to a young clubhouse. Although he has not racked up the innings on the field, he directed the movie 61, the story about Roger Maris and Mickey Mantle, so his knowledge of Yankee history and tradition cannot go overlooked. This is a low risk contract with high reward, and I am looking forward to seeing how this plays out for them.

2008 Rangers Projections

DH Frank Catalanotto
.276 AVG, 8 HR, 49 RBI
C Gerald Laird
.244 AVG, 11 HR, 44 RBI
1B Ben Broussard
.269 AVG, 14 HR, 46 RBI
2B Ian Kinsler
.266 AVG, 17 HR, 65 RBI
3B Hank Blalock
.272 AVG, 22 HR, 93 RBI
SS Michael Young
.307 AVG, 12 HR, 99 RBI
LF Marlon Byrd
.278 AVG, 13 HR, 77 RBI
CF Josh Hamilton
.276 AVG, 27 HR, 73 RBI
RF Milton Bradley
.289 AVG, 16 HR, 54 RBI

C/DH Jarrod Saltalamacchia
.271 AVG, 14 HR, 47 RBI

SP Kevin Millwood
12-13 W-L, 4.73 ERA, 133 K
SP Vicente Padilla
10-13 W-L, 4.88 ERA, 128 K
SP Jason Jennings
7-12 W-L, 5.12 ERA, 77 K
SP Brandon McCarthy
8-9 W-L, 4.94 ERA, 65 K
SP Kason Gabbard
11-9 W-L, 4.78 ERA, 104 K

Sidney Ponson
4-11 W-L, 5.67 ERA, 62 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

Weaver Likely To Join Cardinals

According to one NL executive, the recent setback of Cardinals pitcher Joel Pineiro will likely lead to the Cardinals giving Jeff Weaver a minor league deal. Weaver, who was the Cardinals hero back in 2006, has struggled in the past two seasons. The Nationals are believed to be interested, but he has a better chance to make the Cardinals roster because they only have four starters, and Mark Mulder is not likely to be ready until mid-May. The Los Angeles Times talked to Jered Weaver and he said that his brother has been working and would be ready for Opening Day, but I wonder if he can bounce back from a poor season. If the Orioles cannot sign Kyle Lohse, they are believed to be considered Weaver among fall back canidates.

2008 Top 100 Prospects: 11-20

11. Jacoby Ellsbury, Red Sox
- Ellsbury splashed on the scene this past season and hit very well, made great plays, and fit in perfectly with the Red Sox. He showed great poised playing well in the playoffs and he should go far.

12. Rick Porcello, Tigers
- Porcello was phenomenal in high school and has been absolutely outstanding in Spring Training. He has found his release point, he is getting ahead of hitters, and he has great movement. He could be up with the Tigers in September.

13. Matt Wieters, Orioles
- He has shown his ability to work with veteran pitchers, which is hard to find in young catchers. Not only that, but he is a switch hitter who did not show any problems hitting from both sides in Spring Training.

14. Homer Bailey, Reds
- The Reds have gotten better and Bailey's pitching style should put out good numbers. The Reds solid defense will prevent poor plays that will put runs across.

15. Brandon Wood, Angels
- Has shown great power and the ability to hit the gaps, and he has finally been told what position to play. He will help the Angels and their style of play.

16. Matt LaPorta, Brewers
- Although he is twenty-three, LaPorta dominated the Arizona Fall League and has shown that he can hit the ball hard, and hit for power and average. He will be the next Brewers power hitter, without a doubt.

17. Jake McGee, Rays
- He is just twenty-one, a lefty, and has incredible stuff. He is a little inconsistent, but his strikeout numbers are incredible. He should do well as the Rays start to find their role in the AL East.

18. Fernando Martinez, Mets
- The thin, speedy nineteen year old hit a 400 foot homerun when he was sixteen at Mets camp. He has only improved from their showing his speed, ability to hit for average, and cannon from the outfield.

19. Elvis Andrus, Rangers
- Should fill in nicely when Michael Young is gone. He is just 19, and is already hitting above .300. He came over from the Braves, and is likely to be a big player for the Rangers in the future.

20. Carlos Gonzalez, Athletics
- Gonzalez came over from the Diamondbacks in the Dan Haren trade, and he should be playing everyday in 2009. He has great power, he is a solid fielder, and is working to become more patient at the plate. Either way, he will soon match his Future Game Appearances with All-Star Games.

21-30 coming this Thursday!

Yankees Scouting Blanton?

According to the San Francisco Chronicle, the Yankees have sent scouts to watch Joe Blanton. Blanton, who is off to an okay start, has been the subject of several rumors over the past couple of months. I never saw the Yankees jumping in on Blanton talks, but I am not surprised to hear it now. Although some of the younger pitchers are doing very well, I do not think Joba Chamberlain should start the season in the rotation. He has pitched in just twenty-four major league innings, so you could argue that he is very unproven. Although I think he will be a solid player in the future, giving him twenty to thirty games out of the bullpen would not be terrible for his development. Also, by acquiring Blanton, it would allow them to rotate Mussina, Kennedy, and Chamberlain in the fifth spot. The Red Sox pitching is hurting right now, and it would not surprise me if they took a look at him as well. I think if the Yankees acquired Blanton, it would make the race for the playoffs much more interesting. Both rotations have their holes, along with aging players trying to provide run support. The Yankees are hesitant to give up any prospects, so I would be surprised to see him go to the Yankees. However, if one of their pitchers faces a setback, they probably would not hesitate to make a move.

Blue Jays Sign Benitez

The Blue Jays and closer Armando Benitez have agreed to a minor league deal with an invitation to Spring Training. This is likely a result to B.J. Ryan being pushed back on his workout schedule. Benitez, 35, went 2-8 with 9 saves last season with the Marlins in Giants, but has 289 saves in his fourteen year career. I think this is a good signing on the Blue Jays part. Benitez can throw hard, and having to prove himself again might motivate him to work harder. Benitez has put together a couple of poor years because of injury, but working out of a strong bullpen might benefit him. The Blue Jays might have brought him in just for a tryout, or they might be thinking long term. Stay tuned.

Lohse Close To Finding Home?

Monday, March 10, 2008

The Kyle Lohse Story is probably a lesson to all major league agents-do not overprice a mediocre player during a mediocre free agent year. Lohse was looking for a five year, fifty million dollar deal when he first hit the market, but teams came in offering nothing close to that. One GM I talked to said the highest offer was about a three year deal, worth 7-8 million dollars annually. Boras is all about total money, so no way would he accept that. The Phillies, Orioles, Mets, and Cardinals showed varying degrees of interest over the offseason, but they were shot down. The Orioles are talking with Lohse now about a deal, but it is being reported that the Giants might go out and sign Lohse to a one year deal worth 6-7 million dollars to fill the spot that Noah Lowry had before he got hurt. This would allow Lohse to rebuild his value some, and also continue his major league career. Lohse was 9-12 last season with a 4.62 ERA, numbers that the Orioles probably do not want in their division. Not only that, but Lohse has reportedly refused to play in the AL, so playing for the Giants looks most likely. He has got to sign soon, or else he won't be ready for Spring Training.

Loretta to Orioles?

According to the Baltimore Sun, the Orioles have interest in Astros infielder Mark Loretta. I wouldn't read to much into this. The Orioles infield is weak and they could use a utility infielder to play a game here and a game there. This could also indicate that Loretta would start if Brian Roberts was traded. Loretta hit .287 with 4 HR in 133 games, but he was a pretty solid fielder having played each position in the infield. Not only that, but he has experience in the AL East having played with the Red Sox in 2006. The Astros and Orioles are on pretty good terms having made the big Miguel Tejada trade this past offseason, so if both sides wanted to get something done, I bet it would happen quick.

Capuano to Red Sox?

The Brewers are upset with Chris Capuano's performance and have notified teams that he is available. According to one AL executive, the Red Sox called the Brewers expressing their interest. It probably won't take much to get him, mostly because he went 5-10 with a 5.10 ERA, but also because he is coming back from injury. The Brewers are very deep in their rotation and could use a minor leaguer or two for Capuano. I think the Red Sox would be smart to go out and get him. He is 42-48 with a 4.39 ERA in five major league seasons. That is pretty good for a number four starter. He won eighteen games in 2005, and if he could bring those kind of numbers to Boston, they would be in good shape. Although the Red Sox have said they are content with their pitching right now, they have been scouting other pitchers. Pitchers they have reportedly been scouting include Jason Marquis of the Cubs, Ervin Santana of the Angels, and Zach Minor of the Tigers, among others.

Marquis and Fuld for Crisp?

According to ESPN.com, the Cubs are offering Jason Marquis and Sam Fuld to the Red Sox for Coco Crisp. Don't get excited, because it is not happening. Although Marquis would help their rotation, Fuld is nothing but a "AAAA" player, meaning he can do well in Triple-A, but he cannot cut it in the big leagues. The Red Sox are looking for some bullpen help, along with a starter, and possibly another minor league player. The Cubs are definitely looking for an outfielder, but I think they should look for a back up to platoon with Pie. Pie is looking very good this spring after shortening up his swing, and bringing in someone like Ryan Spilborghs would make that lineup that much better. Ryan Dempster and Jon Lieber are pitching very well and will probably win the jobs. That would then lead to a Marquis trade, because he refuses to go to the bullpen. Although I prefer to see prospect Sean Gallagher win one of the spots, some time in the bullpen or down in Triple-A might help. Rich Hill will be nothing special until he can get his confidence up. He is way to inconsistent to be anything to rely on. I expect a Brian Roberts trade to happen-the Cubs are determined to get it done, they are just waiting for the Orioles to pick the players.

2008 Top 100 Prospects: 1-10

Sunday, March 9, 2008

I have been working for over a month coming up with my top one hundred list for prospects, talking with agents, players, and executives about how to include and who not to. Let's get it started with 1-10.

1. OF Jay Bruce, Reds
- He is just twenty and has proven to everyone that he can hit consistently at each level. He probably won't start the season with the Reds, but he has the potential to be an All-Star in 2009.

2. SP/RP Joba Chamberlain, Yankees
- Absolutely dominated the minor leagues and came up and was phenomenal. I think he might be better off as a closer, but he could be just as dominant as a starter.

3. 3B Evan Longoria, Rays
- He has a ton of power and improved his fielder. He will be hitting in a decent lineup and will be playing in a stadium that suits his swing. I expect him to start off slow, probably putting in a 'Kevin Kouzmanoff' type year, but only if he starts slow.

4. SP Clayton Kershaw, Dodgers
- A nineteen year old led minor league pitchers in K/9 and opponent average. He got a big league invite, but will probably start in the minors. One executive, in reference to his potential, called him the "Jake Peavy of the Dodgers, if not better."

5. SP Clay Buchholz, Red Sox
- He has got a boat load of potential, but his tired arm at the end of the season worried me. Throwing a no-hitter is impressive, I think it is just the beginning for him.

6. OF Travis Snider, Blue Jays
- I love this guy. Led the categories that any team would want to see in a young prospect. The team is only getting better and he could make this a playoff team if he can continue to put up the kind of numbers he has been.

7. OF Colby Rasmus, Cardinals
- For a 21 year old , Rasmus has incredible power and scouts expect it to get better. He is playing in a good stadium, and should be hitting in a good lineup if players can stay healthy. I don't expect a great 2008, but he could do very well once he settles into his role with the Cardinals.

8. David Price, Rays
- Price dominated in college, and has been outstanding in big league camp. One scout said he should be up in 2008, but I think he needs a full year before they give him a shot. A September call up is fine with me. He is deceptive, he throws hard, and has a lot of positive movement on his pitches. To go out and throw a solid inning against the Yankees in your professional debut shows his poise.

9. Cameron Maybin, Marlins
- Twenty-year old outfielder hit his first big league homerun off Roger Clemens. He struggled with the Tigers in his brief visit, but has dominated the minors and should do very well in the Marlins stadium because of its spacious outfield.

10. Franklin Morales, Rockies
- Dominated for the Rockies in 2007, throwing 20 consecutive scoreless innings. The team is confident it can repeat and that should boost the confidence of the rookies.

11-20 Coming this Tuesday!

Oakland's Call To Arms

Although the Oakland Athletics have not been very active in scouting in the Dominican Republic and other places in Latin America, they have developed some of their young players very well. Not only that, but they have gone out and acquired some very solid pitchers. There is no doubt in my mind that in a couple years, maybe even 2009, the Athletics will be contending for the playoffs. They have Joe Blanton leading the rotation, but he is likely to be traded for more prospects either this season or next offseason. Billy Beane said Rich Harden is looking better than ever, so expect him to lead that rotation. Some of the players they acquired via trade this off season are really turning heads in Spring Training. I'm going to start with Joey Devine, the pitcher they got in the Mark Kotsay trade. Devine is a hard throwing right hander who will probably set up for Huston Street. He moves the ball very well, and if Street and Devine do well, it will probably lead to a Street trade for prospects so Devine could close.

In the Nick Swisher trade, the A's acquired well traveled Gio Gonzalez, Fautino De Los Santos, and Ryan Sweeney. Gonzalez, 22, is one of the top young pitchers in the A's organization. He throws hard, he is starting to mature, and he is starting to command his second and third pitches better. He has done well in the action he has seen and could see MLB time this season. He should help the team down the road.

In the trade that sent Dan Haren to the Diamondbacks, the A's got pitchers Brett Anderson, Dana Eveland, and Greg Smith. Beane told me that Eveland has the best chance to make the club out of camp, but Smith is showing he has what it takes to pitch regularly in the MLB. One scout said he is surprisingly deceptive for his age. He is also a lefty, which should help because the Athletics pitching favors righties.

Finally, Henry Rodriguez is probably the top pitcher in Athletics camp so far. He went 6-8 with a 3.07 ERA in Single-A last season but scouts are raving about the 21 year old. Peter Gammons talked to a scout talking about Henry Rodriguez: "The best young pitcher I've seen in two years out here is Oakland's Henry Rodriguez. He throws 98 with a devastating breaking ball." Gammons says he is nineteen but he is listed at twenty-one (here we go again).

Assuming these guys can stay healthy, we are looking at a nasty starting rotation by 2010:

SP Rich Harden
SP Gio Gonzalez
SP Chad Gaudin
SP Greg Smith
SP Henry Rodriguez

CP Joey Devine

Now, I assuming the A's will trade Joe Blanton and Huston Street, and I am also assuming that Lenny DiNardo will be out of the rotation. I am optimistic that the A's prospects will come through, but even if the A's go out and bring in a veteran, they will have a lot of depth in their rotation. Plain and simple, the Mariners and Angels will be facing more competition in their division in a season or two.

2008 Pirates Projections

C Ronny Paulino
.274 AVG, 15 HR, 62 RBI
1B Adam LaRoche
.276 AVG, 25 HR, 85 RBI
2B Freddy Sanchez
.294 AVG, 10 HR, 67 RBI
3B Jose Bautista
.247 AVG, 16 HR, 58 RBI
SS Jack Wilson
.269 AVG, 9 HR, 44 RBI
LF Jason Bay
.257 AVG, 27 HR, 89 RBI
CF Nyjer Morgan
.272 AVG, 0 HR, 38 RBI
RF Xavier Nady
.266 AVG, 18 HR, 62 RBI

SP Tom Gorzelanny
10-10 W-L, 4.18 ERA, 128 K
SP Ian Snell
12-9 W-L, 4.63 ERA, 162 K
SP Paul Maholm
8-14 W-L, 4.94 ERA, 112 K
SP Matt Morris
9-12 W-L, 5.01 ERA, 108 K
SP Zack Duke
8-11 W-L, 4.78 ERA, 99 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

Rangers Sign Ponson

The Rangers and Sidney Ponson have agreed to minor league deal with an invitation to Spring Training. This comes as no surprise after the Rangers learned that Brandon McCarthy will be out for over a month with inflammation. MLB.com believes Luis Mendoza is the leading candidate to replace McCarthy, but Eric Hurley and now Ponson will compete as well. Ponson struggled this past season, but GM Jon Daniels thinks that a weight problem may have caused it. I doubt this signing will have any major effect on the team, but maybe Ponson can show he still has what it takes to be a major league pitcher. It's too bad the Rangers traded Edinson Volquez, I bet they wish they had him now.

Crede Not To Giants, But Dodgers?

As new Giants outfielder Aaron Rowand campaigns for the Giants to acquire White Sox third baseman Joe Crede, it appears that the Dodgers might be in on it as well. According to a AL executive, the Tigers and Dodgers are having trouble coming to an agreement because there is a lot of money involved in the trade. Not only that, but the Dodgers are looking at other, cheaper options. Crede, who is entering the final year of his contract, would allow the Dodgers to play him at third this season, and then let him walk so the spot will LaRoche's in 2009. Buster Olney said through his blog that the Dodgers are hesitant to play Garciaparra regularly because of his awkward throwing mechanics. I think Crede is the better fit as well, mostly because of his low base salary and solid power, but the Dodgers might be content with going with Tony Abreu and Garciaparra to start the season.

UPDATE: DODGERS ARE SHOWING INTEREST IN RONNIE BELLIARD IN HOPES OF HIM PLAYING AS A UTILITY PLAYER, ACCORDING TO KEN ROSENTHAL.

Barmes to Angels?

The Angels are in need of a utility player and are eyeing infielder Clint Barmes. Barmes, who was once considered a top prospect in the Rockies organization, has failed to cut it as a big league starter. He is not the best fielder either, but he would give the Angels a player that could play a game here and a game there to give someone a day off. He has been in several trade talks over the past couple of offseasons, so if the Angels come calling, it probably would not take much to land him. Another possible option is the Cubs' Eric Patterson. Patterson does not seem to have a spot on the Cubs roster, mostly because Mike Fontenot has his bench spot, but he can play just about any position on the field. Maybe Patterson and a minor league prospect for Reggie Willits would do it. The Cubs need an outfielder and that trade would help both teams. Another option, is the Brewers' Craig Counsell. Although Counsell is nearing retirement, he can play second, third, and short, and he would provide veteran leadership to their young infield. Rosters are expected to be trimmed to a manageable size within the next week, so a trade, if any, should happen by then or soon after.

Lofton to Rays?

Saturday, March 8, 2008

Although Kenny Lofton has recently been linked to the Mets, it appears that the Rays are the most interested because they are worried that Rocco Baldelli is not fully recovered. Baldelli is struggling to get healthy and from what I am hearing, the Rays are more comfortable going with Floyd at DH full time, and platoon Gomes in the outfield. That makes sense considering that whenever Floyd played in the field last season, he would have to take a day or so off to rest his knees. With that said, the Tampa Tribune is reporting that the Rays are considering bringing in Lofton on a one year deal. Lofton hit .296 with 7 HR in 136 games last season for the Rangers and Indians, but is looking for a guaranteed deal. I think the Rays should bring in Lofton to play right field. He always hits for average and is pretty solid fielder, for his age. Another thing about Lofton is that he dominates the second half of a season so if you trade him at the deadline, you will always get more in return than what he is worth. I would say a one year deal worth three million dollars would do it.

Dodgers 3B Battle Unfortunately Solved

Friday, March 7, 2008

Dodgers third base prospect Andy LaRoche will be out for eight to ten weeks after a freak injury that tore a ligament in his thumb. LaRoche was hitting .350 in twenty at-bats this spring, but is likely to return sometime in late May or June. I think the Dodgers will take their time with LaRoche, mostly because they have Nomar Garciaparra to take over. This injury could lead to a trade for Tigers third baseman Brandon Inge, who has been linked to the Dodgers in previous trade talks. This doesn't change my feeling on the Dodgers in the standings this season, but I wonder how the Dodgers will send him through rehab. Will they try to get him back as fast as they can? Or will they send him through the minor league system so he can make a full, successful recovery?

2008 Reds Projections

C David Ross
.234 AVG, 19 HR, 44 RBI
1B Joey Votto
.288 AVG, 24 HR, 86 RBI
2B Brandon Phillips
.274 AVG, 23 HR, 79 RBI
3B Edwin Encarnacion
.304 AVG, 22 HR, 85 RBI
SS Jeff Keppinger
.307 AVG, 5 HR, 48 RBI
LF Adam Dunn
.247 AVG, 43 HR, 110 RBI
CF Corey Patterson
.269 AVG, 15 HR, 62 RBI
RF Ken Griffey Jr.
.265 AVG, 22 HR, 80 RBI

SS Alex Gonzalez
.248 AVG, 8 HR, 46 RBI

SP Aaron Harang
15-8 W-L, 3.64 ERA, 201 K
SP Bronson Arroyo
11-12 W-L, 4.40 ERA, 149 K
SP Homer Bailey
9-11 W-L, 4.95 ERA, 104 K
SP Josh Fogg
8-12 W-L, 5.56 ERA, 88 K
SP Edinson Volquez
10-12 W-L, 4.68 ERA, 129 K

SP Jeremy Affeldt*
8-9 W-L, 4.83 ERA, 84 K

*If he starts

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

Tigers Looking For Catcher

The Tigers are looking for a backup catcher, an indication that a Brandon Inge trade may be close. They have Vance Wilson, but he has had reoccurring health problems that the Tigers do not want to deal with. They have Dane Sardinha, but I think they are better off bringing in someone from the outside. One possible replacement is Gerald Laird, who hit .224 with 9 HR for the Rangers last season. He was aggressively shopped by the Rangers this off season, but they could not find a taker. Another possibility is Rob Bowen, who hit .231 with 4 HR in 67 games with the Padres, Cubs, and Athletics. I think they are better off bringing in someone young who might be able to develop into an everyday starter. The first name that pops into my mind is Cubs prospect Jake Fox, who is very versatile and has shown some signs of power. However, someone like Jeff Mathis, might be a better fit because he has more major league experience. For the moment, it is not a big problem for the Tigers, and it could ultimately work itself out on its own within the organization. Stay tuned.

Mets Talking With Pirates?

According to one NL executive, the Mets have contacted the Pirates about the availability of Xavier Nady. It is being reported that Minaya is looking for someone to bring in, and that they have looked at Marcus Thames of the Tigers, Matt Murton of the Cubs, and Nady. Nady, who played for the Mets in 2006 and hit .264 with 14 HR, had a career year with the Pirates in 2007. While some think the Mets should go out and sign Barry Bonds or Sammy Sosa, I think Minaya should sign veteran Kenny Lofton, who could help at all three outfield positions. I think Minaya's job is on the line after he failed to bring in solid depth after trading away several prospects, but he could easily turn it around with a couple good moves. The Pirates were asking for a lot when they were talking to the Padres about a trade, so I think they would ask for a lot from the Mets as well. The Tigers are not interested in giving up Thames so I think it will come down to Nady and Murton. Murton is no dump player either though, so they are going to have to give up something if they want to improve. Something will likely happen soon because the Mets would like to have a lineup set by the final week of Spring Training.

Ponson Eyeing Comeback

Free agent pitcher Sidney Ponson struggled to find his groove last season for the Twins, but is looking to comeback in 2008. Several teams came to look at him but the most interested appear to be the Cardinals, Diamondbacks, Mariners, and Astros. Ponson was 2-6 with a 6.93 ERA with the Twins last season, and he really has not been himself since 2003. He is 82-101 with a 4.93 in his career, but has played with four different teams since 2005. To be honest, I am sort of surprised that the Giants have place a call yet. They lost Noah Lowry yesterday for an extended amount of time and really do not have anyone to replace him. Having seen Ponson pitch, I would think he would be best off in Seattle or Arizona. Both stadiums will have solid run support, both have pretty good bullpens, and he would do well in the bottom half of their rotation. Especially in Seattle, where the stadium definitely benefits the pitcher. "I'm here to rock and roll," Ponson said afterward. "My mind is clear. My arm is good. I'm working hard. I'm in pretty good shape. I'm pretty happy with the way I threw today."

Great Management In Detroit Will Go Far

Thursday, March 6, 2008

The Detroit Tigers have turned their team around from one of the worst in baseball to one of the best in a matter of five years. They have gone out and added key players like Magglio Ordonez, Ivan Rodriguez, Placido Palanco, and have recently added Dontrelle Willis, Miguel Cabrera, and Edgar Renteria. Although they have trade away top prospects to bring these guys in, they have made smart draft choices so they will have players that will make the team sooner than normal prospects who need more development. Although these players cost more money, it is the price you pay when you trade away prospects. Since 2004, each of the Tigers first round draft picks have made it to the MLB, excluding Rick Porcello. They have been considered top prospects around the league and have one has taken home a couple nice awards. Former Rookie of the Year Justin Verlander has thrown a no-hitter while Andrew Miller and Cameron Maybin were in the key trade that brought in Cabrera and Willis from the Marlins. Rick Porcello, 19, was drafted this past June but is already turning heads in big league camp. "He'll be good fast," one scout says. "He's the best young pitching prospect I've seen this spring." I am not putting out any predictions just yet, but proper management and solid chemistry and will always go far. They have a good core of players that are only getting better- and most happen to be under contract for a long time. I think they will be contenders in the AL Central, if not the team to beat, for the foreseeable future. Yes, the Indians are a great team and the Royals are getting better, but this team is not old, and most players have not even reached their prime yet.

Giants Planning Fire Sale?

According to Ken Rosenthal, the Giants have informed several teams that they are shopping over a dozen of their major league and minor league players. Ken Rosenthal said some of the players include Ray Durham, Rich Aurilia, Randy Winn, and Steve Kline. I put in a call to the Giants and found out that Travis Ishikawa and Noah Lowry are both on that list as well. The Giants are really in a tight spot, though. They have these veterans, but they have already peaked and our on the decline. It will be hard to trade those players for a pair of prospects, so the rebuilding might have to begin when these contracts finally expire. One possible replacement next season in the infield could be Mark Ellis, but only if he is not resigned by the Athletics. Ellis is a solid defensive player who can hit 14-16 homeruns with a high average. However, he won't come cheap. I am sure he will be looking for a deal between Kaz Matsui's and Luis Castillo's. The Giants are long way from being a playoff contender, and I think the first step might be cleaning out the Front Office, and moving from there.

Mets Off To Rocky Start, Lose Alou

Wednesday, March 5, 2008

The Mets have gotten off to a rocky start. First we come into Spring Training and find out that Orlando Hernandez is still rehabbing, then Carlos Delgado goes down. Ryan Church was then shaken up with a concussion and now Moises Alou will miss the first month of the season with a hernia. The Mets really do not have much depth on their bench so having Alou out to start the season really isn't good. Alou typically gets off to a pretty solid April and with the Braves and Phillies gearing up for a playoff run, it cannot be good. What most likely will happen is that they will play Angel Pagan in left field to open the season, which might turn out to be a good move. Not only is Pagan fast, but he has the potential to hit for a decent average. However, we could get a glimpse of Fernando Martinez, who is likely to take over in 2009 or 2010 full time.

Mets fans have been very critical of my analysis on the Mets this season, but I stand by my initial reaction that this team will not automatically make it to the playoffs. There are a lot of question marks in the rotation and also in the field. The Phillies have the best infield in baseball and their rotation is pretty solid. Also, I think the Braves have the chance to sneak in on these teams if some of their younger players live up to potential. A lot of Braves grew up and live in the Atlanta area and are close friends. I think Chemistry plays a big factor in winning games towards the end of the season so I am not counting these guys out just yet. I think a solid acquisition for the Mets would be someone like Daryle Ward. Ward can play first base and outfield, and he is one of the best pinch hitters in the game. Omar Minaya is already looking for a first baseman to platoon with Carlos Delgado, and he is probably going to be looking for a one year stop gap in the outfield soon too.

2008 Padres Projections

C Josh Bard
.269 AVG, 6 HR, 49 RBI
1B Adrian Gonzalez
.286 AVG, 34 HR, 108 RBI
2B Tadahito Iguchi
.271 AVG, 8 HR, 56 RBI
3B Kevin Kouzmanoff
.292 AVG, 25 HR, 85 RBI
SS Khalil Greene
.244 AVG, 28 HR, 76 RBI
LF Scott Hairston
.274 AVG, 10 HR, 43 RBI
CF Jim Edmonds
.262 AVG, 14 HR, 62 RBI
RF Brian Giles
.264 AVG, 11 HR, 54 RBI

SP Jake Peavy
19-9 W-L, 2.73 ERA, 237 K
SP Chris Young
14-5 W-L, 3.43 ERA, 162 K
SP Greg Maddux
15-13 W-L, 3.97 ERA, 102 K
SP Randy Wolf
9-10 W-L, 4.84 ERA, 79 K
SP Justin Germano
11-9 W-L, 4.31 ERA, 104 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

Lowrie Drawing Interest

Tuesday, March 4, 2008

Red Sox prospect Jed Lowrie is showing a lot of potential, but is being blocked at all three positions he could potentially play. The White Sox considered trading for Julio Lugo this past off season, but talks fell through early. That would have opened a spot for him to play regularly, but now it seems his best chance of playing at the MLB level will be elsewhere. In 133 games between Double-A and Triple-A last season, Lowrie hit .298 with 13 HR and 70 RBI. I think a full year at Triple-A will do him some good hitting wise, but his above average fielding and arm strength should make him an everyday shortstop by 2009. One scout I talked to said that Lowrie won't hit for too much power, probably between 8-10 homeruns, but is very advanced when it comes to working the count and driving the ball into the gaps. He went on to say that he would solve the Nationals problem at shortstop for the next several years to come. However, they have shortstop Ian Desmond who still has some potential to be an average shortstop in the MLB. Cardinals executives are not very happy with the middle infield situation and adding someone like Lowrie, who could play second or short for the team, would solve a lot of their problems at a low cost. If Julio Lugo does well this year for the Red Sox, I suspect that they will trade Lowrie around the trade deadline, maybe for a solid minor league prospect that is being blocked in another system.

Pierre to Athletics?

According to the San Francisco Chronicle, the Athletics have approached the Dodgers about outfielder Juan Pierre. I think this would be a solid move by the A's, but they will only do it if they pay a small portion of his salary. The A's have some impressive young outfielders, but would probably be ready to play everyday by the time Pierre contract is up. Although Pierre would not give the A's any boost in power, he would give them a solid lead off man and a veteran in the outfield. Because the Dodgers are pretty desperate to get rid of him, it probably would not take much to get him. I would say a pitcher or two with some potential would do it, but beyond that, I do not see the A's going for it.

Reds Sign Patterson, Hairston Jr.

Monday, March 3, 2008

The Reds have signed Corey Patterson to a minor league deal with an invitation to Spring Training, according to FOXSports.com. Patterson, who was originally seeking a multi-year deal, is reunited with former manager Dusty Baker. I think this could be a good deal for the Reds because of Patterson's experience against the NL Central. Patterson will likely be a fourth outfielder playing behind Jay Bruce and Adam Dunn in the outfield, but we could see him take the job if he plays well. The Reds also added former Cub and Dusty favorite Jerry Hairston Jr. Hairston Jr. will likely serve as a backup behind Brandon Phillips and Alex Gonzalez. Both players probably won't have much impact on the team, mostly because they do not have a starting job waiting for them. Nevertheless, it gives the Reds depth on their bench. I think this shows that Kenny Lofton was holding out for a major league deal and will not sign for anything less.

Report: Roberts To Cubs Close

After scouts reported back to their respective teams with what they saw, the Cubs and Orioles are engaged in serious talks involving Brian Roberts. According to SI.com, the Orioles would send Brian Roberts and Jay Payton to the Cubs for pitchers Sean Marshall and Sean Gallagher, along with shortstop Ronny Cedeno and outfielder Matt Murton. Personally, I think the Orioles will ask for one more player, probably a young pitcher in Single-A or Double-A. If I had to guess, someone like Robert Hernandez or Marco Carillo are the players that could draw some interest. One problem I have this trade is what do they do with Mark DeRosa. DeRosa hit .293 with 10 HR in 149 games, and would be out of an everyday job with the acquisition of Roberts. I think the Cubs will address the situation if they do in fact acquire Roberts, so until then, it won't be addressed. DeRosa can play first, second, third, and all three outfield positions, so I still think he would see 400 at-bats, but in terms of being comfortable might be an issue. Nevertheless, Roberts would give the Cubs the leadoff hitter they need, and it would allow the Cubs to move Soriano down in the lineup. Not only that, but it would put them over the top in the division with their excess of pitching, solid lineup and bench, and minor league depth. I expect a deal to be done within the next two weeks, if not by the end of the week.

2008 Rockies Projection

C Yorvit Torrealba
.238 AVG, 9 HR, 42 RBI
1B Todd Helton
.312 AVG, 18 HR, 86 RBI
2B Jayson Nix
.268 AVG, 6 HR, 49 RBI
3B Garrett Atkins
.296 AVG, 27 HR, 108 RBI
SS Troy Tulowitzki
.283 AVG, 19 HR, 84 RBI
LF Matt Holliday
.317 AVG, 32 HR, 118 RBI
CF Willy Taveras
.298 AVG, 4 HR, 41 RBI
RF Brad Hawpe
.280 AVG, 22 HR, 84 RBI

SP Jeff Francis
18-10 W-L, 4.44 ERA, 139 K
SP Aaron Cook
12-9 W-L, 4.26 ERA, 68 K
SP Ubaldo Jimenez
9-10 W-L, 4.71 ERA, 121 K
SP Franklin Morales
10-8 W-L, 4.68 ERA, 107 K
SP Jason Hirsh
8-11 W-L, 4.75 ERA, 97 K

NOTE: THIS IS A PROJECTION, SUBJECT TO CHANGE.

Mets Shopping Pitchers

The Mets are shopping pitcher Scott Shoeneweis and Jorge Sosa, according to the New York Daily News. Shoeneweis, who went 0-2 with a 5.03 ERA in 70 games, has 7.2 million dollars left on his two year contract. Sosa, on the other hand, has just two million dollars on the final year of his contract. Sosa was similar to Shawn Chacon last season because he was used in the pen and in the rotation, and could help a team like the Pirates looking for a player to fill Chacon's former spot. Sosa was 9-8 last season with a 4.47 ERA and 69 K, but had a 0.96 ERA coming out of the bullpen. I think he would help a team like the Orioles, who just lost Troy Patton for an extended amount of time, or the Padres, who do not have much depth in their starting rotation. One reason the Mets would like to unload these two pitchers is to clear some cash, but also to make room for Rule 5 pick Steve Register, along with pitcher Mike Pelfrey. I agree with the Mets decision here, mostly because it will allow them to get younger and open up some room in their payroll. As for teams that might be interested in Shoeneweis, I could see the Reds jump in and try and make a trade. Although they have some solid pitching, he did very well in Cincinnati and could see the same kind of success like he did in 2006.

Inge to Dodgers, A's, or Pirates?

Many Tigers officials have made it clear that although it may not be in the best interest of the team, it is best for Brandon Inge to go somewhere he can play everyday. Inge, who hit .236 with 14 HR and 71 RBI, is drawing the most interest from the Dodgers. The Dodgers have Nomar Garciaparra and Andy LaRoche fighting for the starting job at third, but I think they are pretty set with going with LaRoche. The Athletics might be losing Eric Chavez for an extended amount of time and could go out and trade for Brandon Inge and have him play third until Chavez returns. Inge could then easily platoon between third, catcher, and outfield and get at least 400 at-bats. Another option is the Pirates, who currently have Jose Bautista holding the position. If the Pirates are able to trade Nady, we could see a platoon situation at third and right for both of them. One scout I talked to said that there are not many teams looking for everyday players, so Inge probably will not get traded until someone goes down. If the Rays decide to start Evan Longoria in Triple-A, similar to what the Brewers did with Ryan Braun, Inge could fill in there. I think Inge will be traded before the start of the season, possibly to the Giants, but I do not think he has a starting job waiting for him. Although I am a fan of Brandon Inge, I do not think he is worthy of a starting job. He has a career average of .241 with 15-20 homeruns a year, numbers that probably land you in a platoon role. I understand that he wants to start, but he might have to prove himself in a platoon situation before he gets an everyday job.

Cardinals Should Shut Down Pujols

The Cardinals are off to a .500 start in Spring Training, and are probably looking at one of those kind of seasons. Albert Pujols might need to have ligament replacement surgery, meaning he would miss the whole season. Pujols obviously does not want to to do that especially with their top pitcher out, but it would be in the Cardinals best interest for him to go down now, rather than next season. The Cardinals are in no position to make the playoffs, so it makes sense that if Pujols was to go down now, he would be ready to go for the 2009 season. I'm sure the Cardinals would have no trouble trading for someone like Scott Hatteberg, who is a free agent following this season. The Cardinals should be in better shape in 2009. I expect that Colby Rasmus will be playing everyday, along with Brendan Ryan. I also think that they will go out and try and add a solid pitcher, or maybe a corner outfielder. Last season, Pujols hit .327 with 32 HR and 103 RBI in 158 games, his seventh straight season of hitting at least 32 homeruns and hitting .314.

Mailbag: Who Should I Draft?

Sunday, March 2, 2008

This is our first mailbag of the 2008 season, and it is all about Fantasy Baseball. If you have any questions, send me an email at mlbrumors@gmail.com:

David R., Stevens Point, WI

Q: I am a big Brewers fan and I was wondering which Brewer hitter and pitcher would have the best year?

ELI: Although I think Ryan Braun and Rickie Weeks are in for great years, I think that Prince Fielder is the guy that you should take. He is such a good hitter who is only getting better. Not only that, but he will have more chances to drive in runners with Mike Cameron in the lineup, and Rickie Weeks coming back full time. Furthermore, his wife put him on a diet, and that typically helps hitters improve on their numbers. As for a pitcher, Yovani Gallardo is going to be good, but he is injured. I would take Carlos Villanueva in the later rounds of the draft if he is available. He did very well last year in 59 games for the Brewers, and is doing well in Spring Training. He is my guy come the 14th or 15th round.

Jason C., New Pennsylvania, OH

Q: Where do you see the Reds finishing this season?

ELI: I have been saying for a long time that the Reds are on the verge of being very good. I think they need one pitcher, like Joe Blanton, to really put them over the top though. They have Joey Votto and Jay Bruce leading the youth movement along with Brandon Phillips and Edwin Encarnacion. Adam Dunn should join the team in mid April and I think they could easily win the division if their pitching does not fall apart come late June and early July. However, the Cubs and Brewers are going to be in the top two, and I think the Reds will finish third.

Clayton E., Canada

Q: Can you give me two sleepers, one pitcher and one hitter, for each league?

ELI: In the American League, I think Dustin McGowan of the Blue Jays and